Predicted match statistics
Goals
68%
20%
homeawaytotalprediction2.010.732.74safe1.05–2.980.00–1.580.92–4.56safer0.79–3.230.00–1.810.44–5.04
Shots on target
82%
homeawaytotalprediction6.343.059.39safe4.48–8.211.31–4.795.79–13.00safer3.99–8.690.84–5.264.83–13.96
Total shots
95%
homeawaytotalprediction18.269.3227.58safe14.34–22.195.76–12.8820.10–35.07safer13.25–23.284.80–13.8418.04–37.12
Shots in box
90%
homeawaytotalprediction12.306.3018.60safe9.36–15.243.62–8.9812.97–24.22safer8.53–16.072.88–9.7211.41–25.79
Blocked shots
78%
homeawaytotalprediction5.622.868.48safe3.74–7.501.20–4.514.94–12.01safer3.20–8.050.71–5.003.91–13.05
Corners
84%
homeawaytotalprediction7.183.4610.64safe4.97–9.401.46–5.466.43–14.85safer4.40–9.970.92–5.995.32–15.96
Possession %
93%
homeawayprediction63.0537.37safe56.26–69.8430.58–44.15safer54.59–71.5128.91–45.83
Passes
98%
homeawaytotalprediction580343923safe513–647277–410790–1057safer494–665259–427754–1093
Pass accuracy %
90%
homeawayprediction78.0167.69safe73.98–82.0463.37–72.02safer72.68–83.3362.06–73.32
Fouls
31%
61%
homeawaytotalprediction10.4612.3122.77safe7.62–13.309.36–15.2516.99–28.55safer6.87–14.068.62–16.0015.48–30.06
Offsides
42%
26%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction1.411.222.63safe0.25–2.570.12–2.310.38–4.88safer0.00–2.870.00–2.600.00–5.47
Yellow cards
22%
20%
58%
homeawaytotalprediction1.372.283.65safe0.32–2.421.15–3.411.47–5.83safer0.05–2.680.86–3.700.91–6.38
Red cards
88%
homeawaytotalprediction0.050.080.13safe0.00–0.210.00–0.270.00–0.48safer0.00–0.360.00–0.400.00–0.76
GK saves
19%
13%
68%
homeawaytotalprediction2.283.966.25safe0.85–3.722.41–5.523.25–9.24safer0.46–4.111.98–5.942.44–10.05
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.01 1.05–2.98 0.79–3.23 | 0.73 0.00–1.58 0.00–1.81 | 2.74 0.92–4.56 0.44–5.04 | 68% 20% |
| Shots on target | 6.34 4.48–8.21 3.99–8.69 | 3.05 1.31–4.79 0.84–5.26 | 9.39 5.79–13.00 4.83–13.96 | 82% |
| Total shots | 18.26 14.34–22.19 13.25–23.28 | 9.32 5.76–12.88 4.80–13.84 | 27.58 20.10–35.07 18.04–37.12 | 95% |
| Shots in box | 12.30 9.36–15.24 8.53–16.07 | 6.30 3.62–8.98 2.88–9.72 | 18.60 12.97–24.22 11.41–25.79 | 90% |
| Blocked shots | 5.62 3.74–7.50 3.20–8.05 | 2.86 1.20–4.51 0.71–5.00 | 8.48 4.94–12.01 3.91–13.05 | 78% |
| Corners | 7.18 4.97–9.40 4.40–9.97 | 3.46 1.46–5.46 0.92–5.99 | 10.64 6.43–14.85 5.32–15.96 | 84% |
| Possession % | 63.05 56.26–69.84 54.59–71.51 | 37.37 30.58–44.15 28.91–45.83 | — | 93% |
| Passes | 580 513–647 494–665 | 343 277–410 259–427 | 923 790–1057 754–1093 | 98% |
| Pass accuracy % | 78.01 73.98–82.04 72.68–83.33 | 67.69 63.37–72.02 62.06–73.32 | — | 90% |
| Fouls | 10.46 7.62–13.30 6.87–14.06 | 12.31 9.36–15.25 8.62–16.00 | 22.77 16.99–28.55 15.48–30.06 | 31% 61% |
| Offsides | 1.41 0.25–2.57 0.00–2.87 | 1.22 0.12–2.31 0.00–2.60 | 2.63 0.38–4.88 0.00–5.47 | 42% 26% 32% |
| Yellow cards | 1.37 0.32–2.42 0.05–2.68 | 2.28 1.15–3.41 0.86–3.70 | 3.65 1.47–5.83 0.91–6.38 | 22% 20% 58% |
| Red cards | 0.05 0.00–0.21 0.00–0.36 | 0.08 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.40 | 0.13 0.00–0.48 0.00–0.76 | 88% |
| GK saves | 2.28 0.85–3.72 0.46–4.11 | 3.96 2.41–5.52 1.98–5.94 | 6.25 3.25–9.24 2.44–10.05 | 19% 13% 68% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.