Premiership·Regular Season - 31·
Premiership·Regular Season - 31·Predicted match statistics
Goals
46%
25%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction1.541.142.68safe0.57–2.500.29–1.990.85–4.50safer0.32–2.760.06–2.220.37–4.98
Shots on target
61%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction4.963.658.61safe3.10–6.821.91–5.405.01–12.22safer2.61–7.311.44–5.864.05–13.17
Total shots
74%
20%
homeawaytotalprediction14.8511.1526.00safe10.92–18.777.59–14.7118.51–33.48safer9.83–19.866.63–15.6716.46–35.53
Shots in box
71%
21%
homeawaytotalprediction9.776.9816.75safe6.83–12.724.30–9.6611.13–22.38safer6.00–13.553.56–10.409.56–23.94
Blocked shots
56%
15%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction3.933.026.95safe2.04–5.811.37–4.683.41–10.48safer1.50–6.350.88–5.172.38–11.52
Corners
63%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction5.934.3510.28safe3.72–8.142.35–6.356.06–14.49safer3.14–8.721.81–6.884.96–15.60
Possession %
67%
29%
homeawayprediction54.3246.00safe47.53–61.1139.21–52.78safer45.86–62.7837.54–54.45
Passes
78%
22%
homeawaytotalprediction475381856safe408–542315–447722–990safer390–560297–465687–1025
Pass accuracy %
47%
48%
homeawayprediction66.8166.89safe62.78–70.8462.57–71.22safer61.49–72.1361.26–72.53
Fouls
33%
60%
homeawaytotalprediction12.4414.2226.66safe9.60–15.2811.28–17.1720.88–32.45safer8.85–16.0310.53–17.9219.38–33.95
Offsides
42%
23%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction1.761.583.34safe0.60–2.920.49–2.681.09–5.59safer0.30–3.220.20–2.960.50–6.18
Yellow cards
32%
21%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction1.782.163.94safe0.73–2.831.03–3.291.76–6.12safer0.46–3.100.74–3.581.21–6.68
Red cards
83%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.120.20safe0.00–0.240.00–0.310.00–0.54safer0.00–0.390.00–0.440.00–0.83
GK saves
27%
16%
57%
homeawaytotalprediction2.483.445.92safe1.04–3.911.89–5.002.93–8.91safer0.65–4.301.46–5.422.11–9.72
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.54 0.57–2.50 0.32–2.76 | 1.14 0.29–1.99 0.06–2.22 | 2.68 0.85–4.50 0.37–4.98 | 46% 25% 28% |
| Shots on target | 4.96 3.10–6.82 2.61–7.31 | 3.65 1.91–5.40 1.44–5.86 | 8.61 5.01–12.22 4.05–13.17 | 61% 27% |
| Total shots | 14.85 10.92–18.77 9.83–19.86 | 11.15 7.59–14.71 6.63–15.67 | 26.00 18.51–33.48 16.46–35.53 | 74% 20% |
| Shots in box | 9.77 6.83–12.72 6.00–13.55 | 6.98 4.30–9.66 3.56–10.40 | 16.75 11.13–22.38 9.56–23.94 | 71% 21% |
| Blocked shots | 3.93 2.04–5.81 1.50–6.35 | 3.02 1.37–4.68 0.88–5.17 | 6.95 3.41–10.48 2.38–11.52 | 56% 15% 29% |
| Corners | 5.93 3.72–8.14 3.14–8.72 | 4.35 2.35–6.35 1.81–6.88 | 10.28 6.06–14.49 4.96–15.60 | 63% 26% |
| Possession % | 54.32 47.53–61.11 45.86–62.78 | 46.00 39.21–52.78 37.54–54.45 | — | 67% 29% |
| Passes | 475 408–542 390–560 | 381 315–447 297–465 | 856 722–990 687–1025 | 78% 22% |
| Pass accuracy % | 66.81 62.78–70.84 61.49–72.13 | 66.89 62.57–71.22 61.26–72.53 | — | 47% 48% |
| Fouls | 12.44 9.60–15.28 8.85–16.03 | 14.22 11.28–17.17 10.53–17.92 | 26.66 20.88–32.45 19.38–33.95 | 33% 60% |
| Offsides | 1.76 0.60–2.92 0.30–3.22 | 1.58 0.49–2.68 0.20–2.96 | 3.34 1.09–5.59 0.50–6.18 | 42% 23% 35% |
| Yellow cards | 1.78 0.73–2.83 0.46–3.10 | 2.16 1.03–3.29 0.74–3.58 | 3.94 1.76–6.12 1.21–6.68 | 32% 21% 47% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.24 0.00–0.39 | 0.12 0.00–0.31 0.00–0.44 | 0.20 0.00–0.54 0.00–0.83 | 83% |
| GK saves | 2.48 1.04–3.91 0.65–4.30 | 3.44 1.89–5.00 1.46–5.42 | 5.92 2.93–8.91 2.11–9.72 | 27% 16% 57% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.