Premiership·Regular Season - 32·
Premiership·Regular Season - 32·Predicted match statistics
Goals
55%
23%
22%
homeawaytotalprediction1.821.062.87safe0.85–2.790.20–1.911.05–4.70safer0.60–3.040.00–2.140.57–5.18
Shots on target
75%
16%
homeawaytotalprediction6.013.489.49safe4.15–7.881.73–5.225.88–13.09safer3.66–8.371.27–5.684.93–14.05
Total shots
91%
homeawaytotalprediction18.1410.4928.63safe14.22–22.076.92–14.0521.14–36.11safer13.13–23.165.96–15.0119.09–38.17
Shots in box
76%
17%
homeawaytotalprediction10.567.0417.61safe7.62–13.504.36–9.7211.98–23.23safer6.79–14.333.63–10.4610.42–24.80
Blocked shots
62%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction4.993.568.55safe3.11–6.871.91–5.225.02–12.09safer2.56–7.411.42–5.713.98–13.12
Corners
73%
18%
homeawaytotalprediction6.784.2411.02safe4.57–9.002.24–6.246.81–15.23safer4.00–9.571.70–6.775.70–16.34
Possession %
91%
homeawayprediction62.2438.19safe55.45–69.0331.41–44.98safer53.78–70.7029.74–46.65
Passes
99%
homeawaytotalprediction622342964safe555–690275–408830–1098safer537–708258–426795–1133
Pass accuracy %
83%
14%
homeawayprediction77.6869.85safe73.65–81.7165.53–74.17safer72.36–83.0164.22–75.48
Fouls
41%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction10.6811.2121.89safe7.84–13.528.26–14.1516.11–27.67safer7.09–14.287.52–14.9014.60–29.18
Offsides
39%
24%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction1.581.523.10safe0.42–2.740.43–2.620.84–5.35safer0.11–3.040.14–2.900.26–5.94
Yellow cards
33%
23%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction1.561.813.37safe0.51–2.610.68–2.941.19–5.55safer0.24–2.870.39–3.230.64–6.11
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.100.16safe0.00–0.220.00–0.290.00–0.51safer0.00–0.370.00–0.420.00–0.79
GK saves
22%
14%
64%
homeawaytotalprediction2.353.726.08safe0.92–3.792.17–5.283.08–9.07safer0.53–4.181.74–5.702.27–9.88
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.82 0.85–2.79 0.60–3.04 | 1.06 0.20–1.91 0.00–2.14 | 2.87 1.05–4.70 0.57–5.18 | 55% 23% 22% |
| Shots on target | 6.01 4.15–7.88 3.66–8.37 | 3.48 1.73–5.22 1.27–5.68 | 9.49 5.88–13.09 4.93–14.05 | 75% 16% |
| Total shots | 18.14 14.22–22.07 13.13–23.16 | 10.49 6.92–14.05 5.96–15.01 | 28.63 21.14–36.11 19.09–38.17 | 91% |
| Shots in box | 10.56 7.62–13.50 6.79–14.33 | 7.04 4.36–9.72 3.63–10.46 | 17.61 11.98–23.23 10.42–24.80 | 76% 17% |
| Blocked shots | 4.99 3.11–6.87 2.56–7.41 | 3.56 1.91–5.22 1.42–5.71 | 8.55 5.02–12.09 3.98–13.12 | 62% 25% |
| Corners | 6.78 4.57–9.00 4.00–9.57 | 4.24 2.24–6.24 1.70–6.77 | 11.02 6.81–15.23 5.70–16.34 | 73% 18% |
| Possession % | 62.24 55.45–69.03 53.78–70.70 | 38.19 31.41–44.98 29.74–46.65 | — | 91% |
| Passes | 622 555–690 537–708 | 342 275–408 258–426 | 964 830–1098 795–1133 | 99% |
| Pass accuracy % | 77.68 73.65–81.71 72.36–83.01 | 69.85 65.53–74.17 64.22–75.48 | — | 83% 14% |
| Fouls | 10.68 7.84–13.52 7.09–14.28 | 11.21 8.26–14.15 7.52–14.90 | 21.89 16.11–27.67 14.60–29.18 | 41% 50% |
| Offsides | 1.58 0.42–2.74 0.11–3.04 | 1.52 0.43–2.62 0.14–2.90 | 3.10 0.84–5.35 0.26–5.94 | 39% 24% 37% |
| Yellow cards | 1.56 0.51–2.61 0.24–2.87 | 1.81 0.68–2.94 0.39–3.23 | 3.37 1.19–5.55 0.64–6.11 | 33% 23% 44% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.10 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.42 | 0.16 0.00–0.51 0.00–0.79 | 86% |
| GK saves | 2.35 0.92–3.79 0.53–4.18 | 3.72 2.17–5.28 1.74–5.70 | 6.08 3.08–9.07 2.27–9.88 | 22% 14% 64% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+