Predicted match statistics
Goals
28%
25%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction1.151.592.74safe0.18–2.120.73–2.440.92–4.56safer0.00–2.370.50–2.670.44–5.04
Shots on target
34%
13%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction4.134.879.01safe2.27–6.003.13–6.615.40–12.61safer1.78–6.492.66–7.084.45–13.57
Total shots
40%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction13.2614.0227.28safe9.33–17.1810.46–17.5919.80–34.77safer8.24–18.279.50–18.5517.74–36.82
Shots in box
48%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction9.198.8918.08safe6.24–12.136.21–11.5712.46–23.70safer5.41–12.965.47–12.3110.89–25.27
Blocked shots
40%
14%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction4.214.458.66safe2.33–6.102.79–6.105.12–12.20safer1.79–6.642.30–6.594.09–13.23
Corners
46%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction5.565.3710.93safe3.35–7.773.37–7.376.72–15.15safer2.77–8.352.84–7.915.61–16.26
Possession %
16%
81%
homeawayprediction42.2657.90safe35.47–49.0551.12–64.69safer33.80–50.7249.45–66.36
Passes
91%
homeawaytotalprediction376534911safe309–444468–601777–1044safer291–462450–618741–1080
Pass accuracy %
89%
homeawayprediction65.0675.17safe61.03–69.0970.84–79.49safer59.74–70.3869.53–80.80
Fouls
50%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction10.8610.4121.26safe8.02–13.697.46–13.3515.48–27.05safer7.26–14.456.71–14.1013.98–28.55
Offsides
44%
25%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction1.551.272.82safe0.39–2.710.18–2.360.57–5.07safer0.09–3.010.00–2.650.00–5.66
Yellow cards
37%
21%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction1.892.043.93safe0.84–2.940.91–3.171.75–6.11safer0.58–3.210.62–3.461.20–6.67
Red cards
85%
homeawaytotalprediction0.090.080.16safe0.00–0.250.00–0.260.00–0.51safer0.00–0.400.00–0.400.00–0.79
GK saves
44%
17%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction3.062.895.96safe1.63–4.501.34–4.452.97–8.95safer1.24–4.890.91–4.872.15–9.76
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.15 0.18–2.12 0.00–2.37 | 1.59 0.73–2.44 0.50–2.67 | 2.74 0.92–4.56 0.44–5.04 | 28% 25% 47% |
| Shots on target | 4.13 2.27–6.00 1.78–6.49 | 4.87 3.13–6.61 2.66–7.08 | 9.01 5.40–12.61 4.45–13.57 | 34% 13% 53% |
| Total shots | 13.26 9.33–17.18 8.24–18.27 | 14.02 10.46–17.59 9.50–18.55 | 27.28 19.80–34.77 17.74–36.82 | 40% 52% |
| Shots in box | 9.19 6.24–12.13 5.41–12.96 | 8.89 6.21–11.57 5.47–12.31 | 18.08 12.46–23.70 10.89–25.27 | 48% 43% |
| Blocked shots | 4.21 2.33–6.10 1.79–6.64 | 4.45 2.79–6.10 2.30–6.59 | 8.66 5.12–12.20 4.09–13.23 | 40% 14% 46% |
| Corners | 5.56 3.35–7.77 2.77–8.35 | 5.37 3.37–7.37 2.84–7.91 | 10.93 6.72–15.15 5.61–16.26 | 46% 42% |
| Possession % | 42.26 35.47–49.05 33.80–50.72 | 57.90 51.12–64.69 49.45–66.36 | — | 16% 81% |
| Passes | 376 309–444 291–462 | 534 468–601 450–618 | 911 777–1044 741–1080 | 91% |
| Pass accuracy % | 65.06 61.03–69.09 59.74–70.38 | 75.17 70.84–79.49 69.53–80.80 | — | 89% |
| Fouls | 10.86 8.02–13.69 7.26–14.45 | 10.41 7.46–13.35 6.71–14.10 | 21.26 15.48–27.05 13.98–28.55 | 50% 42% |
| Offsides | 1.55 0.39–2.71 0.09–3.01 | 1.27 0.18–2.36 0.00–2.65 | 2.82 0.57–5.07 0.00–5.66 | 44% 25% 31% |
| Yellow cards | 1.89 0.84–2.94 0.58–3.21 | 2.04 0.91–3.17 0.62–3.46 | 3.93 1.75–6.11 1.20–6.67 | 37% 21% 42% |
| Red cards | 0.09 0.00–0.25 0.00–0.40 | 0.08 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.40 | 0.16 0.00–0.51 0.00–0.79 | 85% |
| GK saves | 3.06 1.63–4.50 1.24–4.89 | 2.89 1.34–4.45 0.91–4.87 | 5.96 2.97–8.95 2.15–9.76 | 44% 17% 39% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.