Premier League·Regular Season - 36·
Premier League·Regular Season - 36·Predicted match statistics
Goals
14%
18%
68%
homeawaytotalprediction0.992.353.34safe0.03–1.961.50–3.201.52–5.17safer0.00–2.211.27–3.431.04–5.65
Shots on target
81%
homeawaytotalprediction3.667.0310.69safe1.80–5.525.29–8.777.09–14.30safer1.31–6.014.82–9.246.13–15.25
Total shots
89%
homeawaytotalprediction11.1718.1829.35safe7.25–15.1014.62–21.7421.86–36.84safer6.15–16.1913.66–22.7019.81–38.89
Shots in box
90%
homeawaytotalprediction6.5312.4518.98safe3.59–9.479.77–15.1313.35–24.60safer2.76–10.309.03–15.8711.79–26.17
Blocked shots
15%
75%
homeawaytotalprediction2.775.207.98safe0.89–4.663.55–6.854.44–11.51safer0.35–5.203.06–7.353.41–12.55
Corners
14%
77%
homeawaytotalprediction3.746.6110.35safe1.53–5.954.61–8.616.14–14.56safer0.95–6.534.08–9.145.03–15.67
Possession %
97%
homeawayprediction33.0266.98safe26.23–39.8160.20–73.77safer24.56–41.4858.52–75.44
Passes
100%
homeawaytotalprediction330644974safe263–398577–710841–1108safer245–416560–728805–1144
Pass accuracy %
99%
homeawayprediction68.1285.58safe64.09–72.1581.26–89.90safer62.80–73.4479.95–91.21
Fouls
58%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction11.9310.4722.40safe9.09–14.777.53–13.4116.62–28.18safer8.34–15.536.78–14.1615.12–29.69
Offsides
52%
18%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction2.662.024.68safe1.50–3.820.92–3.112.42–6.93safer1.20–4.120.63–3.401.83–7.52
Yellow cards
50%
22%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction2.011.513.52safe0.96–3.060.38–2.641.34–5.70safer0.70–3.330.09–2.930.79–6.26
Red cards
88%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.070.13safe0.00–0.220.00–0.250.00–0.48safer0.00–0.370.00–0.390.00–0.76
GK saves
69%
18%
homeawaytotalprediction4.362.526.88safe2.92–5.790.97–4.083.89–9.87safer2.53–6.180.54–4.503.07–10.68
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 0.99 0.03–1.96 0.00–2.21 | 2.35 1.50–3.20 1.27–3.43 | 3.34 1.52–5.17 1.04–5.65 | 14% 18% 68% |
| Shots on target | 3.66 1.80–5.52 1.31–6.01 | 7.03 5.29–8.77 4.82–9.24 | 10.69 7.09–14.30 6.13–15.25 | 81% |
| Total shots | 11.17 7.25–15.10 6.15–16.19 | 18.18 14.62–21.74 13.66–22.70 | 29.35 21.86–36.84 19.81–38.89 | 89% |
| Shots in box | 6.53 3.59–9.47 2.76–10.30 | 12.45 9.77–15.13 9.03–15.87 | 18.98 13.35–24.60 11.79–26.17 | 90% |
| Blocked shots | 2.77 0.89–4.66 0.35–5.20 | 5.20 3.55–6.85 3.06–7.35 | 7.98 4.44–11.51 3.41–12.55 | 15% 75% |
| Corners | 3.74 1.53–5.95 0.95–6.53 | 6.61 4.61–8.61 4.08–9.14 | 10.35 6.14–14.56 5.03–15.67 | 14% 77% |
| Possession % | 33.02 26.23–39.81 24.56–41.48 | 66.98 60.20–73.77 58.52–75.44 | — | 97% |
| Passes | 330 263–398 245–416 | 644 577–710 560–728 | 974 841–1108 805–1144 | 100% |
| Pass accuracy % | 68.12 64.09–72.15 62.80–73.44 | 85.58 81.26–89.90 79.95–91.21 | — | 99% |
| Fouls | 11.93 9.09–14.77 8.34–15.53 | 10.47 7.53–13.41 6.78–14.16 | 22.40 16.62–28.18 15.12–29.69 | 58% 34% |
| Offsides | 2.66 1.50–3.82 1.20–4.12 | 2.02 0.92–3.11 0.63–3.40 | 4.68 2.42–6.93 1.83–7.52 | 52% 18% 29% |
| Yellow cards | 2.01 0.96–3.06 0.70–3.33 | 1.51 0.38–2.64 0.09–2.93 | 3.52 1.34–5.70 0.79–6.26 | 50% 22% 29% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.07 0.00–0.25 0.00–0.39 | 0.13 0.00–0.48 0.00–0.76 | 88% |
| GK saves | 4.36 2.92–5.79 2.53–6.18 | 2.52 0.97–4.08 0.54–4.50 | 6.88 3.89–9.87 3.07–10.68 | 69% 18% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.