Premiership·Regular Season - 31·
Premiership·Regular Season - 31·Predicted match statistics
Goals
44%
25%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction1.551.272.82safe0.58–2.520.42–2.131.00–4.65safer0.33–2.770.19–2.360.52–5.13
Shots on target
48%
13%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction4.634.258.87safe2.76–6.492.50–5.995.27–12.48safer2.27–6.982.04–6.454.31–13.43
Total shots
52%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction13.5612.8026.36safe9.64–17.499.23–16.3618.87–33.85safer8.55–18.588.27–17.3216.82–35.90
Shots in box
51%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction8.668.0816.74safe5.72–11.605.40–10.7611.11–22.36safer4.89–12.434.66–11.509.55–23.93
Blocked shots
39%
14%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction3.824.087.90safe1.94–5.702.43–5.734.36–11.43safer1.39–6.241.94–6.233.33–12.47
Corners
56%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction5.804.8210.62safe3.59–8.012.82–6.826.41–14.84safer3.01–8.592.29–7.365.30–15.95
Possession %
52%
43%
homeawayprediction51.4649.41safe44.67–58.2542.63–56.20safer43.00–59.9240.96–57.87
Passes
62%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction451414866safe384–519348–481732–999safer366–537330–498696–1035
Pass accuracy %
36%
59%
homeawayprediction68.0970.37safe64.06–72.1266.05–74.70safer62.77–73.4164.74–76.01
Fouls
41%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction12.7313.3826.11safe9.89–15.5710.43–16.3220.33–31.89safer9.14–16.329.69–17.0718.82–33.40
Offsides
53%
22%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction1.941.253.19safe0.78–3.100.16–2.350.94–5.44safer0.48–3.400.00–2.640.35–6.03
Yellow cards
31%
20%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction1.792.244.03safe0.74–2.841.11–3.371.85–6.21safer0.48–3.110.82–3.661.30–6.77
Red cards
84%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.120.19safe0.00–0.230.00–0.300.00–0.53safer0.00–0.380.00–0.440.00–0.82
GK saves
33%
16%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction2.633.205.84safe1.20–4.071.64–4.762.84–8.83safer0.81–4.461.22–5.182.03–9.64
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.55 0.58–2.52 0.33–2.77 | 1.27 0.42–2.13 0.19–2.36 | 2.82 1.00–4.65 0.52–5.13 | 44% 25% 31% |
| Shots on target | 4.63 2.76–6.49 2.27–6.98 | 4.25 2.50–5.99 2.04–6.45 | 8.87 5.27–12.48 4.31–13.43 | 48% 13% 38% |
| Total shots | 13.56 9.64–17.49 8.55–18.58 | 12.80 9.23–16.36 8.27–17.32 | 26.36 18.87–33.85 16.82–35.90 | 52% 40% |
| Shots in box | 8.66 5.72–11.60 4.89–12.43 | 8.08 5.40–10.76 4.66–11.50 | 16.74 11.11–22.36 9.55–23.93 | 51% 40% |
| Blocked shots | 3.82 1.94–5.70 1.39–6.24 | 4.08 2.43–5.73 1.94–6.23 | 7.90 4.36–11.43 3.33–12.47 | 39% 14% 46% |
| Corners | 5.80 3.59–8.01 3.01–8.59 | 4.82 2.82–6.82 2.29–7.36 | 10.62 6.41–14.84 5.30–15.95 | 56% 32% |
| Possession % | 51.46 44.67–58.25 43.00–59.92 | 49.41 42.63–56.20 40.96–57.87 | — | 52% 43% |
| Passes | 451 384–519 366–537 | 414 348–481 330–498 | 866 732–999 696–1035 | 62% 38% |
| Pass accuracy % | 68.09 64.06–72.12 62.77–73.41 | 70.37 66.05–74.70 64.74–76.01 | — | 36% 59% |
| Fouls | 12.73 9.89–15.57 9.14–16.32 | 13.38 10.43–16.32 9.69–17.07 | 26.11 20.33–31.89 18.82–33.40 | 41% 51% |
| Offsides | 1.94 0.78–3.10 0.48–3.40 | 1.25 0.16–2.35 0.00–2.64 | 3.19 0.94–5.44 0.35–6.03 | 53% 22% 25% |
| Yellow cards | 1.79 0.74–2.84 0.48–3.11 | 2.24 1.11–3.37 0.82–3.66 | 4.03 1.85–6.21 1.30–6.77 | 31% 20% 48% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.12 0.00–0.30 0.00–0.44 | 0.19 0.00–0.53 0.00–0.82 | 84% |
| GK saves | 2.63 1.20–4.07 0.81–4.46 | 3.20 1.64–4.76 1.22–5.18 | 5.84 2.84–8.83 2.03–9.64 | 33% 16% 51% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.