Predicted match statistics
Goals
40%
25%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction1.511.412.92safe0.55–2.480.55–2.261.10–4.74safer0.29–2.730.32–2.490.62–5.22
Shots on target
40%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction4.725.029.74safe2.85–6.583.28–6.776.14–13.35safer2.36–7.072.82–7.235.18–14.30
Total shots
50%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction13.9113.4127.32safe9.99–17.849.84–16.9719.83–34.81safer8.90–18.938.88–17.9317.78–36.86
Shots in box
45%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction9.779.8119.58safe6.83–12.717.13–12.4913.96–25.20safer6.00–13.546.39–13.2312.39–26.77
Blocked shots
41%
14%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction3.964.068.02safe2.07–5.842.41–5.714.48–11.55safer1.53–6.381.91–6.213.45–12.59
Corners
36%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction5.015.6810.69safe2.79–7.223.68–7.686.47–14.90safer2.22–7.793.15–8.215.37–16.01
Possession %
21%
75%
homeawayprediction44.0556.72safe37.26–50.8449.94–63.51safer35.59–52.5148.27–65.18
Passes
16%
84%
homeawaytotalprediction396513909safe329–463447–580775–1043safer310–481429–597740–1078
Pass accuracy %
89%
homeawayprediction68.8479.01safe64.81–72.8774.69–83.33safer63.52–74.1773.38–84.64
Fouls
50%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction12.0611.5823.64safe9.22–14.898.64–14.5317.86–29.42safer8.46–15.657.89–15.2816.35–30.93
Offsides
31%
20%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction1.822.324.15safe0.66–2.981.23–3.421.89–6.40safer0.36–3.290.94–3.701.30–6.99
Yellow cards
34%
22%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction1.641.883.53safe0.59–2.690.75–3.011.35–5.70safer0.33–2.960.46–3.300.79–6.26
Red cards
88%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.070.13safe0.00–0.220.00–0.260.00–0.48safer0.00–0.370.00–0.390.00–0.76
GK saves
48%
16%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction3.342.966.30safe1.90–4.771.40–4.523.30–9.29safer1.51–5.160.98–4.942.49–10.10
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.51 0.55–2.48 0.29–2.73 | 1.41 0.55–2.26 0.32–2.49 | 2.92 1.10–4.74 0.62–5.22 | 40% 25% 35% |
| Shots on target | 4.72 2.85–6.58 2.36–7.07 | 5.02 3.28–6.77 2.82–7.23 | 9.74 6.14–13.35 5.18–14.30 | 40% 47% |
| Total shots | 13.91 9.99–17.84 8.90–18.93 | 13.41 9.84–16.97 8.88–17.93 | 27.32 19.83–34.81 17.78–36.86 | 50% 42% |
| Shots in box | 9.77 6.83–12.71 6.00–13.54 | 9.81 7.13–12.49 6.39–13.23 | 19.58 13.96–25.20 12.39–26.77 | 45% 46% |
| Blocked shots | 3.96 2.07–5.84 1.53–6.38 | 4.06 2.41–5.71 1.91–6.21 | 8.02 4.48–11.55 3.45–12.59 | 41% 14% 44% |
| Corners | 5.01 2.79–7.22 2.22–7.79 | 5.68 3.68–7.68 3.15–8.21 | 10.69 6.47–14.90 5.37–16.01 | 36% 52% |
| Possession % | 44.05 37.26–50.84 35.59–52.51 | 56.72 49.94–63.51 48.27–65.18 | — | 21% 75% |
| Passes | 396 329–463 310–481 | 513 447–580 429–597 | 909 775–1043 740–1078 | 16% 84% |
| Pass accuracy % | 68.84 64.81–72.87 63.52–74.17 | 79.01 74.69–83.33 73.38–84.64 | — | 89% |
| Fouls | 12.06 9.22–14.89 8.46–15.65 | 11.58 8.64–14.53 7.89–15.28 | 23.64 17.86–29.42 16.35–30.93 | 50% 42% |
| Offsides | 1.82 0.66–2.98 0.36–3.29 | 2.32 1.23–3.42 0.94–3.70 | 4.15 1.89–6.40 1.30–6.99 | 31% 20% 49% |
| Yellow cards | 1.64 0.59–2.69 0.33–2.96 | 1.88 0.75–3.01 0.46–3.30 | 3.53 1.35–5.70 0.79–6.26 | 34% 22% 44% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.07 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.39 | 0.13 0.00–0.48 0.00–0.76 | 88% |
| GK saves | 3.34 1.90–4.77 1.51–5.16 | 2.96 1.40–4.52 0.98–4.94 | 6.30 3.30–9.29 2.49–10.10 | 48% 16% 36% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.