Predicted match statistics
Goals
16%
21%
63%
homeawaytotalprediction0.851.952.79safe0.00–1.811.09–2.800.97–4.62safer0.00–2.070.87–3.030.49–5.10
Shots on target
15%
76%
homeawaytotalprediction3.105.668.76safe1.24–4.963.92–7.415.16–12.37safer0.75–5.453.45–7.874.20–13.32
Total shots
89%
homeawaytotalprediction8.9615.5624.52safe5.04–12.8912.00–19.1217.03–32.01safer3.94–13.9811.04–20.0814.98–34.06
Shots in box
82%
homeawaytotalprediction6.2010.3216.52safe3.25–9.147.64–13.0010.89–22.14safer2.42–9.976.90–13.749.33–23.71
Blocked shots
20%
68%
homeawaytotalprediction2.744.527.26safe0.86–4.622.86–6.173.72–10.79safer0.32–5.172.37–6.662.69–11.83
Corners
19%
71%
homeawaytotalprediction3.725.909.62safe1.51–5.933.90–7.905.41–13.83safer0.93–6.513.37–8.434.30–14.94
Possession %
97%
homeawayprediction34.3866.32safe27.59–41.1759.54–73.11safer25.92–42.8457.87–74.78
Passes
99%
homeawaytotalprediction305578882safe237–372511–644749–1016safer219–390494–662713–1052
Pass accuracy %
99%
homeawayprediction62.6780.19safe58.64–66.7075.87–84.52safer57.35–67.9974.56–85.82
Fouls
74%
20%
homeawaytotalprediction12.839.3722.20safe9.99–15.676.43–12.3216.42–27.99safer9.24–16.435.68–13.0714.92–29.49
Offsides
24%
21%
55%
homeawaytotalprediction1.352.123.47safe0.19–2.511.02–3.211.21–5.72safer0.00–2.810.73–3.500.63–6.31
Yellow cards
54%
20%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction2.261.523.78safe1.21–3.310.39–2.651.60–5.96safer0.95–3.580.10–2.941.05–6.52
Red cards
84%
homeawaytotalprediction0.120.060.18safe0.00–0.280.00–0.250.00–0.53safer0.00–0.430.00–0.380.00–0.81
GK saves
63%
15%
22%
homeawaytotalprediction3.562.265.82safe2.12–4.990.71–3.822.83–8.81safer1.73–5.380.28–4.242.02–9.63
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 0.85 0.00–1.81 0.00–2.07 | 1.95 1.09–2.80 0.87–3.03 | 2.79 0.97–4.62 0.49–5.10 | 16% 21% 63% |
| Shots on target | 3.10 1.24–4.96 0.75–5.45 | 5.66 3.92–7.41 3.45–7.87 | 8.76 5.16–12.37 4.20–13.32 | 15% 76% |
| Total shots | 8.96 5.04–12.89 3.94–13.98 | 15.56 12.00–19.12 11.04–20.08 | 24.52 17.03–32.01 14.98–34.06 | 89% |
| Shots in box | 6.20 3.25–9.14 2.42–9.97 | 10.32 7.64–13.00 6.90–13.74 | 16.52 10.89–22.14 9.33–23.71 | 82% |
| Blocked shots | 2.74 0.86–4.62 0.32–5.17 | 4.52 2.86–6.17 2.37–6.66 | 7.26 3.72–10.79 2.69–11.83 | 20% 68% |
| Corners | 3.72 1.51–5.93 0.93–6.51 | 5.90 3.90–7.90 3.37–8.43 | 9.62 5.41–13.83 4.30–14.94 | 19% 71% |
| Possession % | 34.38 27.59–41.17 25.92–42.84 | 66.32 59.54–73.11 57.87–74.78 | — | 97% |
| Passes | 305 237–372 219–390 | 578 511–644 494–662 | 882 749–1016 713–1052 | 99% |
| Pass accuracy % | 62.67 58.64–66.70 57.35–67.99 | 80.19 75.87–84.52 74.56–85.82 | — | 99% |
| Fouls | 12.83 9.99–15.67 9.24–16.43 | 9.37 6.43–12.32 5.68–13.07 | 22.20 16.42–27.99 14.92–29.49 | 74% 20% |
| Offsides | 1.35 0.19–2.51 0.00–2.81 | 2.12 1.02–3.21 0.73–3.50 | 3.47 1.21–5.72 0.63–6.31 | 24% 21% 55% |
| Yellow cards | 2.26 1.21–3.31 0.95–3.58 | 1.52 0.39–2.65 0.10–2.94 | 3.78 1.60–5.96 1.05–6.52 | 54% 20% 26% |
| Red cards | 0.12 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.43 | 0.06 0.00–0.25 0.00–0.38 | 0.18 0.00–0.53 0.00–0.81 | 84% |
| GK saves | 3.56 2.12–4.99 1.73–5.38 | 2.26 0.71–3.82 0.28–4.24 | 5.82 2.83–8.81 2.02–9.63 | 63% 15% 22% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.