Predicted match statistics
Goals
66%
20%
14%
homeawaytotalprediction2.070.832.90safe1.11–3.040.00–1.681.08–4.72safer0.85–3.290.00–1.910.60–5.20
Shots on target
79%
homeawaytotalprediction6.053.169.21safe4.18–7.911.42–4.905.60–12.81safer3.69–8.400.95–5.374.65–13.77
Total shots
93%
homeawaytotalprediction17.159.2626.41safe13.22–21.075.70–12.8218.92–33.90safer12.13–22.164.74–13.7816.87–35.95
Shots in box
88%
homeawaytotalprediction11.676.1617.83safe8.72–14.613.48–8.8412.21–23.45safer7.90–15.442.75–9.5810.64–25.02
Blocked shots
72%
17%
homeawaytotalprediction5.142.998.12safe3.26–7.021.33–4.644.59–11.66safer2.71–7.560.84–5.133.55–12.70
Corners
83%
homeawaytotalprediction6.933.3810.31safe4.72–9.141.38–5.386.10–14.52safer4.14–9.720.85–5.914.99–15.63
Possession %
87%
homeawayprediction60.3040.13safe53.51–67.0933.34–46.91safer51.84–68.7631.67–48.58
Passes
95%
homeawaytotalprediction552353905safe484–619287–420771–1039safer466–637269–437736–1074
Pass accuracy %
79%
17%
homeawayprediction76.0969.33safe72.06–80.1265.00–73.65safer70.77–81.4163.69–74.96
Fouls
33%
59%
homeawaytotalprediction10.4912.0522.54safe7.66–13.339.11–15.0016.76–28.33safer6.90–14.098.36–15.7415.26–29.83
Offsides
59%
20%
21%
homeawaytotalprediction2.281.323.60safe1.12–3.440.23–2.421.35–5.86safer0.82–3.740.00–2.710.76–6.44
Yellow cards
22%
19%
59%
homeawaytotalprediction1.472.423.89safe0.42–2.511.29–3.551.71–6.06safer0.15–2.781.00–3.841.15–6.62
Red cards
87%
homeawaytotalprediction0.050.090.14safe0.00–0.210.00–0.270.00–0.49safer0.00–0.360.00–0.410.00–0.77
GK saves
20%
14%
66%
homeawaytotalprediction2.223.776.00safe0.79–3.662.22–5.333.00–8.99safer0.40–4.051.79–5.752.19–9.80
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.07 1.11–3.04 0.85–3.29 | 0.83 0.00–1.68 0.00–1.91 | 2.90 1.08–4.72 0.60–5.20 | 66% 20% 14% |
| Shots on target | 6.05 4.18–7.91 3.69–8.40 | 3.16 1.42–4.90 0.95–5.37 | 9.21 5.60–12.81 4.65–13.77 | 79% |
| Total shots | 17.15 13.22–21.07 12.13–22.16 | 9.26 5.70–12.82 4.74–13.78 | 26.41 18.92–33.90 16.87–35.95 | 93% |
| Shots in box | 11.67 8.72–14.61 7.90–15.44 | 6.16 3.48–8.84 2.75–9.58 | 17.83 12.21–23.45 10.64–25.02 | 88% |
| Blocked shots | 5.14 3.26–7.02 2.71–7.56 | 2.99 1.33–4.64 0.84–5.13 | 8.12 4.59–11.66 3.55–12.70 | 72% 17% |
| Corners | 6.93 4.72–9.14 4.14–9.72 | 3.38 1.38–5.38 0.85–5.91 | 10.31 6.10–14.52 4.99–15.63 | 83% |
| Possession % | 60.30 53.51–67.09 51.84–68.76 | 40.13 33.34–46.91 31.67–48.58 | — | 87% |
| Passes | 552 484–619 466–637 | 353 287–420 269–437 | 905 771–1039 736–1074 | 95% |
| Pass accuracy % | 76.09 72.06–80.12 70.77–81.41 | 69.33 65.00–73.65 63.69–74.96 | — | 79% 17% |
| Fouls | 10.49 7.66–13.33 6.90–14.09 | 12.05 9.11–15.00 8.36–15.74 | 22.54 16.76–28.33 15.26–29.83 | 33% 59% |
| Offsides | 2.28 1.12–3.44 0.82–3.74 | 1.32 0.23–2.42 0.00–2.71 | 3.60 1.35–5.86 0.76–6.44 | 59% 20% 21% |
| Yellow cards | 1.47 0.42–2.51 0.15–2.78 | 2.42 1.29–3.55 1.00–3.84 | 3.89 1.71–6.06 1.15–6.62 | 22% 19% 59% |
| Red cards | 0.05 0.00–0.21 0.00–0.36 | 0.09 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.41 | 0.14 0.00–0.49 0.00–0.77 | 87% |
| GK saves | 2.22 0.79–3.66 0.40–4.05 | 3.77 2.22–5.33 1.79–5.75 | 6.00 3.00–8.99 2.19–9.80 | 20% 14% 66% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.