Predicted match statistics
Goals
49%
24%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction1.671.182.85safe0.70–2.640.32–2.031.03–4.67safer0.45–2.890.10–2.260.55–5.15
Shots on target
58%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction5.444.339.77safe3.57–7.302.59–6.086.17–13.38safer3.08–7.792.13–6.545.21–14.33
Total shots
71%
22%
homeawaytotalprediction15.3811.9427.33safe11.46–19.318.38–15.5119.84–34.81safer10.37–20.407.42–16.4617.79–36.86
Shots in box
68%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction11.128.5819.70safe8.18–14.065.90–11.2614.07–25.32safer7.35–14.895.16–11.9912.51–26.89
Blocked shots
59%
13%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction4.433.307.73safe2.55–6.321.64–4.954.20–11.27safer2.01–6.861.15–5.443.16–12.30
Corners
57%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction5.844.7710.61safe3.63–8.052.77–6.776.40–14.83safer3.05–8.632.24–7.315.29–15.93
Possession %
33%
62%
homeawayprediction47.0953.39safe40.30–53.8846.61–60.18safer38.63–55.5544.94–61.85
Passes
34%
66%
homeawaytotalprediction443491933safe375–510424–557800–1067safer357–528407–575764–1103
Pass accuracy %
34%
61%
homeawayprediction70.9673.65safe66.94–74.9969.33–77.97safer65.64–76.2968.02–79.28
Fouls
43%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction10.5410.8921.43safe7.71–13.387.95–13.8415.65–27.22safer6.95–14.147.20–14.5814.15–28.72
Offsides
41%
20%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction2.152.114.26safe0.99–3.311.02–3.212.01–6.51safer0.68–3.610.73–3.501.42–7.10
Yellow cards
27%
22%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction1.392.013.41safe0.34–2.440.88–3.141.23–5.58safer0.08–2.710.59–3.430.67–6.14
Red cards
90%
homeawaytotalprediction0.050.070.11safe0.00–0.210.00–0.250.00–0.46safer0.00–0.360.00–0.390.00–0.74
GK saves
31%
16%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction2.793.496.28safe1.36–4.231.94–5.053.29–9.28safer0.97–4.621.51–5.472.48–10.09
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.67 0.70–2.64 0.45–2.89 | 1.18 0.32–2.03 0.10–2.26 | 2.85 1.03–4.67 0.55–5.15 | 49% 24% 27% |
| Shots on target | 5.44 3.57–7.30 3.08–7.79 | 4.33 2.59–6.08 2.13–6.54 | 9.77 6.17–13.38 5.21–14.33 | 58% 30% |
| Total shots | 15.38 11.46–19.31 10.37–20.40 | 11.94 8.38–15.51 7.42–16.46 | 27.33 19.84–34.81 17.79–36.86 | 71% 22% |
| Shots in box | 11.12 8.18–14.06 7.35–14.89 | 8.58 5.90–11.26 5.16–11.99 | 19.70 14.07–25.32 12.51–26.89 | 68% 25% |
| Blocked shots | 4.43 2.55–6.32 2.01–6.86 | 3.30 1.64–4.95 1.15–5.44 | 7.73 4.20–11.27 3.16–12.30 | 59% 13% 28% |
| Corners | 5.84 3.63–8.05 3.05–8.63 | 4.77 2.77–6.77 2.24–7.31 | 10.61 6.40–14.83 5.29–15.93 | 57% 31% |
| Possession % | 47.09 40.30–53.88 38.63–55.55 | 53.39 46.61–60.18 44.94–61.85 | — | 33% 62% |
| Passes | 443 375–510 357–528 | 491 424–557 407–575 | 933 800–1067 764–1103 | 34% 66% |
| Pass accuracy % | 70.96 66.94–74.99 65.64–76.29 | 73.65 69.33–77.97 68.02–79.28 | — | 34% 61% |
| Fouls | 10.54 7.71–13.38 6.95–14.14 | 10.89 7.95–13.84 7.20–14.58 | 21.43 15.65–27.22 14.15–28.72 | 43% 49% |
| Offsides | 2.15 0.99–3.31 0.68–3.61 | 2.11 1.02–3.21 0.73–3.50 | 4.26 2.01–6.51 1.42–7.10 | 41% 20% 39% |
| Yellow cards | 1.39 0.34–2.44 0.08–2.71 | 2.01 0.88–3.14 0.59–3.43 | 3.41 1.23–5.58 0.67–6.14 | 27% 22% 52% |
| Red cards | 0.05 0.00–0.21 0.00–0.36 | 0.07 0.00–0.25 0.00–0.39 | 0.11 0.00–0.46 0.00–0.74 | 90% |
| GK saves | 2.79 1.36–4.23 0.97–4.62 | 3.49 1.94–5.05 1.51–5.47 | 6.28 3.29–9.28 2.48–10.09 | 31% 16% 53% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.