Predicted match statistics
Goals
36%
25%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction1.371.422.79safe0.40–2.340.57–2.280.97–4.61safer0.15–2.590.34–2.500.49–5.09
Shots on target
43%
14%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction4.504.488.99safe2.64–6.362.74–6.235.38–12.59safer2.15–6.852.28–6.694.43–13.55
Total shots
51%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction13.9013.2527.15safe9.97–17.829.68–16.8119.66–34.63safer8.88–18.928.72–17.7717.61–36.68
Shots in box
43%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction9.109.4018.50safe6.15–12.046.72–12.0812.87–24.12safer5.32–12.875.98–12.8211.31–25.69
Blocked shots
53%
14%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction4.513.788.28safe2.62–6.392.12–5.434.74–11.82safer2.08–6.931.63–5.923.71–12.85
Corners
52%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction5.394.7010.09safe3.18–7.602.70–6.705.87–14.30safer2.60–8.182.16–7.234.77–15.41
Possession %
73%
24%
homeawayprediction55.2644.08safe48.47–62.0537.30–50.87safer46.80–63.7235.63–52.54
Passes
85%
15%
homeawaytotalprediction528402930safe461–595336–469796–1064safer442–613318–486761–1099
Pass accuracy %
55%
40%
homeawayprediction72.9971.51safe68.96–77.0267.19–75.83safer67.67–78.3165.88–77.14
Fouls
42%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction10.2510.7020.95safe7.41–13.097.76–13.6515.17–26.74safer6.66–13.847.01–14.3913.67–28.24
Offsides
35%
20%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction1.972.234.20safe0.81–3.141.13–3.321.95–6.45safer0.51–3.440.84–3.611.36–7.04
Yellow cards
36%
25%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction1.391.442.83safe0.34–2.440.31–2.560.65–5.01safer0.08–2.710.01–2.860.09–5.56
Red cards
89%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.060.11safe0.00–0.220.00–0.240.00–0.46safer0.00–0.370.00–0.380.00–0.74
GK saves
40%
17%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction2.762.875.64safe1.32–4.201.32–4.432.64–8.63safer0.94–4.580.89–4.861.83–9.44
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.37 0.40–2.34 0.15–2.59 | 1.42 0.57–2.28 0.34–2.50 | 2.79 0.97–4.61 0.49–5.09 | 36% 25% 39% |
| Shots on target | 4.50 2.64–6.36 2.15–6.85 | 4.48 2.74–6.23 2.28–6.69 | 8.99 5.38–12.59 4.43–13.55 | 43% 14% 43% |
| Total shots | 13.90 9.97–17.82 8.88–18.92 | 13.25 9.68–16.81 8.72–17.77 | 27.15 19.66–34.63 17.61–36.68 | 51% 41% |
| Shots in box | 9.10 6.15–12.04 5.32–12.87 | 9.40 6.72–12.08 5.98–12.82 | 18.50 12.87–24.12 11.31–25.69 | 43% 48% |
| Blocked shots | 4.51 2.62–6.39 2.08–6.93 | 3.78 2.12–5.43 1.63–5.92 | 8.28 4.74–11.82 3.71–12.85 | 53% 14% 33% |
| Corners | 5.39 3.18–7.60 2.60–8.18 | 4.70 2.70–6.70 2.16–7.23 | 10.09 5.87–14.30 4.77–15.41 | 52% 35% |
| Possession % | 55.26 48.47–62.05 46.80–63.72 | 44.08 37.30–50.87 35.63–52.54 | — | 73% 24% |
| Passes | 528 461–595 442–613 | 402 336–469 318–486 | 930 796–1064 761–1099 | 85% 15% |
| Pass accuracy % | 72.99 68.96–77.02 67.67–78.31 | 71.51 67.19–75.83 65.88–77.14 | — | 55% 40% |
| Fouls | 10.25 7.41–13.09 6.66–13.84 | 10.70 7.76–13.65 7.01–14.39 | 20.95 15.17–26.74 13.67–28.24 | 42% 50% |
| Offsides | 1.97 0.81–3.14 0.51–3.44 | 2.23 1.13–3.32 0.84–3.61 | 4.20 1.95–6.45 1.36–7.04 | 35% 20% 45% |
| Yellow cards | 1.39 0.34–2.44 0.08–2.71 | 1.44 0.31–2.56 0.01–2.86 | 2.83 0.65–5.01 0.09–5.56 | 36% 25% 38% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.06 0.00–0.24 0.00–0.38 | 0.11 0.00–0.46 0.00–0.74 | 89% |
| GK saves | 2.76 1.32–4.20 0.94–4.58 | 2.87 1.32–4.43 0.89–4.86 | 5.64 2.64–8.63 1.83–9.44 | 40% 17% 43% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.