Premier League·Regular Season - 7·
Premier League·Regular Season - 7·Predicted match statistics
Goals
57%
22%
21%
homeawaytotalprediction1.911.062.97safe0.94–2.880.20–1.911.15–4.79safer0.69–3.130.00–2.140.67–5.27
Shots on target
70%
19%
homeawaytotalprediction5.813.669.47safe3.94–7.671.92–5.405.86–13.07safer3.46–8.161.45–5.874.90–14.03
Total shots
90%
homeawaytotalprediction17.1910.1527.34safe13.26–21.116.59–13.7119.85–34.82safer12.17–22.205.63–14.6717.80–36.87
Shots in box
79%
15%
homeawaytotalprediction11.307.2918.58safe8.36–14.244.61–9.9712.96–24.21safer7.53–15.073.87–10.7111.39–25.77
Blocked shots
74%
15%
homeawaytotalprediction4.832.587.40safe2.94–6.710.93–4.233.87–10.94safer2.40–7.250.43–4.722.83–11.98
Corners
71%
20%
homeawaytotalprediction6.634.3210.95safe4.41–8.842.32–6.326.73–15.16safer3.84–9.411.79–6.855.63–16.27
Possession %
85%
homeawayprediction59.1340.32safe52.34–65.9233.53–47.10safer50.67–67.5931.86–48.77
Passes
91%
homeawaytotalprediction533374907safe466–601307–440773–1041safer448–619290–458738–1076
Pass accuracy %
81%
16%
homeawayprediction76.3969.20safe72.36–80.4264.87–73.52safer71.07–81.7163.57–74.83
Fouls
45%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction10.6210.7321.35safe7.78–13.467.79–13.6815.57–27.13safer7.03–14.217.04–14.4314.07–28.64
Offsides
28%
22%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction1.391.953.34safe0.23–2.550.85–3.041.09–5.60safer0.00–2.860.57–3.330.50–6.18
Yellow cards
31%
21%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction1.642.033.67safe0.59–2.690.90–3.161.49–5.84safer0.32–2.950.61–3.450.93–6.40
Red cards
87%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.080.14safe0.00–0.220.00–0.270.00–0.49safer0.00–0.370.00–0.400.00–0.77
GK saves
22%
14%
64%
homeawaytotalprediction2.443.846.27safe1.00–3.872.28–5.393.28–9.27safer0.61–4.261.86–5.822.47–10.08
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.91 0.94–2.88 0.69–3.13 | 1.06 0.20–1.91 0.00–2.14 | 2.97 1.15–4.79 0.67–5.27 | 57% 22% 21% |
| Shots on target | 5.81 3.94–7.67 3.46–8.16 | 3.66 1.92–5.40 1.45–5.87 | 9.47 5.86–13.07 4.90–14.03 | 70% 19% |
| Total shots | 17.19 13.26–21.11 12.17–22.20 | 10.15 6.59–13.71 5.63–14.67 | 27.34 19.85–34.82 17.80–36.87 | 90% |
| Shots in box | 11.30 8.36–14.24 7.53–15.07 | 7.29 4.61–9.97 3.87–10.71 | 18.58 12.96–24.21 11.39–25.77 | 79% 15% |
| Blocked shots | 4.83 2.94–6.71 2.40–7.25 | 2.58 0.93–4.23 0.43–4.72 | 7.40 3.87–10.94 2.83–11.98 | 74% 15% |
| Corners | 6.63 4.41–8.84 3.84–9.41 | 4.32 2.32–6.32 1.79–6.85 | 10.95 6.73–15.16 5.63–16.27 | 71% 20% |
| Possession % | 59.13 52.34–65.92 50.67–67.59 | 40.32 33.53–47.10 31.86–48.77 | — | 85% |
| Passes | 533 466–601 448–619 | 374 307–440 290–458 | 907 773–1041 738–1076 | 91% |
| Pass accuracy % | 76.39 72.36–80.42 71.07–81.71 | 69.20 64.87–73.52 63.57–74.83 | — | 81% 16% |
| Fouls | 10.62 7.78–13.46 7.03–14.21 | 10.73 7.79–13.68 7.04–14.43 | 21.35 15.57–27.13 14.07–28.64 | 45% 47% |
| Offsides | 1.39 0.23–2.55 0.00–2.86 | 1.95 0.85–3.04 0.57–3.33 | 3.34 1.09–5.60 0.50–6.18 | 28% 22% 50% |
| Yellow cards | 1.64 0.59–2.69 0.32–2.95 | 2.03 0.90–3.16 0.61–3.45 | 3.67 1.49–5.84 0.93–6.40 | 31% 21% 47% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.08 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.40 | 0.14 0.00–0.49 0.00–0.77 | 87% |
| GK saves | 2.44 1.00–3.87 0.61–4.26 | 3.84 2.28–5.39 1.86–5.82 | 6.27 3.28–9.27 2.47–10.08 | 22% 14% 64% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.