Predicted match statistics
Goals
47%
26%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction1.531.092.61safe0.56–2.490.23–1.940.79–4.44safer0.31–2.740.00–2.170.31–4.92
Shots on target
59%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction4.893.718.60safe3.02–6.751.97–5.454.99–12.21safer2.54–7.241.50–5.924.04–13.16
Total shots
78%
16%
homeawaytotalprediction15.3010.7826.08safe11.37–19.227.22–14.3518.59–33.57safer10.28–20.316.26–15.3016.54–35.62
Shots in box
75%
18%
homeawaytotalprediction10.056.7516.80safe7.11–12.994.07–9.4311.18–22.42safer6.28–13.823.33–10.179.61–23.99
Blocked shots
65%
23%
homeawaytotalprediction4.653.097.74safe2.77–6.531.44–4.744.20–11.27safer2.22–7.070.94–5.233.17–12.31
Corners
66%
23%
homeawaytotalprediction6.134.2710.40safe3.91–8.342.27–6.276.19–14.61safer3.34–8.911.74–6.815.08–15.72
Possession %
88%
homeawayprediction60.0839.11safe53.29–66.8732.32–45.89safer51.62–68.5430.65–47.56
Passes
96%
homeawaytotalprediction523319843safe456–590253–386709–976safer438–609235–403673–1012
Pass accuracy %
68%
27%
homeawayprediction70.7966.60safe66.76–74.8262.28–70.92safer65.47–76.1160.97–72.23
Fouls
38%
54%
homeawaytotalprediction10.0110.9420.94safe7.17–12.847.99–13.8815.16–26.72safer6.41–13.607.24–14.6313.65–28.23
Offsides
38%
22%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction1.811.873.68safe0.65–2.970.77–2.961.43–5.93safer0.35–3.270.49–3.250.84–6.52
Yellow cards
30%
22%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction1.491.923.41safe0.45–2.540.79–3.051.24–5.59safer0.18–2.810.50–3.340.68–6.15
Red cards
88%
homeawaytotalprediction0.050.080.13safe0.00–0.210.00–0.270.00–0.48safer0.00–0.360.00–0.400.00–0.76
GK saves
30%
16%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction2.553.265.82safe1.12–3.991.71–4.822.82–8.81safer0.73–4.381.28–5.252.01–9.62
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.53 0.56–2.49 0.31–2.74 | 1.09 0.23–1.94 0.00–2.17 | 2.61 0.79–4.44 0.31–4.92 | 47% 26% 27% |
| Shots on target | 4.89 3.02–6.75 2.54–7.24 | 3.71 1.97–5.45 1.50–5.92 | 8.60 4.99–12.21 4.04–13.16 | 59% 28% |
| Total shots | 15.30 11.37–19.22 10.28–20.31 | 10.78 7.22–14.35 6.26–15.30 | 26.08 18.59–33.57 16.54–35.62 | 78% 16% |
| Shots in box | 10.05 7.11–12.99 6.28–13.82 | 6.75 4.07–9.43 3.33–10.17 | 16.80 11.18–22.42 9.61–23.99 | 75% 18% |
| Blocked shots | 4.65 2.77–6.53 2.22–7.07 | 3.09 1.44–4.74 0.94–5.23 | 7.74 4.20–11.27 3.17–12.31 | 65% 23% |
| Corners | 6.13 3.91–8.34 3.34–8.91 | 4.27 2.27–6.27 1.74–6.81 | 10.40 6.19–14.61 5.08–15.72 | 66% 23% |
| Possession % | 60.08 53.29–66.87 51.62–68.54 | 39.11 32.32–45.89 30.65–47.56 | — | 88% |
| Passes | 523 456–590 438–609 | 319 253–386 235–403 | 843 709–976 673–1012 | 96% |
| Pass accuracy % | 70.79 66.76–74.82 65.47–76.11 | 66.60 62.28–70.92 60.97–72.23 | — | 68% 27% |
| Fouls | 10.01 7.17–12.84 6.41–13.60 | 10.94 7.99–13.88 7.24–14.63 | 20.94 15.16–26.72 13.65–28.23 | 38% 54% |
| Offsides | 1.81 0.65–2.97 0.35–3.27 | 1.87 0.77–2.96 0.49–3.25 | 3.68 1.43–5.93 0.84–6.52 | 38% 22% 40% |
| Yellow cards | 1.49 0.45–2.54 0.18–2.81 | 1.92 0.79–3.05 0.50–3.34 | 3.41 1.24–5.59 0.68–6.15 | 30% 22% 48% |
| Red cards | 0.05 0.00–0.21 0.00–0.36 | 0.08 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.40 | 0.13 0.00–0.48 0.00–0.76 | 88% |
| GK saves | 2.55 1.12–3.99 0.73–4.38 | 3.26 1.71–4.82 1.28–5.25 | 5.82 2.82–8.81 2.01–9.62 | 30% 16% 53% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+