Predicted match statistics
Goals
69%
19%
homeawaytotalprediction2.060.702.75safe1.09–3.020.00–1.550.93–4.57safer0.84–3.280.00–1.780.45–5.05
Shots on target
85%
homeawaytotalprediction6.282.739.02safe4.42–8.150.99–4.485.41–12.62safer3.93–8.630.53–4.944.46–13.58
Total shots
97%
homeawaytotalprediction17.687.9225.60safe13.76–21.614.35–11.4818.11–33.09safer12.67–22.703.40–12.4416.06–35.14
Shots in box
95%
homeawaytotalprediction12.225.1217.35safe9.28–15.172.44–7.8011.72–22.97safer8.45–16.001.70–8.5410.16–24.54
Blocked shots
80%
homeawaytotalprediction5.572.698.26safe3.69–7.451.04–4.344.72–11.79safer3.14–8.000.54–4.833.69–12.83
Corners
92%
homeawaytotalprediction7.402.6510.05safe5.19–9.610.65–4.655.83–14.26safer4.61–10.190.11–5.184.73–15.37
Possession %
99%
homeawayprediction68.8030.72safe62.01–75.5923.93–37.50safer60.34–77.2622.26–39.17
Passes
100%
homeawaytotalprediction651275926safe584–718208–341792–1060safer566–737191–359757–1095
Pass accuracy %
95%
homeawayprediction79.7666.24safe75.73–83.7961.91–70.56safer74.44–85.0860.60–71.87
Fouls
22%
71%
homeawaytotalprediction9.0812.1721.24safe6.24–11.919.22–15.1115.46–27.02safer5.48–12.678.47–15.8613.95–28.53
Offsides
59%
21%
21%
homeawaytotalprediction2.101.183.28safe0.94–3.260.08–2.271.02–5.53safer0.64–3.560.00–2.560.43–6.12
Yellow cards
17%
17%
66%
homeawaytotalprediction1.262.583.83safe0.21–2.311.45–3.711.65–6.01safer0.00–2.571.16–4.001.10–6.57
Red cards
87%
homeawaytotalprediction0.040.100.14safe0.00–0.200.00–0.280.00–0.49safer0.00–0.350.00–0.420.00–0.77
GK saves
14%
74%
homeawaytotalprediction2.004.076.07safe0.56–3.442.52–5.633.08–9.07safer0.18–3.822.09–6.062.27–9.88
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.06 1.09–3.02 0.84–3.28 | 0.70 0.00–1.55 0.00–1.78 | 2.75 0.93–4.57 0.45–5.05 | 69% 19% |
| Shots on target | 6.28 4.42–8.15 3.93–8.63 | 2.73 0.99–4.48 0.53–4.94 | 9.02 5.41–12.62 4.46–13.58 | 85% |
| Total shots | 17.68 13.76–21.61 12.67–22.70 | 7.92 4.35–11.48 3.40–12.44 | 25.60 18.11–33.09 16.06–35.14 | 97% |
| Shots in box | 12.22 9.28–15.17 8.45–16.00 | 5.12 2.44–7.80 1.70–8.54 | 17.35 11.72–22.97 10.16–24.54 | 95% |
| Blocked shots | 5.57 3.69–7.45 3.14–8.00 | 2.69 1.04–4.34 0.54–4.83 | 8.26 4.72–11.79 3.69–12.83 | 80% |
| Corners | 7.40 5.19–9.61 4.61–10.19 | 2.65 0.65–4.65 0.11–5.18 | 10.05 5.83–14.26 4.73–15.37 | 92% |
| Possession % | 68.80 62.01–75.59 60.34–77.26 | 30.72 23.93–37.50 22.26–39.17 | — | 99% |
| Passes | 651 584–718 566–737 | 275 208–341 191–359 | 926 792–1060 757–1095 | 100% |
| Pass accuracy % | 79.76 75.73–83.79 74.44–85.08 | 66.24 61.91–70.56 60.60–71.87 | — | 95% |
| Fouls | 9.08 6.24–11.91 5.48–12.67 | 12.17 9.22–15.11 8.47–15.86 | 21.24 15.46–27.02 13.95–28.53 | 22% 71% |
| Offsides | 2.10 0.94–3.26 0.64–3.56 | 1.18 0.08–2.27 0.00–2.56 | 3.28 1.02–5.53 0.43–6.12 | 59% 21% 21% |
| Yellow cards | 1.26 0.21–2.31 0.00–2.57 | 2.58 1.45–3.71 1.16–4.00 | 3.83 1.65–6.01 1.10–6.57 | 17% 17% 66% |
| Red cards | 0.04 0.00–0.20 0.00–0.35 | 0.10 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.42 | 0.14 0.00–0.49 0.00–0.77 | 87% |
| GK saves | 2.00 0.56–3.44 0.18–3.82 | 4.07 2.52–5.63 2.09–6.06 | 6.07 3.08–9.07 2.27–9.88 | 14% 74% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+