Premiership·Regular Season - 33·
Premiership·Regular Season - 33·Predicted match statistics
Goals
24%
23%
54%
homeawaytotalprediction1.151.842.99safe0.18–2.120.98–2.691.16–4.81safer0.00–2.370.76–2.920.68–5.29
Shots on target
29%
59%
homeawaytotalprediction4.375.599.96safe2.51–6.233.85–7.336.36–13.57safer2.02–6.723.38–7.805.40–14.52
Total shots
32%
61%
homeawaytotalprediction12.8114.7227.52safe8.88–16.7311.15–18.2820.04–35.01safer7.79–17.8210.20–19.2417.99–37.06
Shots in box
37%
54%
homeawaytotalprediction8.779.7218.49safe5.83–11.717.04–12.4012.87–24.12safer5.00–12.546.30–13.1411.30–25.68
Blocked shots
38%
15%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction3.503.817.31safe1.62–5.382.16–5.463.77–10.84safer1.07–5.921.66–5.952.74–11.88
Corners
35%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction4.875.6110.49safe2.66–7.093.61–7.616.27–14.70safer2.09–7.663.08–8.155.17–15.81
Possession %
16%
81%
homeawayprediction42.1557.91safe35.36–48.9451.12–64.69safer33.69–50.6149.45–66.36
Passes
88%
homeawaytotalprediction414554968safe347–481488–621834–1101safer328–499470–638798–1137
Pass accuracy %
92%
homeawayprediction66.9178.56safe62.88–70.9474.24–82.88safer61.59–72.2472.93–84.19
Fouls
30%
62%
homeawaytotalprediction10.3812.3222.70safe7.54–13.229.37–15.2616.92–28.48safer6.79–13.978.62–16.0115.41–29.99
Offsides
39%
23%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction1.671.663.33safe0.51–2.830.57–2.761.08–5.59safer0.21–3.130.28–3.040.49–6.18
Yellow cards
35%
25%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction1.391.492.88safe0.34–2.440.36–2.620.70–5.06safer0.08–2.710.07–2.910.14–5.62
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.080.16safe0.00–0.230.00–0.270.00–0.50safer0.00–0.380.00–0.400.00–0.79
GK saves
47%
16%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction3.323.016.34safe1.89–4.761.46–4.573.34–9.33safer1.50–5.151.03–4.992.53–10.14
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.15 0.18–2.12 0.00–2.37 | 1.84 0.98–2.69 0.76–2.92 | 2.99 1.16–4.81 0.68–5.29 | 24% 23% 54% |
| Shots on target | 4.37 2.51–6.23 2.02–6.72 | 5.59 3.85–7.33 3.38–7.80 | 9.96 6.36–13.57 5.40–14.52 | 29% 59% |
| Total shots | 12.81 8.88–16.73 7.79–17.82 | 14.72 11.15–18.28 10.20–19.24 | 27.52 20.04–35.01 17.99–37.06 | 32% 61% |
| Shots in box | 8.77 5.83–11.71 5.00–12.54 | 9.72 7.04–12.40 6.30–13.14 | 18.49 12.87–24.12 11.30–25.68 | 37% 54% |
| Blocked shots | 3.50 1.62–5.38 1.07–5.92 | 3.81 2.16–5.46 1.66–5.95 | 7.31 3.77–10.84 2.74–11.88 | 38% 15% 47% |
| Corners | 4.87 2.66–7.09 2.09–7.66 | 5.61 3.61–7.61 3.08–8.15 | 10.49 6.27–14.70 5.17–15.81 | 35% 53% |
| Possession % | 42.15 35.36–48.94 33.69–50.61 | 57.91 51.12–64.69 49.45–66.36 | — | 16% 81% |
| Passes | 414 347–481 328–499 | 554 488–621 470–638 | 968 834–1101 798–1137 | 88% |
| Pass accuracy % | 66.91 62.88–70.94 61.59–72.24 | 78.56 74.24–82.88 72.93–84.19 | — | 92% |
| Fouls | 10.38 7.54–13.22 6.79–13.97 | 12.32 9.37–15.26 8.62–16.01 | 22.70 16.92–28.48 15.41–29.99 | 30% 62% |
| Offsides | 1.67 0.51–2.83 0.21–3.13 | 1.66 0.57–2.76 0.28–3.04 | 3.33 1.08–5.59 0.49–6.18 | 39% 23% 38% |
| Yellow cards | 1.39 0.34–2.44 0.08–2.71 | 1.49 0.36–2.62 0.07–2.91 | 2.88 0.70–5.06 0.14–5.62 | 35% 25% 40% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.08 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.40 | 0.16 0.00–0.50 0.00–0.79 | 86% |
| GK saves | 3.32 1.89–4.76 1.50–5.15 | 3.01 1.46–4.57 1.03–4.99 | 6.34 3.34–9.33 2.53–10.14 | 47% 16% 37% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+