Premiership·Regular Season - 31·
Premiership·Regular Season - 31·Predicted match statistics
Goals
24%
23%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction1.161.843.00safe0.19–2.130.99–2.701.18–4.83safer0.00–2.380.76–2.930.70–5.31
Shots on target
20%
69%
homeawaytotalprediction4.056.1710.22safe2.19–5.914.43–7.916.61–13.82safer1.70–6.403.96–8.385.66–14.78
Total shots
25%
69%
homeawaytotalprediction12.9916.2029.19safe9.07–16.9212.64–19.7621.70–36.68safer7.98–18.0111.68–20.7219.65–38.73
Shots in box
27%
65%
homeawaytotalprediction8.2810.4318.71safe5.33–11.227.75–13.1113.08–24.33safer4.51–12.057.01–13.8511.52–25.90
Blocked shots
25%
62%
homeawaytotalprediction3.304.687.98safe1.41–5.183.03–6.334.44–11.51safer0.87–5.722.54–6.833.41–12.55
Corners
30%
59%
homeawaytotalprediction4.896.1711.06safe2.68–7.114.17–8.176.85–15.28safer2.11–7.683.64–8.705.74–16.38
Possession %
93%
homeawayprediction37.0063.25safe30.21–43.7956.47–70.04safer28.54–45.4654.79–71.71
Passes
97%
homeawaytotalprediction353585938safe286–421518–651804–1072safer268–439501–669769–1107
Pass accuracy %
97%
homeawayprediction64.9680.06safe60.93–68.9975.74–84.39safer59.63–70.2874.43–85.70
Fouls
31%
61%
homeawaytotalprediction10.2812.1322.41safe7.45–13.129.18–15.0716.63–28.19safer6.69–13.888.43–15.8215.12–29.70
Offsides
36%
22%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction1.741.913.65safe0.58–2.900.82–3.001.40–5.91safer0.28–3.210.53–3.290.81–6.50
Yellow cards
33%
25%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction1.341.552.89safe0.30–2.390.42–2.680.71–5.07safer0.03–2.660.13–2.970.16–5.63
Red cards
87%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.090.15safe0.00–0.220.00–0.270.00–0.50safer0.00–0.370.00–0.400.00–0.78
GK saves
64%
14%
22%
homeawaytotalprediction3.972.546.51safe2.53–5.410.98–4.093.52–9.50safer2.15–5.790.56–4.522.70–10.31
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.16 0.19–2.13 0.00–2.38 | 1.84 0.99–2.70 0.76–2.93 | 3.00 1.18–4.83 0.70–5.31 | 24% 23% 53% |
| Shots on target | 4.05 2.19–5.91 1.70–6.40 | 6.17 4.43–7.91 3.96–8.38 | 10.22 6.61–13.82 5.66–14.78 | 20% 69% |
| Total shots | 12.99 9.07–16.92 7.98–18.01 | 16.20 12.64–19.76 11.68–20.72 | 29.19 21.70–36.68 19.65–38.73 | 25% 69% |
| Shots in box | 8.28 5.33–11.22 4.51–12.05 | 10.43 7.75–13.11 7.01–13.85 | 18.71 13.08–24.33 11.52–25.90 | 27% 65% |
| Blocked shots | 3.30 1.41–5.18 0.87–5.72 | 4.68 3.03–6.33 2.54–6.83 | 7.98 4.44–11.51 3.41–12.55 | 25% 62% |
| Corners | 4.89 2.68–7.11 2.11–7.68 | 6.17 4.17–8.17 3.64–8.70 | 11.06 6.85–15.28 5.74–16.38 | 30% 59% |
| Possession % | 37.00 30.21–43.79 28.54–45.46 | 63.25 56.47–70.04 54.79–71.71 | — | 93% |
| Passes | 353 286–421 268–439 | 585 518–651 501–669 | 938 804–1072 769–1107 | 97% |
| Pass accuracy % | 64.96 60.93–68.99 59.63–70.28 | 80.06 75.74–84.39 74.43–85.70 | — | 97% |
| Fouls | 10.28 7.45–13.12 6.69–13.88 | 12.13 9.18–15.07 8.43–15.82 | 22.41 16.63–28.19 15.12–29.70 | 31% 61% |
| Offsides | 1.74 0.58–2.90 0.28–3.21 | 1.91 0.82–3.00 0.53–3.29 | 3.65 1.40–5.91 0.81–6.50 | 36% 22% 42% |
| Yellow cards | 1.34 0.30–2.39 0.03–2.66 | 1.55 0.42–2.68 0.13–2.97 | 2.89 0.71–5.07 0.16–5.63 | 33% 25% 42% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.09 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.40 | 0.15 0.00–0.50 0.00–0.78 | 87% |
| GK saves | 3.97 2.53–5.41 2.15–5.79 | 2.54 0.98–4.09 0.56–4.52 | 6.51 3.52–9.50 2.70–10.31 | 64% 14% 22% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.