Predicted match statistics
Goals
55%
22%
23%
homeawaytotalprediction1.881.123.01safe0.91–2.850.27–1.981.18–4.83safer0.66–3.100.04–2.210.70–5.31
Shots on target
58%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction5.374.269.63safe3.51–7.232.51–6.006.02–13.23safer3.02–7.722.05–6.465.07–14.19
Total shots
62%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction14.6612.5027.16safe10.73–18.588.94–16.0719.67–34.65safer9.64–19.687.98–17.0217.62–36.70
Shots in box
62%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction10.428.6319.05safe7.48–13.365.95–11.3113.43–24.67safer6.65–14.195.21–12.0511.86–26.24
Blocked shots
53%
14%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction4.293.557.84safe2.41–6.171.90–5.204.31–11.38safer1.87–6.721.41–5.703.27–12.41
Corners
54%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction5.734.8610.59safe3.51–7.942.86–6.866.37–14.80safer2.94–8.522.32–7.395.27–15.91
Possession %
52%
43%
homeawayprediction50.8848.96safe44.09–57.6742.17–55.74safer42.42–59.3440.50–57.42
Passes
54%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction477465942safe410–544398–531808–1076safer392–563381–549773–1111
Pass accuracy %
24%
72%
homeawayprediction73.4878.57safe69.45–77.5174.24–82.89safer68.16–78.8072.93–84.20
Fouls
37%
55%
homeawaytotalprediction11.2612.4123.66safe8.42–14.099.46–15.3517.88–29.44safer7.66–14.858.71–16.1016.38–30.95
Offsides
46%
22%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction1.941.623.56safe0.78–3.100.53–2.711.31–5.81safer0.48–3.400.24–3.000.72–6.40
Yellow cards
31%
19%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction1.992.494.48safe0.94–3.041.36–3.622.30–6.66safer0.67–3.301.07–3.911.75–7.22
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.080.080.16safe0.00–0.240.00–0.270.00–0.51safer0.00–0.390.00–0.400.00–0.79
GK saves
36%
16%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction3.013.446.45safe1.58–4.451.88–4.993.46–9.44safer1.19–4.841.46–5.422.64–10.25
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.88 0.91–2.85 0.66–3.10 | 1.12 0.27–1.98 0.04–2.21 | 3.01 1.18–4.83 0.70–5.31 | 55% 22% 23% |
| Shots on target | 5.37 3.51–7.23 3.02–7.72 | 4.26 2.51–6.00 2.05–6.46 | 9.63 6.02–13.23 5.07–14.19 | 58% 30% |
| Total shots | 14.66 10.73–18.58 9.64–19.68 | 12.50 8.94–16.07 7.98–17.02 | 27.16 19.67–34.65 17.62–36.70 | 62% 30% |
| Shots in box | 10.42 7.48–13.36 6.65–14.19 | 8.63 5.95–11.31 5.21–12.05 | 19.05 13.43–24.67 11.86–26.24 | 62% 30% |
| Blocked shots | 4.29 2.41–6.17 1.87–6.72 | 3.55 1.90–5.20 1.41–5.70 | 7.84 4.31–11.38 3.27–12.41 | 53% 14% 33% |
| Corners | 5.73 3.51–7.94 2.94–8.52 | 4.86 2.86–6.86 2.32–7.39 | 10.59 6.37–14.80 5.27–15.91 | 54% 34% |
| Possession % | 50.88 44.09–57.67 42.42–59.34 | 48.96 42.17–55.74 40.50–57.42 | — | 52% 43% |
| Passes | 477 410–544 392–563 | 465 398–531 381–549 | 942 808–1076 773–1111 | 54% 46% |
| Pass accuracy % | 73.48 69.45–77.51 68.16–78.80 | 78.57 74.24–82.89 72.93–84.20 | — | 24% 72% |
| Fouls | 11.26 8.42–14.09 7.66–14.85 | 12.41 9.46–15.35 8.71–16.10 | 23.66 17.88–29.44 16.38–30.95 | 37% 55% |
| Offsides | 1.94 0.78–3.10 0.48–3.40 | 1.62 0.53–2.71 0.24–3.00 | 3.56 1.31–5.81 0.72–6.40 | 46% 22% 33% |
| Yellow cards | 1.99 0.94–3.04 0.67–3.30 | 2.49 1.36–3.62 1.07–3.91 | 4.48 2.30–6.66 1.75–7.22 | 31% 19% 50% |
| Red cards | 0.08 0.00–0.24 0.00–0.39 | 0.08 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.40 | 0.16 0.00–0.51 0.00–0.79 | 86% |
| GK saves | 3.01 1.58–4.45 1.19–4.84 | 3.44 1.88–4.99 1.46–5.42 | 6.45 3.46–9.44 2.64–10.25 | 36% 16% 49% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.