Predicted match statistics
Goals
48%
25%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction1.581.142.71safe0.61–2.550.28–1.990.89–4.54safer0.36–2.800.05–2.220.41–5.02
Shots on target
64%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction5.533.949.46safe3.66–7.392.19–5.685.86–13.07safer3.17–7.881.73–6.154.90–14.02
Total shots
80%
15%
homeawaytotalprediction17.1212.0129.13safe13.20–21.058.44–15.5721.64–36.62safer12.11–22.147.49–16.5319.59–38.67
Shots in box
71%
22%
homeawaytotalprediction10.938.0618.99safe7.99–13.885.38–10.7413.37–24.62safer7.16–14.714.64–11.4811.80–26.18
Blocked shots
66%
22%
homeawaytotalprediction4.993.318.30safe3.11–6.871.66–4.964.76–11.84safer2.56–7.421.17–5.463.73–12.87
Corners
65%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction6.344.5610.90safe4.13–8.562.56–6.566.69–15.12safer3.56–9.132.03–7.095.58–16.22
Possession %
36%
59%
homeawayprediction47.3852.33safe40.59–54.1745.55–59.12safer38.92–55.8443.87–60.79
Passes
39%
60%
homeawaytotalprediction427459887safe360–494393–526753–1020safer342–513375–543717–1056
Pass accuracy %
27%
68%
homeawayprediction70.3674.59safe66.33–74.3970.26–78.91safer65.04–75.6868.95–80.22
Fouls
46%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction11.3111.3422.65safe8.47–14.148.40–14.2916.87–28.43safer7.71–14.907.65–15.0315.36–29.94
Offsides
26%
20%
55%
homeawaytotalprediction1.582.333.91safe0.41–2.741.24–3.431.65–6.16safer0.11–3.040.95–3.711.06–6.75
Yellow cards
32%
21%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction1.682.093.77safe0.63–2.730.96–3.211.59–5.95safer0.37–3.000.67–3.511.03–6.50
Red cards
89%
homeawaytotalprediction0.050.070.12safe0.00–0.210.00–0.260.00–0.47safer0.00–0.360.00–0.390.00–0.75
GK saves
28%
15%
57%
homeawaytotalprediction2.713.676.37safe1.27–4.142.11–5.223.38–9.37safer0.88–4.531.69–5.652.57–10.18
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.58 0.61–2.55 0.36–2.80 | 1.14 0.28–1.99 0.05–2.22 | 2.71 0.89–4.54 0.41–5.02 | 48% 25% 27% |
| Shots on target | 5.53 3.66–7.39 3.17–7.88 | 3.94 2.19–5.68 1.73–6.15 | 9.46 5.86–13.07 4.90–14.02 | 64% 25% |
| Total shots | 17.12 13.20–21.05 12.11–22.14 | 12.01 8.44–15.57 7.49–16.53 | 29.13 21.64–36.62 19.59–38.67 | 80% 15% |
| Shots in box | 10.93 7.99–13.88 7.16–14.71 | 8.06 5.38–10.74 4.64–11.48 | 18.99 13.37–24.62 11.80–26.18 | 71% 22% |
| Blocked shots | 4.99 3.11–6.87 2.56–7.42 | 3.31 1.66–4.96 1.17–5.46 | 8.30 4.76–11.84 3.73–12.87 | 66% 22% |
| Corners | 6.34 4.13–8.56 3.56–9.13 | 4.56 2.56–6.56 2.03–7.09 | 10.90 6.69–15.12 5.58–16.22 | 65% 24% |
| Possession % | 47.38 40.59–54.17 38.92–55.84 | 52.33 45.55–59.12 43.87–60.79 | — | 36% 59% |
| Passes | 427 360–494 342–513 | 459 393–526 375–543 | 887 753–1020 717–1056 | 39% 60% |
| Pass accuracy % | 70.36 66.33–74.39 65.04–75.68 | 74.59 70.26–78.91 68.95–80.22 | — | 27% 68% |
| Fouls | 11.31 8.47–14.14 7.71–14.90 | 11.34 8.40–14.29 7.65–15.03 | 22.65 16.87–28.43 15.36–29.94 | 46% 46% |
| Offsides | 1.58 0.41–2.74 0.11–3.04 | 2.33 1.24–3.43 0.95–3.71 | 3.91 1.65–6.16 1.06–6.75 | 26% 20% 55% |
| Yellow cards | 1.68 0.63–2.73 0.37–3.00 | 2.09 0.96–3.21 0.67–3.51 | 3.77 1.59–5.95 1.03–6.50 | 32% 21% 47% |
| Red cards | 0.05 0.00–0.21 0.00–0.36 | 0.07 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.39 | 0.12 0.00–0.47 0.00–0.75 | 89% |
| GK saves | 2.71 1.27–4.14 0.88–4.53 | 3.67 2.11–5.22 1.69–5.65 | 6.37 3.38–9.37 2.57–10.18 | 28% 15% 57% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+