Predicted match statistics
Goals
38%
27%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction1.291.232.52safe0.32–2.260.37–2.080.69–4.34safer0.07–2.510.14–2.310.21–4.82
Shots on target
48%
14%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction4.444.048.48safe2.58–6.302.30–5.784.87–12.08safer2.09–6.791.83–6.253.92–13.04
Total shots
47%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction13.2813.2126.48safe9.35–17.209.65–16.7719.00–33.97safer8.26–18.298.69–17.7316.95–36.02
Shots in box
51%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction9.488.8918.37safe6.54–12.436.21–11.5712.75–23.99safer5.71–13.255.47–12.3111.18–25.56
Blocked shots
47%
15%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction4.023.757.76safe2.13–5.902.10–5.404.23–11.30safer1.59–6.441.60–5.893.19–12.34
Corners
40%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction5.035.3010.34safe2.82–7.253.30–7.306.12–14.55safer2.25–7.822.77–7.845.02–15.66
Possession %
28%
67%
homeawayprediction46.0554.66safe39.26–52.8447.88–61.45safer37.59–54.5146.20–63.12
Passes
25%
75%
homeawaytotalprediction374455829safe307–441389–522696–963safer288–459371–539660–999
Pass accuracy %
23%
73%
homeawayprediction65.5770.75safe61.54–69.6066.43–75.08safer60.25–70.8965.12–76.39
Fouls
64%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction11.719.5221.23safe8.87–14.556.58–12.4715.45–27.02safer8.12–15.305.83–13.2213.95–28.52
Offsides
25%
22%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction1.271.903.17safe0.11–2.430.81–2.990.91–5.42safer0.00–2.730.52–3.280.32–6.01
Yellow cards
41%
21%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction1.951.863.81safe0.90–3.000.73–2.991.63–5.99safer0.64–3.270.44–3.281.08–6.55
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.080.070.15safe0.00–0.240.00–0.260.00–0.50safer0.00–0.390.00–0.390.00–0.78
GK saves
38%
17%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction2.672.855.52safe1.23–4.101.30–4.412.53–8.51safer0.84–4.490.87–4.831.71–9.32
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.29 0.32–2.26 0.07–2.51 | 1.23 0.37–2.08 0.14–2.31 | 2.52 0.69–4.34 0.21–4.82 | 38% 27% 35% |
| Shots on target | 4.44 2.58–6.30 2.09–6.79 | 4.04 2.30–5.78 1.83–6.25 | 8.48 4.87–12.08 3.92–13.04 | 48% 14% 38% |
| Total shots | 13.28 9.35–17.20 8.26–18.29 | 13.21 9.65–16.77 8.69–17.73 | 26.48 19.00–33.97 16.95–36.02 | 47% 46% |
| Shots in box | 9.48 6.54–12.43 5.71–13.25 | 8.89 6.21–11.57 5.47–12.31 | 18.37 12.75–23.99 11.18–25.56 | 51% 40% |
| Blocked shots | 4.02 2.13–5.90 1.59–6.44 | 3.75 2.10–5.40 1.60–5.89 | 7.76 4.23–11.30 3.19–12.34 | 47% 15% 39% |
| Corners | 5.03 2.82–7.25 2.25–7.82 | 5.30 3.30–7.30 2.77–7.84 | 10.34 6.12–14.55 5.02–15.66 | 40% 47% |
| Possession % | 46.05 39.26–52.84 37.59–54.51 | 54.66 47.88–61.45 46.20–63.12 | — | 28% 67% |
| Passes | 374 307–441 288–459 | 455 389–522 371–539 | 829 696–963 660–999 | 25% 75% |
| Pass accuracy % | 65.57 61.54–69.60 60.25–70.89 | 70.75 66.43–75.08 65.12–76.39 | — | 23% 73% |
| Fouls | 11.71 8.87–14.55 8.12–15.30 | 9.52 6.58–12.47 5.83–13.22 | 21.23 15.45–27.02 13.95–28.52 | 64% 28% |
| Offsides | 1.27 0.11–2.43 0.00–2.73 | 1.90 0.81–2.99 0.52–3.28 | 3.17 0.91–5.42 0.32–6.01 | 25% 22% 52% |
| Yellow cards | 1.95 0.90–3.00 0.64–3.27 | 1.86 0.73–2.99 0.44–3.28 | 3.81 1.63–5.99 1.08–6.55 | 41% 21% 38% |
| Red cards | 0.08 0.00–0.24 0.00–0.39 | 0.07 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.39 | 0.15 0.00–0.50 0.00–0.78 | 86% |
| GK saves | 2.67 1.23–4.10 0.84–4.49 | 2.85 1.30–4.41 0.87–4.83 | 5.52 2.53–8.51 1.71–9.32 | 38% 17% 44% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.