Predicted match statistics
Goals
47%
26%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction1.501.072.57safe0.53–2.470.21–1.920.74–4.39safer0.28–2.720.00–2.150.26–4.87
Shots on target
62%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction5.263.849.09safe3.39–7.122.10–5.585.49–12.70safer2.90–7.611.63–6.054.53–13.65
Total shots
78%
17%
homeawaytotalprediction15.5611.1426.70safe11.63–19.487.58–14.7019.21–34.18safer10.54–20.576.62–15.6617.16–36.23
Shots in box
65%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction10.338.1618.49safe7.39–13.275.48–10.8412.87–24.11safer6.56–14.104.74–11.5811.30–25.68
Blocked shots
68%
20%
homeawaytotalprediction4.983.128.09safe3.09–6.861.46–4.774.56–11.63safer2.55–7.400.97–5.263.52–12.66
Corners
70%
20%
homeawaytotalprediction6.414.1710.58safe4.20–8.622.17–6.176.37–14.80safer3.62–9.201.64–6.715.26–15.90
Possession %
86%
homeawayprediction59.4239.96safe52.63–66.2233.17–46.74safer50.96–67.8831.50–48.41
Passes
93%
homeawaytotalprediction525349874safe458–593282–415741–1008safer440–611265–433705–1044
Pass accuracy %
83%
14%
homeawayprediction76.9568.94safe72.92–80.9764.62–73.27safer71.62–82.2763.31–74.58
Fouls
43%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction11.8412.2224.06safe9.01–14.689.28–15.1718.28–29.85safer8.25–15.448.53–15.9116.78–31.35
Offsides
49%
20%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction2.361.914.26safe1.20–3.520.81–3.002.01–6.52safer0.89–3.820.52–3.291.42–7.11
Yellow cards
31%
20%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction1.762.244.00safe0.71–2.811.11–3.371.82–6.18safer0.44–3.070.82–3.661.26–6.73
Red cards
88%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.080.14safe0.00–0.220.00–0.270.00–0.48safer0.00–0.370.00–0.400.00–0.77
GK saves
29%
16%
55%
homeawaytotalprediction2.633.486.10safe1.19–4.061.92–5.033.11–9.10safer0.80–4.451.50–5.462.30–9.91
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.50 0.53–2.47 0.28–2.72 | 1.07 0.21–1.92 0.00–2.15 | 2.57 0.74–4.39 0.26–4.87 | 47% 26% 27% |
| Shots on target | 5.26 3.39–7.12 2.90–7.61 | 3.84 2.10–5.58 1.63–6.05 | 9.09 5.49–12.70 4.53–13.65 | 62% 26% |
| Total shots | 15.56 11.63–19.48 10.54–20.57 | 11.14 7.58–14.70 6.62–15.66 | 26.70 19.21–34.18 17.16–36.23 | 78% 17% |
| Shots in box | 10.33 7.39–13.27 6.56–14.10 | 8.16 5.48–10.84 4.74–11.58 | 18.49 12.87–24.11 11.30–25.68 | 65% 27% |
| Blocked shots | 4.98 3.09–6.86 2.55–7.40 | 3.12 1.46–4.77 0.97–5.26 | 8.09 4.56–11.63 3.52–12.66 | 68% 20% |
| Corners | 6.41 4.20–8.62 3.62–9.20 | 4.17 2.17–6.17 1.64–6.71 | 10.58 6.37–14.80 5.26–15.90 | 70% 20% |
| Possession % | 59.42 52.63–66.22 50.96–67.88 | 39.96 33.17–46.74 31.50–48.41 | — | 86% |
| Passes | 525 458–593 440–611 | 349 282–415 265–433 | 874 741–1008 705–1044 | 93% |
| Pass accuracy % | 76.95 72.92–80.97 71.62–82.27 | 68.94 64.62–73.27 63.31–74.58 | — | 83% 14% |
| Fouls | 11.84 9.01–14.68 8.25–15.44 | 12.22 9.28–15.17 8.53–15.91 | 24.06 18.28–29.85 16.78–31.35 | 43% 49% |
| Offsides | 2.36 1.20–3.52 0.89–3.82 | 1.91 0.81–3.00 0.52–3.29 | 4.26 2.01–6.52 1.42–7.11 | 49% 20% 32% |
| Yellow cards | 1.76 0.71–2.81 0.44–3.07 | 2.24 1.11–3.37 0.82–3.66 | 4.00 1.82–6.18 1.26–6.73 | 31% 20% 49% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.08 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.40 | 0.14 0.00–0.48 0.00–0.77 | 88% |
| GK saves | 2.63 1.19–4.06 0.80–4.45 | 3.48 1.92–5.03 1.50–5.46 | 6.10 3.11–9.10 2.30–9.91 | 29% 16% 55% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.