Predicted match statistics
Goals
42%
27%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction1.351.122.47safe0.39–2.320.26–1.970.65–4.29safer0.14–2.570.03–2.200.17–4.77
Shots on target
55%
13%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction4.693.828.51safe2.83–6.552.08–5.564.91–12.12safer2.34–7.041.61–6.033.95–13.07
Total shots
76%
18%
homeawaytotalprediction15.1611.0226.17safe11.23–19.087.45–14.5818.69–33.66safer10.14–20.176.49–15.5416.64–35.71
Shots in box
64%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction9.367.3916.75safe6.42–12.314.71–10.0711.13–22.38safer5.59–13.143.97–10.819.56–23.94
Blocked shots
62%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction4.673.317.98safe2.79–6.551.66–4.974.45–11.52safer2.25–7.101.17–5.463.41–12.56
Corners
75%
16%
homeawaytotalprediction6.233.669.89safe4.02–8.451.66–5.665.68–14.11safer3.45–9.021.13–6.194.57–15.21
Possession %
97%
homeawayprediction65.7833.59safe58.99–72.5726.80–40.37safer57.32–74.2425.13–42.04
Passes
100%
homeawaytotalprediction644313957safe577–711247–380824–1091safer559–730229–397788–1127
Pass accuracy %
85%
homeawayprediction76.9368.29safe72.90–80.9663.96–72.61safer71.61–82.2562.65–73.92
Fouls
35%
56%
homeawaytotalprediction9.6310.8520.49safe6.80–12.477.91–13.8014.70–26.27safer6.04–13.237.16–14.5413.20–27.77
Offsides
35%
22%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction1.691.903.58safe0.53–2.850.80–2.991.33–5.84safer0.22–3.150.52–3.280.74–6.43
Yellow cards
29%
21%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction1.562.083.64safe0.51–2.610.95–3.211.46–5.82safer0.24–2.870.66–3.500.90–6.37
Red cards
88%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.070.13safe0.00–0.220.00–0.260.00–0.48safer0.00–0.370.00–0.390.00–0.76
GK saves
30%
16%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction2.573.285.85safe1.13–4.001.73–4.842.86–8.84safer0.74–4.391.30–5.262.04–9.65
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.35 0.39–2.32 0.14–2.57 | 1.12 0.26–1.97 0.03–2.20 | 2.47 0.65–4.29 0.17–4.77 | 42% 27% 31% |
| Shots on target | 4.69 2.83–6.55 2.34–7.04 | 3.82 2.08–5.56 1.61–6.03 | 8.51 4.91–12.12 3.95–13.07 | 55% 13% 32% |
| Total shots | 15.16 11.23–19.08 10.14–20.17 | 11.02 7.45–14.58 6.49–15.54 | 26.17 18.69–33.66 16.64–35.71 | 76% 18% |
| Shots in box | 9.36 6.42–12.31 5.59–13.14 | 7.39 4.71–10.07 3.97–10.81 | 16.75 11.13–22.38 9.56–23.94 | 64% 27% |
| Blocked shots | 4.67 2.79–6.55 2.25–7.10 | 3.31 1.66–4.97 1.17–5.46 | 7.98 4.45–11.52 3.41–12.56 | 62% 25% |
| Corners | 6.23 4.02–8.45 3.45–9.02 | 3.66 1.66–5.66 1.13–6.19 | 9.89 5.68–14.11 4.57–15.21 | 75% 16% |
| Possession % | 65.78 58.99–72.57 57.32–74.24 | 33.59 26.80–40.37 25.13–42.04 | — | 97% |
| Passes | 644 577–711 559–730 | 313 247–380 229–397 | 957 824–1091 788–1127 | 100% |
| Pass accuracy % | 76.93 72.90–80.96 71.61–82.25 | 68.29 63.96–72.61 62.65–73.92 | — | 85% |
| Fouls | 9.63 6.80–12.47 6.04–13.23 | 10.85 7.91–13.80 7.16–14.54 | 20.49 14.70–26.27 13.20–27.77 | 35% 56% |
| Offsides | 1.69 0.53–2.85 0.22–3.15 | 1.90 0.80–2.99 0.52–3.28 | 3.58 1.33–5.84 0.74–6.43 | 35% 22% 43% |
| Yellow cards | 1.56 0.51–2.61 0.24–2.87 | 2.08 0.95–3.21 0.66–3.50 | 3.64 1.46–5.82 0.90–6.37 | 29% 21% 50% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.07 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.39 | 0.13 0.00–0.48 0.00–0.76 | 88% |
| GK saves | 2.57 1.13–4.00 0.74–4.39 | 3.28 1.73–4.84 1.30–5.26 | 5.85 2.86–8.84 2.04–9.65 | 30% 16% 53% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.