Predicted match statistics
Goals
35%
25%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction1.391.482.87safe0.42–2.350.63–2.331.04–4.69safer0.17–2.610.40–2.560.56–5.17
Shots on target
42%
13%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction4.614.709.31safe2.75–6.472.95–6.445.70–12.91safer2.26–6.962.49–6.914.75–13.87
Total shots
50%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction13.2512.7225.97safe9.33–17.189.16–16.2818.48–33.46safer8.24–18.278.20–17.2416.43–35.51
Shots in box
59%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction10.098.5818.67safe7.15–13.035.90–11.2613.05–24.29safer6.32–13.865.16–12.0011.48–25.86
Blocked shots
46%
15%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction3.813.557.37safe1.93–5.691.90–5.213.83–10.90safer1.39–6.241.41–5.702.80–11.94
Corners
46%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction5.265.0610.32safe3.05–7.483.06–7.066.11–14.54safer2.48–8.052.53–7.595.00–15.64
Possession %
89%
homeawayprediction39.1661.34safe32.37–45.9554.55–68.12safer30.70–47.6252.88–69.80
Passes
96%
homeawaytotalprediction354560914safe286–421494–627780–1048safer268–439476–644745–1083
Pass accuracy %
89%
homeawayprediction65.9275.84safe61.89–69.9571.52–80.16safer60.60–71.2470.21–81.47
Fouls
51%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction10.149.5119.65safe7.30–12.986.56–12.4513.86–25.43safer6.55–13.735.81–13.2012.36–26.93
Offsides
48%
21%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction2.121.673.79safe0.96–3.280.58–2.771.54–6.04safer0.66–3.580.29–3.050.95–6.63
Yellow cards
40%
24%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction1.581.473.05safe0.53–2.620.34–2.600.87–5.23safer0.26–2.890.05–2.890.31–5.78
Red cards
88%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.070.13safe0.00–0.220.00–0.260.00–0.48safer0.00–0.370.00–0.390.00–0.76
GK saves
42%
17%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction2.862.855.72safe1.43–4.301.30–4.412.72–8.71safer1.04–4.690.87–4.831.91–9.52
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.39 0.42–2.35 0.17–2.61 | 1.48 0.63–2.33 0.40–2.56 | 2.87 1.04–4.69 0.56–5.17 | 35% 25% 40% |
| Shots on target | 4.61 2.75–6.47 2.26–6.96 | 4.70 2.95–6.44 2.49–6.91 | 9.31 5.70–12.91 4.75–13.87 | 42% 13% 44% |
| Total shots | 13.25 9.33–17.18 8.24–18.27 | 12.72 9.16–16.28 8.20–17.24 | 25.97 18.48–33.46 16.43–35.51 | 50% 42% |
| Shots in box | 10.09 7.15–13.03 6.32–13.86 | 8.58 5.90–11.26 5.16–12.00 | 18.67 13.05–24.29 11.48–25.86 | 59% 32% |
| Blocked shots | 3.81 1.93–5.69 1.39–6.24 | 3.55 1.90–5.21 1.41–5.70 | 7.37 3.83–10.90 2.80–11.94 | 46% 15% 39% |
| Corners | 5.26 3.05–7.48 2.48–8.05 | 5.06 3.06–7.06 2.53–7.59 | 10.32 6.11–14.54 5.00–15.64 | 46% 41% |
| Possession % | 39.16 32.37–45.95 30.70–47.62 | 61.34 54.55–68.12 52.88–69.80 | — | 89% |
| Passes | 354 286–421 268–439 | 560 494–627 476–644 | 914 780–1048 745–1083 | 96% |
| Pass accuracy % | 65.92 61.89–69.95 60.60–71.24 | 75.84 71.52–80.16 70.21–81.47 | — | 89% |
| Fouls | 10.14 7.30–12.98 6.55–13.73 | 9.51 6.56–12.45 5.81–13.20 | 19.65 13.86–25.43 12.36–26.93 | 51% 40% |
| Offsides | 2.12 0.96–3.28 0.66–3.58 | 1.67 0.58–2.77 0.29–3.05 | 3.79 1.54–6.04 0.95–6.63 | 48% 21% 31% |
| Yellow cards | 1.58 0.53–2.62 0.26–2.89 | 1.47 0.34–2.60 0.05–2.89 | 3.05 0.87–5.23 0.31–5.78 | 40% 24% 36% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.07 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.39 | 0.13 0.00–0.48 0.00–0.76 | 88% |
| GK saves | 2.86 1.43–4.30 1.04–4.69 | 2.85 1.30–4.41 0.87–4.83 | 5.72 2.72–8.71 1.91–9.52 | 42% 17% 41% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+