Predicted match statistics
Goals
54%
23%
23%
homeawaytotalprediction1.811.092.89safe0.84–2.770.23–1.941.07–4.72safer0.59–3.030.00–2.170.59–5.20
Shots on target
67%
22%
homeawaytotalprediction5.623.799.41safe3.76–7.482.05–5.545.81–13.02safer3.27–7.971.58–6.004.85–13.97
Total shots
88%
homeawaytotalprediction16.5110.1026.61safe12.58–20.436.54–13.6619.12–34.10safer11.49–21.535.58–14.6217.07–36.15
Shots in box
74%
18%
homeawaytotalprediction10.717.4118.12safe7.76–13.654.73–10.0912.49–23.74safer6.94–14.483.99–10.8310.93–25.31
Blocked shots
69%
19%
homeawaytotalprediction4.722.847.56safe2.84–6.601.19–4.494.02–11.09safer2.29–7.140.70–4.992.99–12.13
Corners
71%
19%
homeawaytotalprediction6.684.3311.01safe4.46–8.892.33–6.336.80–15.22safer3.89–9.471.80–6.875.69–16.33
Possession %
90%
homeawayprediction61.3338.92safe54.54–68.1232.14–45.71safer52.87–69.7930.47–47.38
Passes
95%
homeawaytotalprediction534338872safe467–601271–404738–1006safer449–620254–422703–1041
Pass accuracy %
88%
homeawayprediction77.3767.83safe73.34–81.4063.51–72.16safer72.05–82.6962.20–73.46
Fouls
37%
55%
homeawaytotalprediction10.3211.3521.66safe7.48–13.158.40–14.2915.88–27.44safer6.72–13.917.65–15.0414.37–28.95
Offsides
46%
22%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction1.981.663.64safe0.82–3.140.57–2.751.38–5.89safer0.52–3.440.28–3.040.79–6.48
Yellow cards
32%
21%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction1.672.013.68safe0.62–2.720.88–3.141.50–5.86safer0.35–2.980.59–3.430.94–6.41
Red cards
88%
homeawaytotalprediction0.040.090.13safe0.00–0.200.00–0.270.00–0.47safer0.00–0.350.00–0.400.00–0.76
GK saves
22%
14%
64%
homeawaytotalprediction2.473.906.38safe1.04–3.912.35–5.463.38–9.37safer0.65–4.301.92–5.882.57–10.18
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.81 0.84–2.77 0.59–3.03 | 1.09 0.23–1.94 0.00–2.17 | 2.89 1.07–4.72 0.59–5.20 | 54% 23% 23% |
| Shots on target | 5.62 3.76–7.48 3.27–7.97 | 3.79 2.05–5.54 1.58–6.00 | 9.41 5.81–13.02 4.85–13.97 | 67% 22% |
| Total shots | 16.51 12.58–20.43 11.49–21.53 | 10.10 6.54–13.66 5.58–14.62 | 26.61 19.12–34.10 17.07–36.15 | 88% |
| Shots in box | 10.71 7.76–13.65 6.94–14.48 | 7.41 4.73–10.09 3.99–10.83 | 18.12 12.49–23.74 10.93–25.31 | 74% 18% |
| Blocked shots | 4.72 2.84–6.60 2.29–7.14 | 2.84 1.19–4.49 0.70–4.99 | 7.56 4.02–11.09 2.99–12.13 | 69% 19% |
| Corners | 6.68 4.46–8.89 3.89–9.47 | 4.33 2.33–6.33 1.80–6.87 | 11.01 6.80–15.22 5.69–16.33 | 71% 19% |
| Possession % | 61.33 54.54–68.12 52.87–69.79 | 38.92 32.14–45.71 30.47–47.38 | — | 90% |
| Passes | 534 467–601 449–620 | 338 271–404 254–422 | 872 738–1006 703–1041 | 95% |
| Pass accuracy % | 77.37 73.34–81.40 72.05–82.69 | 67.83 63.51–72.16 62.20–73.46 | — | 88% |
| Fouls | 10.32 7.48–13.15 6.72–13.91 | 11.35 8.40–14.29 7.65–15.04 | 21.66 15.88–27.44 14.37–28.95 | 37% 55% |
| Offsides | 1.98 0.82–3.14 0.52–3.44 | 1.66 0.57–2.75 0.28–3.04 | 3.64 1.38–5.89 0.79–6.48 | 46% 22% 33% |
| Yellow cards | 1.67 0.62–2.72 0.35–2.98 | 2.01 0.88–3.14 0.59–3.43 | 3.68 1.50–5.86 0.94–6.41 | 32% 21% 46% |
| Red cards | 0.04 0.00–0.20 0.00–0.35 | 0.09 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.40 | 0.13 0.00–0.47 0.00–0.76 | 88% |
| GK saves | 2.47 1.04–3.91 0.65–4.30 | 3.90 2.35–5.46 1.92–5.88 | 6.38 3.38–9.37 2.57–10.18 | 22% 14% 64% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+