Predicted match statistics
Goals
43%
26%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction1.401.152.56safe0.43–2.370.30–2.010.73–4.38safer0.18–2.620.07–2.240.25–4.86
Shots on target
55%
13%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction4.813.908.71safe2.94–6.672.16–5.655.11–12.32safer2.45–7.161.70–6.114.15–13.27
Total shots
66%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction13.8711.3225.18safe9.94–17.797.75–14.8817.70–32.67safer8.85–18.886.80–15.8415.65–34.72
Shots in box
61%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction9.157.5116.66safe6.21–12.094.83–10.1911.03–22.28safer5.38–12.924.09–10.939.47–23.85
Blocked shots
55%
14%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction4.453.608.06safe2.57–6.331.95–5.264.52–11.59safer2.02–6.881.46–5.753.48–12.63
Corners
60%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction5.634.299.92safe3.42–7.842.29–6.295.71–14.13safer2.84–8.421.76–6.824.60–15.24
Possession %
90%
homeawayprediction60.9738.43safe54.18–67.7631.65–45.22safer52.51–69.4329.98–46.89
Passes
96%
homeawaytotalprediction543330873safe476–610263–396739–1007safer458–628246–414704–1042
Pass accuracy %
75%
21%
homeawayprediction73.5167.77safe69.48–77.5463.44–72.09safer68.19–78.8362.13–73.40
Fouls
36%
56%
homeawaytotalprediction10.3511.5821.93safe7.51–13.188.64–14.5316.15–27.71safer6.75–13.947.89–15.2714.64–29.21
Offsides
42%
22%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction1.821.673.48safe0.66–2.980.58–2.761.23–5.74safer0.35–3.280.29–3.050.64–6.33
Yellow cards
32%
20%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction1.832.224.05safe0.78–2.881.09–3.351.87–6.23safer0.51–3.140.80–3.641.31–6.78
Red cards
88%
homeawaytotalprediction0.050.080.13safe0.00–0.210.00–0.270.00–0.48safer0.00–0.360.00–0.400.00–0.76
GK saves
30%
16%
54%
homeawaytotalprediction2.653.416.06safe1.21–4.081.86–4.973.07–9.05safer0.82–4.471.43–5.392.26–9.87
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.40 0.43–2.37 0.18–2.62 | 1.15 0.30–2.01 0.07–2.24 | 2.56 0.73–4.38 0.25–4.86 | 43% 26% 31% |
| Shots on target | 4.81 2.94–6.67 2.45–7.16 | 3.90 2.16–5.65 1.70–6.11 | 8.71 5.11–12.32 4.15–13.27 | 55% 13% 32% |
| Total shots | 13.87 9.94–17.79 8.85–18.88 | 11.32 7.75–14.88 6.80–15.84 | 25.18 17.70–32.67 15.65–34.72 | 66% 27% |
| Shots in box | 9.15 6.21–12.09 5.38–12.92 | 7.51 4.83–10.19 4.09–10.93 | 16.66 11.03–22.28 9.47–23.85 | 61% 30% |
| Blocked shots | 4.45 2.57–6.33 2.02–6.88 | 3.60 1.95–5.26 1.46–5.75 | 8.06 4.52–11.59 3.48–12.63 | 55% 14% 32% |
| Corners | 5.63 3.42–7.84 2.84–8.42 | 4.29 2.29–6.29 1.76–6.82 | 9.92 5.71–14.13 4.60–15.24 | 60% 28% |
| Possession % | 60.97 54.18–67.76 52.51–69.43 | 38.43 31.65–45.22 29.98–46.89 | — | 90% |
| Passes | 543 476–610 458–628 | 330 263–396 246–414 | 873 739–1007 704–1042 | 96% |
| Pass accuracy % | 73.51 69.48–77.54 68.19–78.83 | 67.77 63.44–72.09 62.13–73.40 | — | 75% 21% |
| Fouls | 10.35 7.51–13.18 6.75–13.94 | 11.58 8.64–14.53 7.89–15.27 | 21.93 16.15–27.71 14.64–29.21 | 36% 56% |
| Offsides | 1.82 0.66–2.98 0.35–3.28 | 1.67 0.58–2.76 0.29–3.05 | 3.48 1.23–5.74 0.64–6.33 | 42% 22% 36% |
| Yellow cards | 1.83 0.78–2.88 0.51–3.14 | 2.22 1.09–3.35 0.80–3.64 | 4.05 1.87–6.23 1.31–6.78 | 32% 20% 47% |
| Red cards | 0.05 0.00–0.21 0.00–0.36 | 0.08 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.40 | 0.13 0.00–0.48 0.00–0.76 | 88% |
| GK saves | 2.65 1.21–4.08 0.82–4.47 | 3.41 1.86–4.97 1.43–5.39 | 6.06 3.07–9.05 2.26–9.87 | 30% 16% 54% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.