Predicted match statistics
Goals
19%
22%
59%
homeawaytotalprediction1.001.932.93safe0.03–1.971.08–2.791.11–4.76safer0.00–2.220.85–3.020.63–5.24
Shots on target
79%
homeawaytotalprediction3.246.209.44safe1.38–5.104.46–7.945.84–13.05safer0.89–5.593.99–8.414.88–14.00
Total shots
90%
homeawaytotalprediction10.4317.8028.24safe6.51–14.3614.24–21.3720.75–35.72safer5.41–15.4513.28–22.3318.70–37.77
Shots in box
87%
homeawaytotalprediction6.5311.7018.23safe3.59–9.479.02–14.3812.61–23.85safer2.76–10.308.28–15.1211.04–25.42
Blocked shots
13%
77%
homeawaytotalprediction2.685.297.97safe0.80–4.563.63–6.944.43–11.50safer0.26–5.113.14–7.433.40–12.54
Corners
23%
66%
homeawaytotalprediction4.386.2610.64safe2.17–6.594.26–8.266.42–14.85safer1.59–7.173.73–8.795.32–15.96
Possession %
15%
82%
homeawayprediction42.2058.81safe35.41–48.9952.03–65.60safer33.74–50.6650.36–67.27
Passes
14%
86%
homeawaytotalprediction367496863safe300–434429–562729–996safer282–452412–580693–1032
Pass accuracy %
94%
homeawayprediction61.5974.15safe57.56–65.6269.83–78.48safer56.26–66.9168.52–79.79
Fouls
41%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction12.5513.2125.76safe9.71–15.3910.27–16.1619.98–31.55safer8.96–16.149.52–16.9118.48–33.05
Offsides
38%
22%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction1.781.833.60safe0.62–2.940.74–2.921.35–5.86safer0.31–3.240.45–3.210.76–6.45
Yellow cards
39%
22%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction1.741.753.49safe0.69–2.790.62–2.871.31–5.66safer0.43–3.060.33–3.170.75–6.22
Red cards
85%
homeawaytotalprediction0.080.090.17safe0.00–0.240.00–0.280.00–0.51safer0.00–0.390.00–0.410.00–0.80
GK saves
69%
13%
18%
homeawaytotalprediction3.922.176.10safe2.49–5.360.62–3.733.11–9.09safer2.10–5.750.19–4.152.29–9.90
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.00 0.03–1.97 0.00–2.22 | 1.93 1.08–2.79 0.85–3.02 | 2.93 1.11–4.76 0.63–5.24 | 19% 22% 59% |
| Shots on target | 3.24 1.38–5.10 0.89–5.59 | 6.20 4.46–7.94 3.99–8.41 | 9.44 5.84–13.05 4.88–14.00 | 79% |
| Total shots | 10.43 6.51–14.36 5.41–15.45 | 17.80 14.24–21.37 13.28–22.33 | 28.24 20.75–35.72 18.70–37.77 | 90% |
| Shots in box | 6.53 3.59–9.47 2.76–10.30 | 11.70 9.02–14.38 8.28–15.12 | 18.23 12.61–23.85 11.04–25.42 | 87% |
| Blocked shots | 2.68 0.80–4.56 0.26–5.11 | 5.29 3.63–6.94 3.14–7.43 | 7.97 4.43–11.50 3.40–12.54 | 13% 77% |
| Corners | 4.38 2.17–6.59 1.59–7.17 | 6.26 4.26–8.26 3.73–8.79 | 10.64 6.42–14.85 5.32–15.96 | 23% 66% |
| Possession % | 42.20 35.41–48.99 33.74–50.66 | 58.81 52.03–65.60 50.36–67.27 | — | 15% 82% |
| Passes | 367 300–434 282–452 | 496 429–562 412–580 | 863 729–996 693–1032 | 14% 86% |
| Pass accuracy % | 61.59 57.56–65.62 56.26–66.91 | 74.15 69.83–78.48 68.52–79.79 | — | 94% |
| Fouls | 12.55 9.71–15.39 8.96–16.14 | 13.21 10.27–16.16 9.52–16.91 | 25.76 19.98–31.55 18.48–33.05 | 41% 51% |
| Offsides | 1.78 0.62–2.94 0.31–3.24 | 1.83 0.74–2.92 0.45–3.21 | 3.60 1.35–5.86 0.76–6.45 | 38% 22% 40% |
| Yellow cards | 1.74 0.69–2.79 0.43–3.06 | 1.75 0.62–2.87 0.33–3.17 | 3.49 1.31–5.66 0.75–6.22 | 39% 22% 39% |
| Red cards | 0.08 0.00–0.24 0.00–0.39 | 0.09 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.41 | 0.17 0.00–0.51 0.00–0.80 | 85% |
| GK saves | 3.92 2.49–5.36 2.10–5.75 | 2.17 0.62–3.73 0.19–4.15 | 6.10 3.11–9.09 2.29–9.90 | 69% 13% 18% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.