Premier League·Regular Season - 7·
Premier League·Regular Season - 7·Predicted match statistics
Goals
81%
homeawaytotalprediction2.910.773.68safe1.94–3.870.00–1.631.85–5.50safer1.69–4.120.00–1.851.37–5.98
Shots on target
88%
homeawaytotalprediction7.583.3310.92safe5.72–9.441.59–5.087.31–14.52safer5.23–9.931.13–5.546.36–15.48
Total shots
97%
homeawaytotalprediction20.279.4029.67safe16.35–24.205.83–12.9622.18–37.16safer15.26–25.294.87–13.9220.13–39.21
Shots in box
96%
homeawaytotalprediction13.975.9919.96safe11.03–16.913.30–8.6714.33–25.58safer10.20–17.742.57–9.4012.77–27.15
Blocked shots
89%
homeawaytotalprediction5.721.917.63safe3.84–7.610.26–3.564.10–11.17safer3.30–8.150.00–4.053.06–12.20
Corners
92%
homeawaytotalprediction8.243.1111.35safe6.03–10.461.11–5.117.14–15.57safer5.46–11.030.58–5.646.03–16.67
Possession %
98%
homeawayprediction66.8732.50safe60.08–73.6625.71–39.28safer58.41–75.3324.04–40.95
Passes
100%
homeawaytotalprediction673322995safe606–740256–389862–1129safer588–758238–406826–1165
Pass accuracy %
95%
homeawayprediction84.5271.47safe80.49–88.5567.15–75.79safer79.20–89.8465.84–77.10
Fouls
30%
62%
homeawaytotalprediction9.4911.4020.88safe6.65–12.328.45–14.3415.10–26.66safer5.89–13.087.70–15.0913.59–28.17
Offsides
27%
19%
54%
homeawaytotalprediction1.672.414.08safe0.51–2.831.32–3.501.83–6.34safer0.21–3.141.03–3.791.24–6.93
Yellow cards
21%
20%
59%
homeawaytotalprediction1.212.153.36safe0.16–2.261.02–3.281.18–5.54safer0.00–2.520.73–3.570.62–6.10
Red cards
89%
homeawaytotalprediction0.040.070.11safe0.00–0.200.00–0.260.00–0.46safer0.00–0.350.00–0.390.00–0.74
GK saves
77%
homeawaytotalprediction2.284.706.97safe0.84–3.713.14–6.253.98–9.97safer0.45–4.102.72–6.683.17–10.78
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.91 1.94–3.87 1.69–4.12 | 0.77 0.00–1.63 0.00–1.85 | 3.68 1.85–5.50 1.37–5.98 | 81% |
| Shots on target | 7.58 5.72–9.44 5.23–9.93 | 3.33 1.59–5.08 1.13–5.54 | 10.92 7.31–14.52 6.36–15.48 | 88% |
| Total shots | 20.27 16.35–24.20 15.26–25.29 | 9.40 5.83–12.96 4.87–13.92 | 29.67 22.18–37.16 20.13–39.21 | 97% |
| Shots in box | 13.97 11.03–16.91 10.20–17.74 | 5.99 3.30–8.67 2.57–9.40 | 19.96 14.33–25.58 12.77–27.15 | 96% |
| Blocked shots | 5.72 3.84–7.61 3.30–8.15 | 1.91 0.26–3.56 0.00–4.05 | 7.63 4.10–11.17 3.06–12.20 | 89% |
| Corners | 8.24 6.03–10.46 5.46–11.03 | 3.11 1.11–5.11 0.58–5.64 | 11.35 7.14–15.57 6.03–16.67 | 92% |
| Possession % | 66.87 60.08–73.66 58.41–75.33 | 32.50 25.71–39.28 24.04–40.95 | — | 98% |
| Passes | 673 606–740 588–758 | 322 256–389 238–406 | 995 862–1129 826–1165 | 100% |
| Pass accuracy % | 84.52 80.49–88.55 79.20–89.84 | 71.47 67.15–75.79 65.84–77.10 | — | 95% |
| Fouls | 9.49 6.65–12.32 5.89–13.08 | 11.40 8.45–14.34 7.70–15.09 | 20.88 15.10–26.66 13.59–28.17 | 30% 62% |
| Offsides | 1.67 0.51–2.83 0.21–3.14 | 2.41 1.32–3.50 1.03–3.79 | 4.08 1.83–6.34 1.24–6.93 | 27% 19% 54% |
| Yellow cards | 1.21 0.16–2.26 0.00–2.52 | 2.15 1.02–3.28 0.73–3.57 | 3.36 1.18–5.54 0.62–6.10 | 21% 20% 59% |
| Red cards | 0.04 0.00–0.20 0.00–0.35 | 0.07 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.39 | 0.11 0.00–0.46 0.00–0.74 | 89% |
| GK saves | 2.28 0.84–3.71 0.45–4.10 | 4.70 3.14–6.25 2.72–6.68 | 6.97 3.98–9.97 3.17–10.78 | 77% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+