Premiership·Regular Season - 31·
Premiership·Regular Season - 31·Predicted match statistics
Goals
26%
23%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction1.251.843.08safe0.28–2.210.98–2.691.26–4.91safer0.03–2.460.76–2.920.78–5.39
Shots on target
30%
58%
homeawaytotalprediction4.325.479.79safe2.46–6.183.72–7.216.18–13.39safer1.97–6.673.26–7.675.23–14.35
Total shots
38%
54%
homeawaytotalprediction13.8114.8928.70safe9.88–17.7311.33–18.4521.21–36.18safer8.79–18.8210.37–19.4119.16–38.23
Shots in box
30%
62%
homeawaytotalprediction8.4310.2218.65safe5.49–11.377.54–12.9013.03–24.28safer4.66–12.206.80–13.6411.46–25.84
Blocked shots
45%
13%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction4.604.509.09safe2.72–6.482.84–6.155.56–12.63safer2.17–7.022.35–6.644.52–13.66
Corners
43%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction5.275.3410.60safe3.05–7.483.34–7.346.39–14.82safer2.48–8.062.80–7.875.28–15.93
Possession %
42%
53%
homeawayprediction48.8651.08safe42.07–55.6544.30–57.87safer40.40–57.3242.63–59.54
Passes
40%
60%
homeawaytotalprediction432462894safe364–499396–529760–1028safer346–517378–546725–1063
Pass accuracy %
19%
77%
homeawayprediction67.1473.45safe63.11–71.1769.13–77.78safer61.82–72.4767.82–79.09
Fouls
39%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction11.5012.3423.84safe8.66–14.339.40–15.2918.05–29.62safer7.90–15.098.65–16.0316.55–31.12
Offsides
29%
22%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction1.411.883.30safe0.25–2.570.79–2.981.04–5.55safer0.00–2.880.50–3.260.45–6.14
Yellow cards
44%
22%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction1.911.673.58safe0.86–2.950.54–2.801.40–5.76safer0.59–3.220.25–3.090.84–6.31
Red cards
84%
homeawaytotalprediction0.090.090.18safe0.00–0.250.00–0.270.00–0.52safer0.00–0.400.00–0.410.00–0.81
GK saves
51%
16%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction3.542.986.51safe2.10–4.971.42–4.543.52–9.51safer1.71–5.361.00–4.962.71–10.32
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.25 0.28–2.21 0.03–2.46 | 1.84 0.98–2.69 0.76–2.92 | 3.08 1.26–4.91 0.78–5.39 | 26% 23% 51% |
| Shots on target | 4.32 2.46–6.18 1.97–6.67 | 5.47 3.72–7.21 3.26–7.67 | 9.79 6.18–13.39 5.23–14.35 | 30% 58% |
| Total shots | 13.81 9.88–17.73 8.79–18.82 | 14.89 11.33–18.45 10.37–19.41 | 28.70 21.21–36.18 19.16–38.23 | 38% 54% |
| Shots in box | 8.43 5.49–11.37 4.66–12.20 | 10.22 7.54–12.90 6.80–13.64 | 18.65 13.03–24.28 11.46–25.84 | 30% 62% |
| Blocked shots | 4.60 2.72–6.48 2.17–7.02 | 4.50 2.84–6.15 2.35–6.64 | 9.09 5.56–12.63 4.52–13.66 | 45% 13% 42% |
| Corners | 5.27 3.05–7.48 2.48–8.06 | 5.34 3.34–7.34 2.80–7.87 | 10.60 6.39–14.82 5.28–15.93 | 43% 45% |
| Possession % | 48.86 42.07–55.65 40.40–57.32 | 51.08 44.30–57.87 42.63–59.54 | — | 42% 53% |
| Passes | 432 364–499 346–517 | 462 396–529 378–546 | 894 760–1028 725–1063 | 40% 60% |
| Pass accuracy % | 67.14 63.11–71.17 61.82–72.47 | 73.45 69.13–77.78 67.82–79.09 | — | 19% 77% |
| Fouls | 11.50 8.66–14.33 7.90–15.09 | 12.34 9.40–15.29 8.65–16.03 | 23.84 18.05–29.62 16.55–31.12 | 39% 53% |
| Offsides | 1.41 0.25–2.57 0.00–2.88 | 1.88 0.79–2.98 0.50–3.26 | 3.30 1.04–5.55 0.45–6.14 | 29% 22% 49% |
| Yellow cards | 1.91 0.86–2.95 0.59–3.22 | 1.67 0.54–2.80 0.25–3.09 | 3.58 1.40–5.76 0.84–6.31 | 44% 22% 34% |
| Red cards | 0.09 0.00–0.25 0.00–0.40 | 0.09 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.41 | 0.18 0.00–0.52 0.00–0.81 | 84% |
| GK saves | 3.54 2.10–4.97 1.71–5.36 | 2.98 1.42–4.54 1.00–4.96 | 6.51 3.52–9.51 2.71–10.32 | 51% 16% 34% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.