Predicted match statistics
Goals
42%
24%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction1.621.423.04safe0.65–2.590.56–2.271.22–4.86safer0.40–2.840.33–2.500.74–5.34
Shots on target
51%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction5.234.669.89safe3.36–7.092.92–6.416.28–13.49safer2.87–7.582.46–6.875.33–14.45
Total shots
60%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction15.1913.3728.55safe11.26–19.119.80–16.9321.07–36.04safer10.17–20.208.85–17.8919.01–38.09
Shots in box
56%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction10.008.8518.85safe7.06–12.946.17–11.5313.23–24.47safer6.23–13.775.43–12.2711.66–26.04
Blocked shots
54%
13%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction4.653.818.46safe2.77–6.532.16–5.464.92–11.99safer2.22–7.071.66–5.953.89–13.03
Corners
65%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction6.024.2510.28safe3.81–8.242.25–6.256.06–14.49safer3.24–8.811.72–6.794.96–15.60
Possession %
74%
22%
homeawayprediction56.1844.32safe49.39–62.9737.54–51.11safer47.72–64.6435.87–52.78
Passes
86%
14%
homeawaytotalprediction550421972safe483–618355–488838–1105safer465–636337–505802–1141
Pass accuracy %
60%
35%
homeawayprediction75.7873.34safe71.75–79.8169.01–77.66safer70.46–81.1067.70–78.97
Fouls
38%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction10.1411.0421.18safe7.30–12.978.09–13.9815.39–26.96safer6.54–13.737.34–14.7313.89–28.46
Offsides
31%
22%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction1.521.883.40safe0.36–2.680.79–2.971.14–5.65safer0.05–2.980.50–3.260.55–6.24
Yellow cards
35%
24%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction1.501.653.15safe0.45–2.550.52–2.780.97–5.32safer0.18–2.810.23–3.070.41–5.88
Red cards
89%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.060.12safe0.00–0.220.00–0.250.00–0.47safer0.00–0.370.00–0.380.00–0.75
GK saves
35%
16%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction2.863.286.14safe1.43–4.301.72–4.843.15–9.14safer1.04–4.691.30–5.262.34–9.95
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.62 0.65–2.59 0.40–2.84 | 1.42 0.56–2.27 0.33–2.50 | 3.04 1.22–4.86 0.74–5.34 | 42% 24% 34% |
| Shots on target | 5.23 3.36–7.09 2.87–7.58 | 4.66 2.92–6.41 2.46–6.87 | 9.89 6.28–13.49 5.33–14.45 | 51% 37% |
| Total shots | 15.19 11.26–19.11 10.17–20.20 | 13.37 9.80–16.93 8.85–17.89 | 28.55 21.07–36.04 19.01–38.09 | 60% 33% |
| Shots in box | 10.00 7.06–12.94 6.23–13.77 | 8.85 6.17–11.53 5.43–12.27 | 18.85 13.23–24.47 11.66–26.04 | 56% 35% |
| Blocked shots | 4.65 2.77–6.53 2.22–7.07 | 3.81 2.16–5.46 1.66–5.95 | 8.46 4.92–11.99 3.89–13.03 | 54% 13% 32% |
| Corners | 6.02 3.81–8.24 3.24–8.81 | 4.25 2.25–6.25 1.72–6.79 | 10.28 6.06–14.49 4.96–15.60 | 65% 24% |
| Possession % | 56.18 49.39–62.97 47.72–64.64 | 44.32 37.54–51.11 35.87–52.78 | — | 74% 22% |
| Passes | 550 483–618 465–636 | 421 355–488 337–505 | 972 838–1105 802–1141 | 86% 14% |
| Pass accuracy % | 75.78 71.75–79.81 70.46–81.10 | 73.34 69.01–77.66 67.70–78.97 | — | 60% 35% |
| Fouls | 10.14 7.30–12.97 6.54–13.73 | 11.04 8.09–13.98 7.34–14.73 | 21.18 15.39–26.96 13.89–28.46 | 38% 53% |
| Offsides | 1.52 0.36–2.68 0.05–2.98 | 1.88 0.79–2.97 0.50–3.26 | 3.40 1.14–5.65 0.55–6.24 | 31% 22% 46% |
| Yellow cards | 1.50 0.45–2.55 0.18–2.81 | 1.65 0.52–2.78 0.23–3.07 | 3.15 0.97–5.32 0.41–5.88 | 35% 24% 42% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.06 0.00–0.25 0.00–0.38 | 0.12 0.00–0.47 0.00–0.75 | 89% |
| GK saves | 2.86 1.43–4.30 1.04–4.69 | 3.28 1.72–4.84 1.30–5.26 | 6.14 3.15–9.14 2.34–9.95 | 35% 16% 48% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+