Predicted match statistics
Goals
37%
27%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction1.281.292.57safe0.31–2.250.43–2.140.75–4.39safer0.06–2.500.21–2.370.27–4.87
Shots on target
41%
14%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction4.374.568.93safe2.51–6.232.82–6.305.32–12.53safer2.02–6.722.35–6.774.37–13.49
Total shots
47%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction13.5313.4626.99safe9.60–17.459.90–17.0219.50–34.48safer8.51–18.548.94–17.9817.45–36.53
Shots in box
37%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction8.689.5618.25safe5.74–11.636.88–12.2412.62–23.87safer4.91–12.466.14–12.9811.06–25.44
Blocked shots
44%
14%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction4.434.378.80safe2.55–6.322.71–6.025.27–12.34safer2.01–6.862.22–6.514.23–13.37
Corners
54%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction5.744.9410.68safe3.53–7.952.94–6.946.47–14.89safer2.95–8.532.40–7.475.36–16.00
Possession %
67%
29%
homeawayprediction54.4445.99safe47.65–61.2339.21–52.78safer45.98–62.9037.53–54.45
Passes
80%
20%
homeawaytotalprediction497396893safe430–564330–463760–1027safer412–582312–480724–1063
Pass accuracy %
57%
38%
homeawayprediction71.5669.62safe67.53–75.5965.30–73.95safer66.24–76.8863.99–75.26
Fouls
44%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction11.4611.7323.18safe8.62–14.298.78–14.6717.40–28.97safer7.86–15.058.04–15.4215.90–30.47
Offsides
33%
25%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction1.331.522.86safe0.17–2.490.43–2.620.60–5.11safer0.00–2.800.14–2.900.01–5.70
Yellow cards
31%
21%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction1.622.023.65safe0.57–2.670.89–3.151.47–5.82safer0.31–2.940.60–3.440.91–6.38
Red cards
89%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.060.12safe0.00–0.220.00–0.250.00–0.47safer0.00–0.370.00–0.380.00–0.75
GK saves
41%
17%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction2.912.935.85safe1.47–4.351.38–4.492.85–8.84safer1.09–4.730.95–4.922.04–9.65
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.28 0.31–2.25 0.06–2.50 | 1.29 0.43–2.14 0.21–2.37 | 2.57 0.75–4.39 0.27–4.87 | 37% 27% 37% |
| Shots on target | 4.37 2.51–6.23 2.02–6.72 | 4.56 2.82–6.30 2.35–6.77 | 8.93 5.32–12.53 4.37–13.49 | 41% 14% 46% |
| Total shots | 13.53 9.60–17.45 8.51–18.54 | 13.46 9.90–17.02 8.94–17.98 | 26.99 19.50–34.48 17.45–36.53 | 47% 46% |
| Shots in box | 8.68 5.74–11.63 4.91–12.46 | 9.56 6.88–12.24 6.14–12.98 | 18.25 12.62–23.87 11.06–25.44 | 37% 53% |
| Blocked shots | 4.43 2.55–6.32 2.01–6.86 | 4.37 2.71–6.02 2.22–6.51 | 8.80 5.27–12.34 4.23–13.37 | 44% 14% 42% |
| Corners | 5.74 3.53–7.95 2.95–8.53 | 4.94 2.94–6.94 2.40–7.47 | 10.68 6.47–14.89 5.36–16.00 | 54% 34% |
| Possession % | 54.44 47.65–61.23 45.98–62.90 | 45.99 39.21–52.78 37.53–54.45 | — | 67% 29% |
| Passes | 497 430–564 412–582 | 396 330–463 312–480 | 893 760–1027 724–1063 | 80% 20% |
| Pass accuracy % | 71.56 67.53–75.59 66.24–76.88 | 69.62 65.30–73.95 63.99–75.26 | — | 57% 38% |
| Fouls | 11.46 8.62–14.29 7.86–15.05 | 11.73 8.78–14.67 8.04–15.42 | 23.18 17.40–28.97 15.90–30.47 | 44% 48% |
| Offsides | 1.33 0.17–2.49 0.00–2.80 | 1.52 0.43–2.62 0.14–2.90 | 2.86 0.60–5.11 0.01–5.70 | 33% 25% 42% |
| Yellow cards | 1.62 0.57–2.67 0.31–2.94 | 2.02 0.89–3.15 0.60–3.44 | 3.65 1.47–5.82 0.91–6.38 | 31% 21% 47% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.06 0.00–0.25 0.00–0.38 | 0.12 0.00–0.47 0.00–0.75 | 89% |
| GK saves | 2.91 1.47–4.35 1.09–4.73 | 2.93 1.38–4.49 0.95–4.92 | 5.85 2.85–8.84 2.04–9.65 | 41% 17% 42% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.