Premiership·Regular Season - 30·
Premiership·Regular Season - 30·Predicted match statistics
Goals
14%
18%
68%
homeawaytotalprediction0.922.303.22safe0.00–1.891.44–3.151.40–5.04safer0.00–2.141.21–3.380.92–5.52
Shots on target
18%
72%
homeawaytotalprediction3.585.879.46safe1.72–5.444.13–7.625.85–13.06safer1.23–5.933.67–8.084.90–14.02
Total shots
18%
76%
homeawaytotalprediction11.4815.6527.13safe7.55–15.4012.09–19.2219.64–34.62safer6.46–16.4911.13–20.1717.59–36.67
Shots in box
15%
79%
homeawaytotalprediction6.9610.8317.79safe4.02–9.908.15–13.5112.17–23.42safer3.19–10.737.42–14.2510.60–24.98
Blocked shots
28%
13%
59%
homeawaytotalprediction3.334.457.78safe1.45–5.212.80–6.114.25–11.32safer0.90–5.762.31–6.603.21–12.35
Corners
20%
70%
homeawaytotalprediction4.026.2010.22safe1.81–6.234.20–8.206.00–14.43safer1.23–6.813.66–8.734.90–15.54
Possession %
14%
83%
homeawayprediction41.8558.86safe35.06–48.6452.07–65.64safer33.39–50.3150.40–67.31
Passes
87%
homeawaytotalprediction425561986safe358–492494–627852–1120safer340–510477–645817–1155
Pass accuracy %
95%
homeawayprediction63.8377.01safe59.80–67.8672.68–81.33safer58.51–69.1571.37–82.64
Fouls
33%
59%
homeawaytotalprediction10.3611.9022.26safe7.52–13.208.96–14.8516.48–28.05safer6.77–13.958.21–15.6014.98–29.55
Offsides
30%
22%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction1.471.903.37safe0.31–2.630.81–3.001.12–5.63safer0.01–2.930.52–3.290.53–6.22
Yellow cards
39%
24%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction1.601.573.17safe0.55–2.650.44–2.700.99–5.35safer0.28–2.910.15–2.990.43–5.90
Red cards
85%
homeawaytotalprediction0.080.090.17safe0.00–0.240.00–0.280.00–0.51safer0.00–0.390.00–0.410.00–0.80
GK saves
55%
16%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction3.382.585.96safe1.94–4.821.02–4.142.97–8.95safer1.56–5.200.60–4.562.15–9.76
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 0.92 0.00–1.89 0.00–2.14 | 2.30 1.44–3.15 1.21–3.38 | 3.22 1.40–5.04 0.92–5.52 | 14% 18% 68% |
| Shots on target | 3.58 1.72–5.44 1.23–5.93 | 5.87 4.13–7.62 3.67–8.08 | 9.46 5.85–13.06 4.90–14.02 | 18% 72% |
| Total shots | 11.48 7.55–15.40 6.46–16.49 | 15.65 12.09–19.22 11.13–20.17 | 27.13 19.64–34.62 17.59–36.67 | 18% 76% |
| Shots in box | 6.96 4.02–9.90 3.19–10.73 | 10.83 8.15–13.51 7.42–14.25 | 17.79 12.17–23.42 10.60–24.98 | 15% 79% |
| Blocked shots | 3.33 1.45–5.21 0.90–5.76 | 4.45 2.80–6.11 2.31–6.60 | 7.78 4.25–11.32 3.21–12.35 | 28% 13% 59% |
| Corners | 4.02 1.81–6.23 1.23–6.81 | 6.20 4.20–8.20 3.66–8.73 | 10.22 6.00–14.43 4.90–15.54 | 20% 70% |
| Possession % | 41.85 35.06–48.64 33.39–50.31 | 58.86 52.07–65.64 50.40–67.31 | — | 14% 83% |
| Passes | 425 358–492 340–510 | 561 494–627 477–645 | 986 852–1120 817–1155 | 87% |
| Pass accuracy % | 63.83 59.80–67.86 58.51–69.15 | 77.01 72.68–81.33 71.37–82.64 | — | 95% |
| Fouls | 10.36 7.52–13.20 6.77–13.95 | 11.90 8.96–14.85 8.21–15.60 | 22.26 16.48–28.05 14.98–29.55 | 33% 59% |
| Offsides | 1.47 0.31–2.63 0.01–2.93 | 1.90 0.81–3.00 0.52–3.29 | 3.37 1.12–5.63 0.53–6.22 | 30% 22% 48% |
| Yellow cards | 1.60 0.55–2.65 0.28–2.91 | 1.57 0.44–2.70 0.15–2.99 | 3.17 0.99–5.35 0.43–5.90 | 39% 24% 38% |
| Red cards | 0.08 0.00–0.24 0.00–0.39 | 0.09 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.41 | 0.17 0.00–0.51 0.00–0.80 | 85% |
| GK saves | 3.38 1.94–4.82 1.56–5.20 | 2.58 1.02–4.14 0.60–4.56 | 5.96 2.97–8.95 2.15–9.76 | 55% 16% 29% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.