Predicted match statistics
Goals
56%
23%
21%
homeawaytotalprediction1.821.022.84safe0.85–2.780.17–1.881.02–4.66safer0.60–3.040.00–2.100.54–5.14
Shots on target
67%
21%
homeawaytotalprediction5.353.518.85safe3.48–7.211.77–5.255.25–12.46safer2.99–7.701.30–5.724.29–13.42
Total shots
76%
18%
homeawaytotalprediction15.2711.1526.42safe11.34–19.197.59–14.7218.93–33.91safer10.25–20.286.63–15.6816.88–35.96
Shots in box
75%
18%
homeawaytotalprediction10.126.8817.00safe7.18–13.064.20–9.5611.38–22.62safer6.35–13.893.46–10.309.81–24.19
Blocked shots
53%
14%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction4.183.497.68safe2.30–6.061.84–5.154.14–11.21safer1.76–6.611.35–5.643.11–12.25
Corners
64%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction5.814.1910.01safe3.60–8.032.19–6.195.79–14.22safer3.03–8.601.66–6.734.69–15.33
Possession %
57%
38%
homeawayprediction52.1548.17safe45.36–58.9441.38–54.95safer43.69–60.6139.71–56.62
Passes
64%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction467424891safe400–534358–490757–1025safer382–552340–508722–1060
Pass accuracy %
35%
60%
homeawayprediction66.9669.52safe62.93–70.9965.19–73.84safer61.64–72.2863.89–75.15
Fouls
60%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction13.8312.0425.88safe11.00–16.679.10–14.9920.09–31.66safer10.24–17.438.35–15.7418.59–33.16
Offsides
41%
21%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction1.931.833.76safe0.77–3.090.74–2.921.50–6.01safer0.47–3.390.45–3.210.91–6.60
Yellow cards
41%
21%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction1.961.893.85safe0.91–3.010.76–3.021.67–6.03safer0.64–3.270.47–3.311.11–6.58
Red cards
82%
homeawaytotalprediction0.110.100.21safe0.00–0.270.00–0.290.00–0.56safer0.00–0.420.00–0.420.00–0.84
GK saves
27%
16%
57%
homeawaytotalprediction2.343.305.64safe0.90–3.771.75–4.862.65–8.63safer0.51–4.161.32–5.281.83–9.44
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.82 0.85–2.78 0.60–3.04 | 1.02 0.17–1.88 0.00–2.10 | 2.84 1.02–4.66 0.54–5.14 | 56% 23% 21% |
| Shots on target | 5.35 3.48–7.21 2.99–7.70 | 3.51 1.77–5.25 1.30–5.72 | 8.85 5.25–12.46 4.29–13.42 | 67% 21% |
| Total shots | 15.27 11.34–19.19 10.25–20.28 | 11.15 7.59–14.72 6.63–15.68 | 26.42 18.93–33.91 16.88–35.96 | 76% 18% |
| Shots in box | 10.12 7.18–13.06 6.35–13.89 | 6.88 4.20–9.56 3.46–10.30 | 17.00 11.38–22.62 9.81–24.19 | 75% 18% |
| Blocked shots | 4.18 2.30–6.06 1.76–6.61 | 3.49 1.84–5.15 1.35–5.64 | 7.68 4.14–11.21 3.11–12.25 | 53% 14% 33% |
| Corners | 5.81 3.60–8.03 3.03–8.60 | 4.19 2.19–6.19 1.66–6.73 | 10.01 5.79–14.22 4.69–15.33 | 64% 25% |
| Possession % | 52.15 45.36–58.94 43.69–60.61 | 48.17 41.38–54.95 39.71–56.62 | — | 57% 38% |
| Passes | 467 400–534 382–552 | 424 358–490 340–508 | 891 757–1025 722–1060 | 64% 36% |
| Pass accuracy % | 66.96 62.93–70.99 61.64–72.28 | 69.52 65.19–73.84 63.89–75.15 | — | 35% 60% |
| Fouls | 13.83 11.00–16.67 10.24–17.43 | 12.04 9.10–14.99 8.35–15.74 | 25.88 20.09–31.66 18.59–33.16 | 60% 33% |
| Offsides | 1.93 0.77–3.09 0.47–3.39 | 1.83 0.74–2.92 0.45–3.21 | 3.76 1.50–6.01 0.91–6.60 | 41% 21% 37% |
| Yellow cards | 1.96 0.91–3.01 0.64–3.27 | 1.89 0.76–3.02 0.47–3.31 | 3.85 1.67–6.03 1.11–6.58 | 41% 21% 38% |
| Red cards | 0.11 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.42 | 0.10 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.42 | 0.21 0.00–0.56 0.00–0.84 | 82% |
| GK saves | 2.34 0.90–3.77 0.51–4.16 | 3.30 1.75–4.86 1.32–5.28 | 5.64 2.65–8.63 1.83–9.44 | 27% 16% 57% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.