Predicted match statistics
Goals
27%
24%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction1.191.662.86safe0.23–2.160.81–2.521.04–4.68safer0.00–2.410.58–2.750.56–5.16
Shots on target
28%
60%
homeawaytotalprediction3.945.189.11safe2.07–5.803.44–6.925.51–12.72safer1.58–6.292.97–7.394.55–13.68
Total shots
32%
61%
homeawaytotalprediction12.4114.3926.80safe8.48–16.3310.83–17.9619.32–34.29safer7.39–17.429.87–18.9217.27–36.34
Shots in box
31%
60%
homeawaytotalprediction8.079.6017.67safe5.12–11.016.92–12.2812.04–23.29safer4.29–11.846.18–13.0210.48–24.86
Blocked shots
36%
14%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction3.624.147.75safe1.73–5.502.48–5.794.22–11.29safer1.19–6.041.99–6.283.18–12.33
Corners
39%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction5.285.6610.94safe3.07–7.493.66–7.666.73–15.16safer2.49–8.073.13–8.205.62–16.26
Possession %
41%
54%
homeawayprediction48.4951.26safe41.69–55.2844.47–58.04safer40.03–56.9542.80–59.71
Passes
39%
61%
homeawaytotalprediction445478922safe378–512411–544789–1056safer359–530394–562753–1092
Pass accuracy %
21%
75%
homeawayprediction65.8871.53safe61.85–69.9167.20–75.85safer60.56–71.2065.89–77.16
Fouls
28%
64%
homeawaytotalprediction10.5012.7323.23safe7.66–13.349.79–15.6817.45–29.02safer6.91–14.099.04–16.4315.95–30.52
Offsides
32%
20%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction1.872.284.15safe0.71–3.031.19–3.381.90–6.40safer0.40–3.330.90–3.671.31–6.99
Yellow cards
34%
23%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction1.511.743.26safe0.46–2.560.61–2.871.08–5.43safer0.20–2.830.32–3.160.52–5.99
Red cards
84%
homeawaytotalprediction0.100.080.19safe0.00–0.270.00–0.270.00–0.53safer0.00–0.410.00–0.400.00–0.82
GK saves
51%
16%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction3.352.796.14safe1.91–4.781.24–4.353.15–9.13safer1.52–5.170.81–4.772.34–9.95
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.19 0.23–2.16 0.00–2.41 | 1.66 0.81–2.52 0.58–2.75 | 2.86 1.04–4.68 0.56–5.16 | 27% 24% 48% |
| Shots on target | 3.94 2.07–5.80 1.58–6.29 | 5.18 3.44–6.92 2.97–7.39 | 9.11 5.51–12.72 4.55–13.68 | 28% 60% |
| Total shots | 12.41 8.48–16.33 7.39–17.42 | 14.39 10.83–17.96 9.87–18.92 | 26.80 19.32–34.29 17.27–36.34 | 32% 61% |
| Shots in box | 8.07 5.12–11.01 4.29–11.84 | 9.60 6.92–12.28 6.18–13.02 | 17.67 12.04–23.29 10.48–24.86 | 31% 60% |
| Blocked shots | 3.62 1.73–5.50 1.19–6.04 | 4.14 2.48–5.79 1.99–6.28 | 7.75 4.22–11.29 3.18–12.33 | 36% 14% 50% |
| Corners | 5.28 3.07–7.49 2.49–8.07 | 5.66 3.66–7.66 3.13–8.20 | 10.94 6.73–15.16 5.62–16.26 | 39% 49% |
| Possession % | 48.49 41.69–55.28 40.03–56.95 | 51.26 44.47–58.04 42.80–59.71 | — | 41% 54% |
| Passes | 445 378–512 359–530 | 478 411–544 394–562 | 922 789–1056 753–1092 | 39% 61% |
| Pass accuracy % | 65.88 61.85–69.91 60.56–71.20 | 71.53 67.20–75.85 65.89–77.16 | — | 21% 75% |
| Fouls | 10.50 7.66–13.34 6.91–14.09 | 12.73 9.79–15.68 9.04–16.43 | 23.23 17.45–29.02 15.95–30.52 | 28% 64% |
| Offsides | 1.87 0.71–3.03 0.40–3.33 | 2.28 1.19–3.38 0.90–3.67 | 4.15 1.90–6.40 1.31–6.99 | 32% 20% 48% |
| Yellow cards | 1.51 0.46–2.56 0.20–2.83 | 1.74 0.61–2.87 0.32–3.16 | 3.26 1.08–5.43 0.52–5.99 | 34% 23% 43% |
| Red cards | 0.10 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.41 | 0.08 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.40 | 0.19 0.00–0.53 0.00–0.82 | 84% |
| GK saves | 3.35 1.91–4.78 1.52–5.17 | 2.79 1.24–4.35 0.81–4.77 | 6.14 3.15–9.13 2.34–9.95 | 51% 16% 33% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.