Premiership·Regular Season - 29·
Premiership·Regular Season - 29·Predicted match statistics
Goals
38%
26%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction1.351.312.66safe0.38–2.310.46–2.160.83–4.48safer0.13–2.570.23–2.390.35–4.96
Shots on target
40%
14%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction4.004.208.20safe2.14–5.862.46–5.944.59–11.80safer1.65–6.351.99–6.413.64–12.76
Total shots
43%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction12.7913.1825.97safe8.87–16.729.61–16.7418.48–33.46safer7.78–17.818.65–17.7016.43–35.51
Shots in box
43%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction8.348.5216.86safe5.40–11.295.84–11.2011.24–22.49safer4.57–12.125.10–11.949.67–24.05
Blocked shots
36%
15%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction3.463.957.41safe1.58–5.352.29–5.603.87–10.94safer1.04–5.891.80–6.092.84–11.98
Corners
47%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction5.435.1410.57safe3.22–7.653.14–7.146.36–14.78safer2.65–8.222.60–7.675.25–15.89
Possession %
39%
56%
homeawayprediction48.0551.68safe41.25–54.8444.90–58.47safer39.59–56.5143.23–60.14
Passes
40%
60%
homeawaytotalprediction406437842safe338–473370–503708–976safer320–491353–521673–1012
Pass accuracy %
20%
76%
homeawayprediction64.3970.43safe60.36–68.4266.11–74.76safer59.06–69.7164.80–76.07
Fouls
36%
57%
homeawaytotalprediction11.9113.2425.15safe9.07–14.7510.30–16.1919.37–30.93safer8.31–15.509.55–16.9417.86–32.44
Offsides
39%
22%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction1.741.763.50safe0.58–2.900.66–2.851.24–5.75safer0.28–3.200.37–3.140.65–6.34
Yellow cards
31%
21%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction1.632.033.66safe0.58–2.680.91–3.161.49–5.84safer0.31–2.940.61–3.460.93–6.40
Red cards
85%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.100.17safe0.00–0.230.00–0.290.00–0.52safer0.00–0.380.00–0.420.00–0.80
GK saves
45%
17%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction2.862.635.49safe1.43–4.301.07–4.192.50–8.49safer1.04–4.690.65–4.611.69–9.30
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.35 0.38–2.31 0.13–2.57 | 1.31 0.46–2.16 0.23–2.39 | 2.66 0.83–4.48 0.35–4.96 | 38% 26% 36% |
| Shots on target | 4.00 2.14–5.86 1.65–6.35 | 4.20 2.46–5.94 1.99–6.41 | 8.20 4.59–11.80 3.64–12.76 | 40% 14% 46% |
| Total shots | 12.79 8.87–16.72 7.78–17.81 | 13.18 9.61–16.74 8.65–17.70 | 25.97 18.48–33.46 16.43–35.51 | 43% 49% |
| Shots in box | 8.34 5.40–11.29 4.57–12.12 | 8.52 5.84–11.20 5.10–11.94 | 16.86 11.24–22.49 9.67–24.05 | 43% 47% |
| Blocked shots | 3.46 1.58–5.35 1.04–5.89 | 3.95 2.29–5.60 1.80–6.09 | 7.41 3.87–10.94 2.84–11.98 | 36% 15% 50% |
| Corners | 5.43 3.22–7.65 2.65–8.22 | 5.14 3.14–7.14 2.60–7.67 | 10.57 6.36–14.78 5.25–15.89 | 47% 40% |
| Possession % | 48.05 41.25–54.84 39.59–56.51 | 51.68 44.90–58.47 43.23–60.14 | — | 39% 56% |
| Passes | 406 338–473 320–491 | 437 370–503 353–521 | 842 708–976 673–1012 | 40% 60% |
| Pass accuracy % | 64.39 60.36–68.42 59.06–69.71 | 70.43 66.11–74.76 64.80–76.07 | — | 20% 76% |
| Fouls | 11.91 9.07–14.75 8.31–15.50 | 13.24 10.30–16.19 9.55–16.94 | 25.15 19.37–30.93 17.86–32.44 | 36% 57% |
| Offsides | 1.74 0.58–2.90 0.28–3.20 | 1.76 0.66–2.85 0.37–3.14 | 3.50 1.24–5.75 0.65–6.34 | 39% 22% 39% |
| Yellow cards | 1.63 0.58–2.68 0.31–2.94 | 2.03 0.91–3.16 0.61–3.46 | 3.66 1.49–5.84 0.93–6.40 | 31% 21% 47% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.10 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.42 | 0.17 0.00–0.52 0.00–0.80 | 85% |
| GK saves | 2.86 1.43–4.30 1.04–4.69 | 2.63 1.07–4.19 0.65–4.61 | 5.49 2.50–8.49 1.69–9.30 | 45% 17% 37% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.