Premiership·Regular Season - 30·
Premiership·Regular Season - 30·Predicted match statistics
Goals
20%
22%
58%
homeawaytotalprediction1.051.922.97safe0.08–2.011.07–2.781.14–4.79safer0.00–2.270.84–3.000.66–5.27
Shots on target
23%
64%
homeawaytotalprediction3.354.918.26safe1.49–5.213.17–6.654.65–11.86safer1.00–5.702.70–7.123.70–12.82
Total shots
19%
75%
homeawaytotalprediction10.9314.9125.84safe7.00–14.8511.35–18.4818.36–33.33safer5.91–15.9510.39–19.4416.31–35.38
Shots in box
16%
77%
homeawaytotalprediction6.409.9016.30safe3.46–9.347.22–12.5810.67–21.92safer2.63–10.176.48–13.329.11–23.49
Blocked shots
27%
14%
59%
homeawaytotalprediction3.114.237.34safe1.23–4.992.58–5.883.81–10.88safer0.68–5.542.09–6.382.77–11.91
Corners
25%
64%
homeawaytotalprediction4.315.9310.24safe2.09–6.523.93–7.936.03–14.46safer1.52–7.103.40–8.474.92–15.56
Possession %
19%
78%
homeawayprediction43.4257.36safe36.63–50.2150.57–64.14safer34.96–51.8848.90–65.81
Passes
20%
80%
homeawaytotalprediction380481861safe313–447414–547727–994safer295–465397–565691–1030
Pass accuracy %
90%
homeawayprediction62.8173.37safe58.78–66.8469.05–77.70safer57.48–68.1367.74–79.01
Fouls
46%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction12.6112.6425.25safe9.77–15.449.70–15.5919.47–31.03safer9.01–16.208.95–16.3317.96–32.53
Offsides
30%
23%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction1.391.803.20safe0.23–2.550.71–2.900.94–5.45safer0.00–2.850.42–3.180.35–6.04
Yellow cards
46%
21%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction2.081.783.86safe1.03–3.130.65–2.911.68–6.04safer0.77–3.400.36–3.201.13–6.60
Red cards
79%
homeawaytotalprediction0.150.100.25safe0.00–0.310.00–0.290.00–0.60safer0.00–0.460.00–0.420.00–0.88
GK saves
58%
16%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction3.332.345.66safe1.89–4.760.78–3.902.67–8.66safer1.50–5.150.36–4.321.86–9.47
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.05 0.08–2.01 0.00–2.27 | 1.92 1.07–2.78 0.84–3.00 | 2.97 1.14–4.79 0.66–5.27 | 20% 22% 58% |
| Shots on target | 3.35 1.49–5.21 1.00–5.70 | 4.91 3.17–6.65 2.70–7.12 | 8.26 4.65–11.86 3.70–12.82 | 23% 64% |
| Total shots | 10.93 7.00–14.85 5.91–15.95 | 14.91 11.35–18.48 10.39–19.44 | 25.84 18.36–33.33 16.31–35.38 | 19% 75% |
| Shots in box | 6.40 3.46–9.34 2.63–10.17 | 9.90 7.22–12.58 6.48–13.32 | 16.30 10.67–21.92 9.11–23.49 | 16% 77% |
| Blocked shots | 3.11 1.23–4.99 0.68–5.54 | 4.23 2.58–5.88 2.09–6.38 | 7.34 3.81–10.88 2.77–11.91 | 27% 14% 59% |
| Corners | 4.31 2.09–6.52 1.52–7.10 | 5.93 3.93–7.93 3.40–8.47 | 10.24 6.03–14.46 4.92–15.56 | 25% 64% |
| Possession % | 43.42 36.63–50.21 34.96–51.88 | 57.36 50.57–64.14 48.90–65.81 | — | 19% 78% |
| Passes | 380 313–447 295–465 | 481 414–547 397–565 | 861 727–994 691–1030 | 20% 80% |
| Pass accuracy % | 62.81 58.78–66.84 57.48–68.13 | 73.37 69.05–77.70 67.74–79.01 | — | 90% |
| Fouls | 12.61 9.77–15.44 9.01–16.20 | 12.64 9.70–15.59 8.95–16.33 | 25.25 19.47–31.03 17.96–32.53 | 46% 46% |
| Offsides | 1.39 0.23–2.55 0.00–2.85 | 1.80 0.71–2.90 0.42–3.18 | 3.20 0.94–5.45 0.35–6.04 | 30% 23% 47% |
| Yellow cards | 2.08 1.03–3.13 0.77–3.40 | 1.78 0.65–2.91 0.36–3.20 | 3.86 1.68–6.04 1.13–6.60 | 46% 21% 34% |
| Red cards | 0.15 0.00–0.31 0.00–0.46 | 0.10 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.42 | 0.25 0.00–0.60 0.00–0.88 | 79% |
| GK saves | 3.33 1.89–4.76 1.50–5.15 | 2.34 0.78–3.90 0.36–4.32 | 5.66 2.67–8.66 1.86–9.47 | 58% 16% 26% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+