Predicted match statistics
Goals
43%
26%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction1.431.162.59safe0.46–2.390.31–2.020.77–4.41safer0.21–2.650.08–2.240.29–4.89
Shots on target
45%
13%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction4.574.459.02safe2.71–6.432.71–6.195.42–12.63safer2.22–6.922.24–6.664.46–13.58
Total shots
51%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction13.3012.7126.01safe9.38–17.239.15–16.2718.53–33.50safer8.29–18.328.19–17.2316.48–35.55
Shots in box
59%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction9.698.2417.93safe6.75–12.645.56–10.9212.31–23.56safer5.92–13.474.82–11.6610.74–25.12
Blocked shots
45%
15%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction3.853.657.51safe1.97–5.742.00–5.313.97–11.04safer1.43–6.281.51–5.802.93–12.08
Corners
48%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction5.214.8910.10safe3.00–7.432.89–6.895.89–14.31safer2.42–8.002.35–7.424.78–15.42
Possession %
17%
79%
homeawayprediction43.1458.07safe36.34–49.9351.28–64.85safer34.68–51.6049.61–66.52
Passes
13%
87%
homeawaytotalprediction357490848safe290–425424–557714–981safer272–443406–574678–1017
Pass accuracy %
85%
homeawayprediction66.2174.59safe62.18–70.2470.26–78.91safer60.89–71.5368.96–80.22
Fouls
49%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction11.2410.8322.06safe8.40–14.087.88–13.7716.28–27.85safer7.64–14.837.13–14.5214.78–29.35
Offsides
34%
22%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction1.601.843.43safe0.44–2.760.74–2.931.18–5.69safer0.13–3.060.46–3.220.59–6.28
Yellow cards
40%
21%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction1.981.953.93safe0.93–3.030.82–3.081.75–6.10safer0.66–3.290.53–3.371.19–6.66
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.090.070.16safe0.00–0.250.00–0.260.00–0.51safer0.00–0.400.00–0.390.00–0.79
GK saves
39%
17%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction2.943.086.01safe1.50–4.371.52–4.633.02–9.01safer1.11–4.761.10–5.062.21–9.82
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.43 0.46–2.39 0.21–2.65 | 1.16 0.31–2.02 0.08–2.24 | 2.59 0.77–4.41 0.29–4.89 | 43% 26% 31% |
| Shots on target | 4.57 2.71–6.43 2.22–6.92 | 4.45 2.71–6.19 2.24–6.66 | 9.02 5.42–12.63 4.46–13.58 | 45% 13% 42% |
| Total shots | 13.30 9.38–17.23 8.29–18.32 | 12.71 9.15–16.27 8.19–17.23 | 26.01 18.53–33.50 16.48–35.55 | 51% 41% |
| Shots in box | 9.69 6.75–12.64 5.92–13.47 | 8.24 5.56–10.92 4.82–11.66 | 17.93 12.31–23.56 10.74–25.12 | 59% 32% |
| Blocked shots | 3.85 1.97–5.74 1.43–6.28 | 3.65 2.00–5.31 1.51–5.80 | 7.51 3.97–11.04 2.93–12.08 | 45% 15% 40% |
| Corners | 5.21 3.00–7.43 2.42–8.00 | 4.89 2.89–6.89 2.35–7.42 | 10.10 5.89–14.31 4.78–15.42 | 48% 40% |
| Possession % | 43.14 36.34–49.93 34.68–51.60 | 58.07 51.28–64.85 49.61–66.52 | — | 17% 79% |
| Passes | 357 290–425 272–443 | 490 424–557 406–574 | 848 714–981 678–1017 | 13% 87% |
| Pass accuracy % | 66.21 62.18–70.24 60.89–71.53 | 74.59 70.26–78.91 68.96–80.22 | — | 85% |
| Fouls | 11.24 8.40–14.08 7.64–14.83 | 10.83 7.88–13.77 7.13–14.52 | 22.06 16.28–27.85 14.78–29.35 | 49% 42% |
| Offsides | 1.60 0.44–2.76 0.13–3.06 | 1.84 0.74–2.93 0.46–3.22 | 3.43 1.18–5.69 0.59–6.28 | 34% 22% 44% |
| Yellow cards | 1.98 0.93–3.03 0.66–3.29 | 1.95 0.82–3.08 0.53–3.37 | 3.93 1.75–6.10 1.19–6.66 | 40% 21% 39% |
| Red cards | 0.09 0.00–0.25 0.00–0.40 | 0.07 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.39 | 0.16 0.00–0.51 0.00–0.79 | 86% |
| GK saves | 2.94 1.50–4.37 1.11–4.76 | 3.08 1.52–4.63 1.10–5.06 | 6.01 3.02–9.01 2.21–9.82 | 39% 17% 44% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+