Predicted match statistics
Goals
17%
22%
61%
homeawaytotalprediction0.911.942.85safe0.00–1.881.08–2.791.03–4.67safer0.00–2.130.85–3.020.55–5.15
Shots on target
15%
76%
homeawaytotalprediction3.365.979.33safe1.50–5.224.23–7.715.73–12.94safer1.01–5.713.76–8.184.77–13.89
Total shots
17%
78%
homeawaytotalprediction11.1415.6426.78safe7.22–15.0712.08–19.2019.29–34.27safer6.12–16.1611.12–20.1617.24–36.32
Shots in box
15%
78%
homeawaytotalprediction6.7210.4617.18safe3.78–9.677.77–13.1411.56–22.80safer2.95–10.507.04–13.879.99–24.37
Blocked shots
28%
13%
59%
homeawaytotalprediction3.524.728.24safe1.64–5.413.07–6.374.71–11.78safer1.10–5.952.58–6.873.67–12.82
Corners
26%
62%
homeawaytotalprediction4.335.8210.15safe2.11–6.543.82–7.825.93–14.36safer1.54–7.113.29–8.354.83–15.47
Possession %
88%
homeawayprediction39.3960.35safe32.60–46.1953.56–67.13safer30.93–47.8551.89–68.80
Passes
94%
homeawaytotalprediction356539895safe289–424473–606762–1029safer271–442455–623726–1065
Pass accuracy %
97%
homeawayprediction64.8079.84safe60.77–68.8375.52–84.17safer59.48–70.1274.21–85.48
Fouls
54%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction11.7010.7122.41safe8.87–14.547.76–13.6516.63–28.19safer8.11–15.307.01–14.4015.12–29.70
Offsides
36%
25%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction1.361.422.77safe0.20–2.520.33–2.510.52–5.03safer0.00–2.820.04–2.800.00–5.62
Yellow cards
43%
22%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction1.811.613.42safe0.76–2.860.48–2.741.24–5.60safer0.49–3.120.19–3.030.69–6.16
Red cards
87%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.070.15safe0.00–0.240.00–0.260.00–0.49safer0.00–0.390.00–0.390.00–0.78
GK saves
60%
15%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction3.572.435.99safe2.13–5.000.87–3.983.00–8.99safer1.74–5.390.45–4.412.19–9.80
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 0.91 0.00–1.88 0.00–2.13 | 1.94 1.08–2.79 0.85–3.02 | 2.85 1.03–4.67 0.55–5.15 | 17% 22% 61% |
| Shots on target | 3.36 1.50–5.22 1.01–5.71 | 5.97 4.23–7.71 3.76–8.18 | 9.33 5.73–12.94 4.77–13.89 | 15% 76% |
| Total shots | 11.14 7.22–15.07 6.12–16.16 | 15.64 12.08–19.20 11.12–20.16 | 26.78 19.29–34.27 17.24–36.32 | 17% 78% |
| Shots in box | 6.72 3.78–9.67 2.95–10.50 | 10.46 7.77–13.14 7.04–13.87 | 17.18 11.56–22.80 9.99–24.37 | 15% 78% |
| Blocked shots | 3.52 1.64–5.41 1.10–5.95 | 4.72 3.07–6.37 2.58–6.87 | 8.24 4.71–11.78 3.67–12.82 | 28% 13% 59% |
| Corners | 4.33 2.11–6.54 1.54–7.11 | 5.82 3.82–7.82 3.29–8.35 | 10.15 5.93–14.36 4.83–15.47 | 26% 62% |
| Possession % | 39.39 32.60–46.19 30.93–47.85 | 60.35 53.56–67.13 51.89–68.80 | — | 88% |
| Passes | 356 289–424 271–442 | 539 473–606 455–623 | 895 762–1029 726–1065 | 94% |
| Pass accuracy % | 64.80 60.77–68.83 59.48–70.12 | 79.84 75.52–84.17 74.21–85.48 | — | 97% |
| Fouls | 11.70 8.87–14.54 8.11–15.30 | 10.71 7.76–13.65 7.01–14.40 | 22.41 16.63–28.19 15.12–29.70 | 54% 38% |
| Offsides | 1.36 0.20–2.52 0.00–2.82 | 1.42 0.33–2.51 0.04–2.80 | 2.77 0.52–5.03 0.00–5.62 | 36% 25% 39% |
| Yellow cards | 1.81 0.76–2.86 0.49–3.12 | 1.61 0.48–2.74 0.19–3.03 | 3.42 1.24–5.60 0.69–6.16 | 43% 22% 35% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.24 0.00–0.39 | 0.07 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.39 | 0.15 0.00–0.49 0.00–0.78 | 87% |
| GK saves | 3.57 2.13–5.00 1.74–5.39 | 2.43 0.87–3.98 0.45–4.41 | 5.99 3.00–8.99 2.19–9.80 | 60% 15% 25% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.