Predicted match statistics
Goals
39%
24%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction1.541.513.05safe0.57–2.510.65–2.361.23–4.87safer0.32–2.760.42–2.590.75–5.35
Shots on target
41%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction4.935.1510.08safe3.07–6.803.41–6.896.48–13.69safer2.58–7.292.94–7.365.52–14.64
Total shots
53%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction14.4213.5327.95safe10.49–18.349.97–17.0920.46–35.44safer9.40–19.449.01–18.0518.41–37.49
Shots in box
51%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction10.169.5919.75safe7.22–13.106.91–12.2714.13–25.37safer6.39–13.936.17–13.0112.56–26.94
Blocked shots
49%
14%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction4.123.677.78safe2.24–6.002.01–5.324.25–11.32safer1.69–6.541.52–5.813.21–12.36
Corners
44%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction5.305.2710.57safe3.08–7.513.27–7.276.36–14.78safer2.51–8.092.74–7.805.25–15.89
Possession %
29%
67%
homeawayprediction46.0054.60safe39.21–52.7947.82–61.39safer37.54–54.4646.14–63.06
Passes
25%
75%
homeawaytotalprediction430511941safe362–497445–578807–1074safer344–515427–595771–1110
Pass accuracy %
25%
71%
homeawayprediction70.9475.71safe66.91–74.9771.39–80.04safer65.62–76.2670.08–81.35
Fouls
46%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction11.0410.9622.00safe8.21–13.888.02–13.9116.22–27.79safer7.45–14.647.27–14.6514.72–29.29
Offsides
50%
21%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction2.151.623.77safe0.99–3.310.53–2.711.52–6.03safer0.69–3.610.24–3.000.93–6.61
Yellow cards
34%
21%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction1.721.993.72safe0.67–2.770.87–3.121.54–5.90safer0.41–3.040.57–3.410.98–6.45
Red cards
89%
homeawaytotalprediction0.050.070.12safe0.00–0.210.00–0.260.00–0.47safer0.00–0.360.00–0.390.00–0.75
GK saves
41%
16%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction3.153.236.38safe1.72–4.591.67–4.783.39–9.37safer1.33–4.981.24–5.212.58–10.19
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.54 0.57–2.51 0.32–2.76 | 1.51 0.65–2.36 0.42–2.59 | 3.05 1.23–4.87 0.75–5.35 | 39% 24% 37% |
| Shots on target | 4.93 3.07–6.80 2.58–7.29 | 5.15 3.41–6.89 2.94–7.36 | 10.08 6.48–13.69 5.52–14.64 | 41% 46% |
| Total shots | 14.42 10.49–18.34 9.40–19.44 | 13.53 9.97–17.09 9.01–18.05 | 27.95 20.46–35.44 18.41–37.49 | 53% 40% |
| Shots in box | 10.16 7.22–13.10 6.39–13.93 | 9.59 6.91–12.27 6.17–13.01 | 19.75 14.13–25.37 12.56–26.94 | 51% 40% |
| Blocked shots | 4.12 2.24–6.00 1.69–6.54 | 3.67 2.01–5.32 1.52–5.81 | 7.78 4.25–11.32 3.21–12.36 | 49% 14% 36% |
| Corners | 5.30 3.08–7.51 2.51–8.09 | 5.27 3.27–7.27 2.74–7.80 | 10.57 6.36–14.78 5.25–15.89 | 44% 43% |
| Possession % | 46.00 39.21–52.79 37.54–54.46 | 54.60 47.82–61.39 46.14–63.06 | — | 29% 67% |
| Passes | 430 362–497 344–515 | 511 445–578 427–595 | 941 807–1074 771–1110 | 25% 75% |
| Pass accuracy % | 70.94 66.91–74.97 65.62–76.26 | 75.71 71.39–80.04 70.08–81.35 | — | 25% 71% |
| Fouls | 11.04 8.21–13.88 7.45–14.64 | 10.96 8.02–13.91 7.27–14.65 | 22.00 16.22–27.79 14.72–29.29 | 46% 45% |
| Offsides | 2.15 0.99–3.31 0.69–3.61 | 1.62 0.53–2.71 0.24–3.00 | 3.77 1.52–6.03 0.93–6.61 | 50% 21% 29% |
| Yellow cards | 1.72 0.67–2.77 0.41–3.04 | 1.99 0.87–3.12 0.57–3.41 | 3.72 1.54–5.90 0.98–6.45 | 34% 21% 45% |
| Red cards | 0.05 0.00–0.21 0.00–0.36 | 0.07 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.39 | 0.12 0.00–0.47 0.00–0.75 | 89% |
| GK saves | 3.15 1.72–4.59 1.33–4.98 | 3.23 1.67–4.78 1.24–5.21 | 6.38 3.39–9.37 2.58–10.19 | 41% 16% 43% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.