Predicted match statistics
Goals
23%
24%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction1.021.692.70safe0.05–1.980.83–2.540.88–4.53safer0.00–2.240.60–2.770.40–5.01
Shots on target
21%
68%
homeawaytotalprediction3.605.509.11safe1.74–5.463.76–7.255.50–12.71safer1.25–5.953.30–7.714.55–13.67
Total shots
18%
76%
homeawaytotalprediction11.5015.6827.18safe7.57–15.4212.12–19.2419.69–34.67safer6.48–16.5111.16–20.2017.64–36.72
Shots in box
14%
80%
homeawaytotalprediction6.5310.4516.98safe3.59–9.477.77–13.1311.36–22.61safer2.76–10.307.03–13.879.79–24.17
Blocked shots
29%
14%
58%
homeawaytotalprediction3.274.317.58safe1.38–5.152.66–5.964.04–11.11safer0.84–5.692.16–6.453.00–12.15
Corners
26%
62%
homeawaytotalprediction4.135.639.75safe1.91–6.343.63–7.635.54–13.97safer1.34–6.913.09–8.164.43–15.07
Possession %
85%
homeawayprediction40.6259.48safe33.83–47.4152.69–66.26safer32.16–49.0851.02–67.94
Passes
90%
homeawaytotalprediction356512869safe289–423446–579735–1002safer271–442428–596699–1038
Pass accuracy %
93%
homeawayprediction65.8877.97safe61.85–69.9173.64–82.29safer60.56–71.2072.33–83.60
Fouls
57%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction12.5311.1523.68safe9.69–15.378.21–14.1017.90–29.46safer8.94–16.127.46–14.8516.39–30.97
Offsides
23%
20%
58%
homeawaytotalprediction1.412.303.71safe0.25–2.571.21–3.391.45–5.96safer0.00–2.870.92–3.680.86–6.55
Yellow cards
39%
22%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction1.811.803.60safe0.76–2.860.67–2.921.43–5.78safer0.49–3.120.38–3.220.87–6.34
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.080.15safe0.00–0.240.00–0.260.00–0.50safer0.00–0.380.00–0.400.00–0.78
GK saves
55%
16%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction3.412.555.96safe1.97–4.841.00–4.112.97–8.95safer1.58–5.230.57–4.542.16–9.77
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.02 0.05–1.98 0.00–2.24 | 1.69 0.83–2.54 0.60–2.77 | 2.70 0.88–4.53 0.40–5.01 | 23% 24% 53% |
| Shots on target | 3.60 1.74–5.46 1.25–5.95 | 5.50 3.76–7.25 3.30–7.71 | 9.11 5.50–12.71 4.55–13.67 | 21% 68% |
| Total shots | 11.50 7.57–15.42 6.48–16.51 | 15.68 12.12–19.24 11.16–20.20 | 27.18 19.69–34.67 17.64–36.72 | 18% 76% |
| Shots in box | 6.53 3.59–9.47 2.76–10.30 | 10.45 7.77–13.13 7.03–13.87 | 16.98 11.36–22.61 9.79–24.17 | 14% 80% |
| Blocked shots | 3.27 1.38–5.15 0.84–5.69 | 4.31 2.66–5.96 2.16–6.45 | 7.58 4.04–11.11 3.00–12.15 | 29% 14% 58% |
| Corners | 4.13 1.91–6.34 1.34–6.91 | 5.63 3.63–7.63 3.09–8.16 | 9.75 5.54–13.97 4.43–15.07 | 26% 62% |
| Possession % | 40.62 33.83–47.41 32.16–49.08 | 59.48 52.69–66.26 51.02–67.94 | — | 85% |
| Passes | 356 289–423 271–442 | 512 446–579 428–596 | 869 735–1002 699–1038 | 90% |
| Pass accuracy % | 65.88 61.85–69.91 60.56–71.20 | 77.97 73.64–82.29 72.33–83.60 | — | 93% |
| Fouls | 12.53 9.69–15.37 8.94–16.12 | 11.15 8.21–14.10 7.46–14.85 | 23.68 17.90–29.46 16.39–30.97 | 57% 35% |
| Offsides | 1.41 0.25–2.57 0.00–2.87 | 2.30 1.21–3.39 0.92–3.68 | 3.71 1.45–5.96 0.86–6.55 | 23% 20% 58% |
| Yellow cards | 1.81 0.76–2.86 0.49–3.12 | 1.80 0.67–2.92 0.38–3.22 | 3.60 1.43–5.78 0.87–6.34 | 39% 22% 39% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.24 0.00–0.38 | 0.08 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.40 | 0.15 0.00–0.50 0.00–0.78 | 86% |
| GK saves | 3.41 1.97–4.84 1.58–5.23 | 2.55 1.00–4.11 0.57–4.54 | 5.96 2.97–8.95 2.16–9.77 | 55% 16% 29% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.