Predicted match statistics
Goals
39%
26%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction1.381.302.68safe0.42–2.350.45–2.160.86–4.51safer0.16–2.600.22–2.380.38–4.99
Shots on target
59%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction5.133.969.09safe3.27–7.002.22–5.705.49–12.70safer2.78–7.491.75–6.174.53–13.66
Total shots
81%
14%
homeawaytotalprediction17.2811.9929.27safe13.35–21.208.42–15.5521.78–36.75safer12.26–22.307.46–16.5119.73–38.80
Shots in box
66%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction10.087.8817.96safe7.14–13.025.20–10.5612.34–23.58safer6.31–13.854.46–11.3010.77–25.15
Blocked shots
62%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction5.283.859.13safe3.40–7.162.19–5.505.59–12.66safer2.85–7.701.70–5.994.55–13.70
Corners
60%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction6.204.8411.04safe3.98–8.412.84–6.846.82–15.25safer3.41–8.982.31–7.375.72–16.36
Possession %
77%
19%
homeawayprediction56.9043.21safe50.11–63.6936.43–50.00safer48.44–65.3634.76–51.67
Passes
82%
18%
homeawaytotalprediction500389888safe433–567322–455755–1022safer414–585305–473719–1058
Pass accuracy %
51%
43%
homeawayprediction70.1169.32safe66.08–74.1465.00–73.65safer64.79–75.4363.69–74.95
Fouls
44%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction11.6211.8823.50safe8.79–14.468.93–14.8217.72–29.28safer8.03–15.228.18–15.5716.21–30.79
Offsides
41%
22%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction1.811.693.51safe0.65–2.970.60–2.791.25–5.76safer0.35–3.280.31–3.070.66–6.35
Yellow cards
39%
23%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction1.681.673.35safe0.63–2.730.54–2.801.17–5.52safer0.36–2.990.25–3.090.61–6.08
Red cards
85%
homeawaytotalprediction0.090.070.16safe0.00–0.250.00–0.260.00–0.51safer0.00–0.400.00–0.390.00–0.79
GK saves
26%
15%
60%
homeawaytotalprediction2.623.756.37safe1.19–4.062.19–5.313.38–9.36safer0.80–4.451.77–5.732.57–10.18
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.38 0.42–2.35 0.16–2.60 | 1.30 0.45–2.16 0.22–2.38 | 2.68 0.86–4.51 0.38–4.99 | 39% 26% 35% |
| Shots on target | 5.13 3.27–7.00 2.78–7.49 | 3.96 2.22–5.70 1.75–6.17 | 9.09 5.49–12.70 4.53–13.66 | 59% 29% |
| Total shots | 17.28 13.35–21.20 12.26–22.30 | 11.99 8.42–15.55 7.46–16.51 | 29.27 21.78–36.75 19.73–38.80 | 81% 14% |
| Shots in box | 10.08 7.14–13.02 6.31–13.85 | 7.88 5.20–10.56 4.46–11.30 | 17.96 12.34–23.58 10.77–25.15 | 66% 26% |
| Blocked shots | 5.28 3.40–7.16 2.85–7.70 | 3.85 2.19–5.50 1.70–5.99 | 9.13 5.59–12.66 4.55–13.70 | 62% 26% |
| Corners | 6.20 3.98–8.41 3.41–8.98 | 4.84 2.84–6.84 2.31–7.37 | 11.04 6.82–15.25 5.72–16.36 | 60% 29% |
| Possession % | 56.90 50.11–63.69 48.44–65.36 | 43.21 36.43–50.00 34.76–51.67 | — | 77% 19% |
| Passes | 500 433–567 414–585 | 389 322–455 305–473 | 888 755–1022 719–1058 | 82% 18% |
| Pass accuracy % | 70.11 66.08–74.14 64.79–75.43 | 69.32 65.00–73.65 63.69–74.95 | — | 51% 43% |
| Fouls | 11.62 8.79–14.46 8.03–15.22 | 11.88 8.93–14.82 8.18–15.57 | 23.50 17.72–29.28 16.21–30.79 | 44% 48% |
| Offsides | 1.81 0.65–2.97 0.35–3.28 | 1.69 0.60–2.79 0.31–3.07 | 3.51 1.25–5.76 0.66–6.35 | 41% 22% 36% |
| Yellow cards | 1.68 0.63–2.73 0.36–2.99 | 1.67 0.54–2.80 0.25–3.09 | 3.35 1.17–5.52 0.61–6.08 | 39% 23% 38% |
| Red cards | 0.09 0.00–0.25 0.00–0.40 | 0.07 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.39 | 0.16 0.00–0.51 0.00–0.79 | 85% |
| GK saves | 2.62 1.19–4.06 0.80–4.45 | 3.75 2.19–5.31 1.77–5.73 | 6.37 3.38–9.36 2.57–10.18 | 26% 15% 60% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+