Predicted match statistics
Goals
33%
26%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction1.221.362.58safe0.25–2.190.51–2.220.76–4.40safer0.00–2.440.28–2.450.28–4.88
Shots on target
46%
14%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction4.474.258.72safe2.60–6.332.51–5.995.11–12.32safer2.12–6.822.04–6.464.16–13.28
Total shots
64%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction13.8911.6425.52safe9.96–17.818.08–15.2018.04–33.01safer8.87–18.907.12–16.1615.99–35.06
Shots in box
49%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction8.388.0116.38safe5.43–11.325.33–10.6910.76–22.01safer4.60–12.154.59–11.439.19–23.57
Blocked shots
49%
14%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction4.113.637.73safe2.22–5.991.98–5.284.20–11.27safer1.68–6.531.48–5.773.16–12.31
Corners
55%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction5.184.279.46safe2.97–7.402.27–6.275.24–13.67safer2.40–7.971.74–6.814.14–14.78
Possession %
47%
48%
homeawayprediction50.0650.19safe43.27–56.8543.40–56.97safer41.60–58.5241.73–58.64
Passes
54%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction454441895safe387–522374–507762–1029safer369–540357–525726–1065
Pass accuracy %
31%
64%
homeawayprediction72.8976.19safe68.86–76.9271.87–80.52safer67.57–78.2170.56–81.83
Fouls
69%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction12.9110.0522.95safe10.07–15.747.10–12.9917.17–28.74safer9.31–16.506.35–13.7415.67–30.24
Offsides
19%
18%
63%
homeawaytotalprediction1.332.503.83safe0.17–2.491.41–3.601.58–6.08safer0.00–2.791.12–3.890.99–6.67
Yellow cards
47%
19%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction2.372.004.36safe1.32–3.420.87–3.122.19–6.54safer1.05–3.680.58–3.421.63–7.10
Red cards
85%
homeawaytotalprediction0.100.060.16safe0.00–0.260.00–0.250.00–0.51safer0.00–0.410.00–0.380.00–0.79
GK saves
37%
17%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction2.803.105.90safe1.36–4.231.54–4.662.90–8.89safer0.97–4.621.12–5.082.09–9.70
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.22 0.25–2.19 0.00–2.44 | 1.36 0.51–2.22 0.28–2.45 | 2.58 0.76–4.40 0.28–4.88 | 33% 26% 40% |
| Shots on target | 4.47 2.60–6.33 2.12–6.82 | 4.25 2.51–5.99 2.04–6.46 | 8.72 5.11–12.32 4.16–13.28 | 46% 14% 40% |
| Total shots | 13.89 9.96–17.81 8.87–18.90 | 11.64 8.08–15.20 7.12–16.16 | 25.52 18.04–33.01 15.99–35.06 | 64% 29% |
| Shots in box | 8.38 5.43–11.32 4.60–12.15 | 8.01 5.33–10.69 4.59–11.43 | 16.38 10.76–22.01 9.19–23.57 | 49% 41% |
| Blocked shots | 4.11 2.22–5.99 1.68–6.53 | 3.63 1.98–5.28 1.48–5.77 | 7.73 4.20–11.27 3.16–12.31 | 49% 14% 36% |
| Corners | 5.18 2.97–7.40 2.40–7.97 | 4.27 2.27–6.27 1.74–6.81 | 9.46 5.24–13.67 4.14–14.78 | 55% 32% |
| Possession % | 50.06 43.27–56.85 41.60–58.52 | 50.19 43.40–56.97 41.73–58.64 | — | 47% 48% |
| Passes | 454 387–522 369–540 | 441 374–507 357–525 | 895 762–1029 726–1065 | 54% 45% |
| Pass accuracy % | 72.89 68.86–76.92 67.57–78.21 | 76.19 71.87–80.52 70.56–81.83 | — | 31% 64% |
| Fouls | 12.91 10.07–15.74 9.31–16.50 | 10.05 7.10–12.99 6.35–13.74 | 22.95 17.17–28.74 15.67–30.24 | 69% 24% |
| Offsides | 1.33 0.17–2.49 0.00–2.79 | 2.50 1.41–3.60 1.12–3.89 | 3.83 1.58–6.08 0.99–6.67 | 19% 18% 63% |
| Yellow cards | 2.37 1.32–3.42 1.05–3.68 | 2.00 0.87–3.12 0.58–3.42 | 4.36 2.19–6.54 1.63–7.10 | 47% 19% 33% |
| Red cards | 0.10 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.41 | 0.06 0.00–0.25 0.00–0.38 | 0.16 0.00–0.51 0.00–0.79 | 85% |
| GK saves | 2.80 1.36–4.23 0.97–4.62 | 3.10 1.54–4.66 1.12–5.08 | 5.90 2.90–8.89 2.09–9.70 | 37% 17% 47% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+