Predicted match statistics
Goals
44%
24%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction1.591.322.92safe0.62–2.560.47–2.181.09–4.74safer0.37–2.810.24–2.410.61–5.22
Shots on target
58%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction5.214.069.27safe3.35–7.082.31–5.805.67–12.88safer2.86–7.571.85–6.264.71–13.83
Total shots
76%
19%
homeawaytotalprediction15.1911.1426.33safe11.26–19.117.58–14.7118.85–33.82safer10.17–20.216.62–15.6716.80–35.87
Shots in box
73%
20%
homeawaytotalprediction10.567.4918.06safe7.62–13.504.81–10.1712.43–23.68safer6.79–14.334.08–10.9110.87–25.25
Blocked shots
55%
14%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction4.393.527.91safe2.50–6.271.87–5.184.37–11.45safer1.96–6.811.38–5.673.34–12.48
Corners
67%
22%
homeawaytotalprediction5.663.839.49safe3.45–7.871.83–5.835.28–13.70safer2.87–8.451.30–6.364.17–14.81
Possession %
43%
52%
homeawayprediction49.0050.87safe42.21–55.7944.09–57.66safer40.54–57.4642.42–59.33
Passes
44%
55%
homeawaytotalprediction445461907safe378–512395–528773–1040safer360–531378–545737–1076
Pass accuracy %
25%
71%
homeawayprediction72.3777.10safe68.34–76.4072.78–81.43safer67.05–77.6971.47–82.74
Fouls
40%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction10.9011.6022.50safe8.06–13.748.65–14.5416.71–28.28safer7.31–14.497.90–15.2915.21–29.78
Offsides
31%
19%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction1.902.424.32safe0.74–3.061.33–3.512.07–6.57safer0.44–3.361.04–3.801.48–7.16
Yellow cards
33%
21%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction1.782.133.91safe0.73–2.831.00–3.261.73–6.09safer0.46–3.090.71–3.551.17–6.64
Red cards
84%
homeawaytotalprediction0.100.080.18safe0.00–0.260.00–0.270.00–0.53safer0.00–0.410.00–0.400.00–0.81
GK saves
32%
16%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction2.743.406.14safe1.30–4.181.84–4.963.15–9.13safer0.92–4.561.42–5.382.34–9.94
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.59 0.62–2.56 0.37–2.81 | 1.32 0.47–2.18 0.24–2.41 | 2.92 1.09–4.74 0.61–5.22 | 44% 24% 32% |
| Shots on target | 5.21 3.35–7.08 2.86–7.57 | 4.06 2.31–5.80 1.85–6.26 | 9.27 5.67–12.88 4.71–13.83 | 58% 29% |
| Total shots | 15.19 11.26–19.11 10.17–20.21 | 11.14 7.58–14.71 6.62–15.67 | 26.33 18.85–33.82 16.80–35.87 | 76% 19% |
| Shots in box | 10.56 7.62–13.50 6.79–14.33 | 7.49 4.81–10.17 4.08–10.91 | 18.06 12.43–23.68 10.87–25.25 | 73% 20% |
| Blocked shots | 4.39 2.50–6.27 1.96–6.81 | 3.52 1.87–5.18 1.38–5.67 | 7.91 4.37–11.45 3.34–12.48 | 55% 14% 31% |
| Corners | 5.66 3.45–7.87 2.87–8.45 | 3.83 1.83–5.83 1.30–6.36 | 9.49 5.28–13.70 4.17–14.81 | 67% 22% |
| Possession % | 49.00 42.21–55.79 40.54–57.46 | 50.87 44.09–57.66 42.42–59.33 | — | 43% 52% |
| Passes | 445 378–512 360–531 | 461 395–528 378–545 | 907 773–1040 737–1076 | 44% 55% |
| Pass accuracy % | 72.37 68.34–76.40 67.05–77.69 | 77.10 72.78–81.43 71.47–82.74 | — | 25% 71% |
| Fouls | 10.90 8.06–13.74 7.31–14.49 | 11.60 8.65–14.54 7.90–15.29 | 22.50 16.71–28.28 15.21–29.78 | 40% 52% |
| Offsides | 1.90 0.74–3.06 0.44–3.36 | 2.42 1.33–3.51 1.04–3.80 | 4.32 2.07–6.57 1.48–7.16 | 31% 19% 50% |
| Yellow cards | 1.78 0.73–2.83 0.46–3.09 | 2.13 1.00–3.26 0.71–3.55 | 3.91 1.73–6.09 1.17–6.64 | 33% 21% 46% |
| Red cards | 0.10 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.41 | 0.08 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.40 | 0.18 0.00–0.53 0.00–0.81 | 84% |
| GK saves | 2.74 1.30–4.18 0.92–4.56 | 3.40 1.84–4.96 1.42–5.38 | 6.14 3.15–9.13 2.34–9.94 | 32% 16% 52% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+