Predicted match statistics
Goals
44%
26%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction1.431.152.58safe0.47–2.400.29–2.000.76–4.40safer0.21–2.650.07–2.230.28–4.88
Shots on target
59%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction4.833.628.45safe2.96–6.691.88–5.364.84–12.05safer2.47–7.181.41–5.833.89–13.01
Total shots
80%
15%
homeawaytotalprediction15.5110.6926.20safe11.59–19.447.12–14.2518.71–33.69safer10.50–20.536.16–15.2116.66–35.74
Shots in box
75%
18%
homeawaytotalprediction10.246.9817.22safe7.30–13.194.30–9.6611.60–22.85safer6.47–14.023.56–10.4010.03–24.41
Blocked shots
61%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction4.823.528.34safe2.94–6.701.87–5.174.81–11.88safer2.40–7.251.38–5.673.77–12.91
Corners
65%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction6.134.3710.50safe3.92–8.342.37–6.376.29–14.71safer3.34–8.921.84–6.905.18–15.82
Possession %
82%
15%
homeawayprediction57.8441.17safe51.05–64.6334.38–47.95safer49.38–66.3032.71–49.62
Passes
92%
homeawaytotalprediction511346856safe443–578279–412723–990safer425–596262–430687–1026
Pass accuracy %
53%
42%
homeawayprediction69.4168.27safe65.38–73.4463.95–72.60safer64.09–74.7362.64–73.90
Fouls
26%
66%
homeawaytotalprediction9.1611.5220.68safe6.32–12.008.58–14.4714.90–26.47safer5.57–12.757.83–15.2213.40–27.97
Offsides
53%
23%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction1.841.183.03safe0.68–3.000.09–2.280.78–5.28safer0.38–3.310.00–2.570.19–5.87
Yellow cards
25%
22%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction1.312.003.31safe0.26–2.360.87–3.121.13–5.48safer0.00–2.630.58–3.420.57–6.04
Red cards
87%
homeawaytotalprediction0.050.090.14safe0.00–0.210.00–0.270.00–0.49safer0.00–0.360.00–0.410.00–0.77
GK saves
29%
16%
55%
homeawaytotalprediction2.483.275.76safe1.05–3.921.72–4.832.77–8.75safer0.66–4.311.29–5.261.95–9.56
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.43 0.47–2.40 0.21–2.65 | 1.15 0.29–2.00 0.07–2.23 | 2.58 0.76–4.40 0.28–4.88 | 44% 26% 30% |
| Shots on target | 4.83 2.96–6.69 2.47–7.18 | 3.62 1.88–5.36 1.41–5.83 | 8.45 4.84–12.05 3.89–13.01 | 59% 28% |
| Total shots | 15.51 11.59–19.44 10.50–20.53 | 10.69 7.12–14.25 6.16–15.21 | 26.20 18.71–33.69 16.66–35.74 | 80% 15% |
| Shots in box | 10.24 7.30–13.19 6.47–14.02 | 6.98 4.30–9.66 3.56–10.40 | 17.22 11.60–22.85 10.03–24.41 | 75% 18% |
| Blocked shots | 4.82 2.94–6.70 2.40–7.25 | 3.52 1.87–5.17 1.38–5.67 | 8.34 4.81–11.88 3.77–12.91 | 61% 26% |
| Corners | 6.13 3.92–8.34 3.34–8.92 | 4.37 2.37–6.37 1.84–6.90 | 10.50 6.29–14.71 5.18–15.82 | 65% 24% |
| Possession % | 57.84 51.05–64.63 49.38–66.30 | 41.17 34.38–47.95 32.71–49.62 | — | 82% 15% |
| Passes | 511 443–578 425–596 | 346 279–412 262–430 | 856 723–990 687–1026 | 92% |
| Pass accuracy % | 69.41 65.38–73.44 64.09–74.73 | 68.27 63.95–72.60 62.64–73.90 | — | 53% 42% |
| Fouls | 9.16 6.32–12.00 5.57–12.75 | 11.52 8.58–14.47 7.83–15.22 | 20.68 14.90–26.47 13.40–27.97 | 26% 66% |
| Offsides | 1.84 0.68–3.00 0.38–3.31 | 1.18 0.09–2.28 0.00–2.57 | 3.03 0.78–5.28 0.19–5.87 | 53% 23% 24% |
| Yellow cards | 1.31 0.26–2.36 0.00–2.63 | 2.00 0.87–3.12 0.58–3.42 | 3.31 1.13–5.48 0.57–6.04 | 25% 22% 53% |
| Red cards | 0.05 0.00–0.21 0.00–0.36 | 0.09 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.41 | 0.14 0.00–0.49 0.00–0.77 | 87% |
| GK saves | 2.48 1.05–3.92 0.66–4.31 | 3.27 1.72–4.83 1.29–5.26 | 5.76 2.77–8.75 1.95–9.56 | 29% 16% 55% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.