Predicted match statistics
Goals
34%
26%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction1.251.392.64safe0.28–2.220.53–2.240.82–4.46safer0.03–2.470.30–2.470.34–4.94
Shots on target
41%
14%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction4.164.278.43safe2.29–6.022.53–6.024.82–12.03safer1.80–6.512.06–6.483.87–12.99
Total shots
35%
57%
homeawaytotalprediction11.9013.3025.20safe7.97–15.829.74–16.8717.71–32.69safer6.88–16.918.78–17.8315.66–34.74
Shots in box
41%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction8.679.1017.77safe5.73–11.616.42–11.7812.14–23.39safer4.90–12.445.68–12.5110.58–24.96
Blocked shots
39%
15%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction3.613.897.50safe1.73–5.492.24–5.543.96–11.03safer1.18–6.031.74–6.032.93–12.07
Corners
39%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction5.085.4710.55safe2.87–7.303.47–7.476.33–14.76safer2.30–7.872.93–8.005.23–15.87
Possession %
15%
82%
homeawayprediction42.0658.65safe35.27–48.8551.87–65.44safer33.60–50.5250.20–67.11
Passes
14%
85%
homeawaytotalprediction337464802safe270–405398–531668–935safer252–423380–548632–971
Pass accuracy %
87%
homeawayprediction63.0772.14safe59.04–67.0967.81–76.46safer57.74–68.3966.50–77.77
Fouls
50%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction10.8110.3621.17safe7.97–13.657.42–13.3115.39–26.95safer7.22–14.406.67–14.0513.89–28.46
Offsides
39%
22%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction1.841.853.69safe0.68–3.000.76–2.941.44–5.94safer0.38–3.300.47–3.230.85–6.53
Yellow cards
39%
22%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction1.851.853.70safe0.81–2.900.72–2.971.52–5.88safer0.54–3.170.43–3.270.96–6.44
Red cards
87%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.070.14safe0.00–0.230.00–0.260.00–0.49safer0.00–0.380.00–0.390.00–0.77
GK saves
43%
17%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction2.942.835.78safe1.51–4.381.28–4.392.78–8.77safer1.12–4.770.85–4.811.97–9.58
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.25 0.28–2.22 0.03–2.47 | 1.39 0.53–2.24 0.30–2.47 | 2.64 0.82–4.46 0.34–4.94 | 34% 26% 40% |
| Shots on target | 4.16 2.29–6.02 1.80–6.51 | 4.27 2.53–6.02 2.06–6.48 | 8.43 4.82–12.03 3.87–12.99 | 41% 14% 45% |
| Total shots | 11.90 7.97–15.82 6.88–16.91 | 13.30 9.74–16.87 8.78–17.83 | 25.20 17.71–32.69 15.66–34.74 | 35% 57% |
| Shots in box | 8.67 5.73–11.61 4.90–12.44 | 9.10 6.42–11.78 5.68–12.51 | 17.77 12.14–23.39 10.58–24.96 | 41% 49% |
| Blocked shots | 3.61 1.73–5.49 1.18–6.03 | 3.89 2.24–5.54 1.74–6.03 | 7.50 3.96–11.03 2.93–12.07 | 39% 15% 47% |
| Corners | 5.08 2.87–7.30 2.30–7.87 | 5.47 3.47–7.47 2.93–8.00 | 10.55 6.33–14.76 5.23–15.87 | 39% 48% |
| Possession % | 42.06 35.27–48.85 33.60–50.52 | 58.65 51.87–65.44 50.20–67.11 | — | 15% 82% |
| Passes | 337 270–405 252–423 | 464 398–531 380–548 | 802 668–935 632–971 | 14% 85% |
| Pass accuracy % | 63.07 59.04–67.09 57.74–68.39 | 72.14 67.81–76.46 66.50–77.77 | — | 87% |
| Fouls | 10.81 7.97–13.65 7.22–14.40 | 10.36 7.42–13.31 6.67–14.05 | 21.17 15.39–26.95 13.89–28.46 | 50% 42% |
| Offsides | 1.84 0.68–3.00 0.38–3.30 | 1.85 0.76–2.94 0.47–3.23 | 3.69 1.44–5.94 0.85–6.53 | 39% 22% 39% |
| Yellow cards | 1.85 0.81–2.90 0.54–3.17 | 1.85 0.72–2.97 0.43–3.27 | 3.70 1.52–5.88 0.96–6.44 | 39% 22% 39% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.07 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.39 | 0.14 0.00–0.49 0.00–0.77 | 87% |
| GK saves | 2.94 1.51–4.38 1.12–4.77 | 2.83 1.28–4.39 0.85–4.81 | 5.78 2.78–8.77 1.97–9.58 | 43% 17% 40% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.