Predicted match statistics
Goals
29%
24%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction1.271.652.92safe0.30–2.230.80–2.501.09–4.74safer0.05–2.490.57–2.730.61–5.22
Shots on target
32%
13%
55%
homeawaytotalprediction4.024.878.89safe2.16–5.883.13–6.625.29–12.50safer1.67–6.372.66–7.084.33–13.45
Total shots
34%
59%
homeawaytotalprediction12.1313.7925.92safe8.21–16.0610.23–17.3518.44–33.41safer7.11–17.159.27–18.3116.39–35.46
Shots in box
40%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction8.418.9417.34safe5.46–11.356.26–11.6211.72–22.97safer4.63–12.185.52–12.3610.15–24.53
Blocked shots
36%
15%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction3.574.017.57safe1.68–5.452.35–5.664.04–11.11safer1.14–5.991.86–6.153.00–12.14
Corners
43%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction4.814.889.69safe2.60–7.032.88–6.885.48–13.91safer2.02–7.602.35–7.414.37–15.01
Possession %
14%
83%
homeawayprediction41.7758.80safe34.98–48.5652.02–65.59safer33.31–50.2350.35–67.26
Passes
90%
homeawaytotalprediction362513875safe295–429447–580742–1009safer277–447429–597706–1045
Pass accuracy %
95%
homeawayprediction64.4277.80safe60.39–68.4573.48–82.13safer59.09–69.7472.17–83.44
Fouls
44%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction11.0911.3422.42safe8.25–13.928.39–14.2816.64–28.21safer7.49–14.687.65–15.0315.14–29.71
Offsides
35%
21%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction1.882.124.01safe0.72–3.041.03–3.221.75–6.26safer0.42–3.340.74–3.511.16–6.85
Yellow cards
36%
21%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction1.812.003.81safe0.76–2.860.87–3.131.63–5.98safer0.49–3.120.58–3.421.07–6.54
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.080.15safe0.00–0.230.00–0.270.00–0.50safer0.00–0.380.00–0.400.00–0.78
GK saves
49%
16%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction3.232.786.00safe1.79–4.661.22–4.333.01–9.00safer1.40–5.050.80–4.762.20–9.81
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.27 0.30–2.23 0.05–2.49 | 1.65 0.80–2.50 0.57–2.73 | 2.92 1.09–4.74 0.61–5.22 | 29% 24% 46% |
| Shots on target | 4.02 2.16–5.88 1.67–6.37 | 4.87 3.13–6.62 2.66–7.08 | 8.89 5.29–12.50 4.33–13.45 | 32% 13% 55% |
| Total shots | 12.13 8.21–16.06 7.11–17.15 | 13.79 10.23–17.35 9.27–18.31 | 25.92 18.44–33.41 16.39–35.46 | 34% 59% |
| Shots in box | 8.41 5.46–11.35 4.63–12.18 | 8.94 6.26–11.62 5.52–12.36 | 17.34 11.72–22.97 10.15–24.53 | 40% 50% |
| Blocked shots | 3.57 1.68–5.45 1.14–5.99 | 4.01 2.35–5.66 1.86–6.15 | 7.57 4.04–11.11 3.00–12.14 | 36% 15% 49% |
| Corners | 4.81 2.60–7.03 2.02–7.60 | 4.88 2.88–6.88 2.35–7.41 | 9.69 5.48–13.91 4.37–15.01 | 43% 44% |
| Possession % | 41.77 34.98–48.56 33.31–50.23 | 58.80 52.02–65.59 50.35–67.26 | — | 14% 83% |
| Passes | 362 295–429 277–447 | 513 447–580 429–597 | 875 742–1009 706–1045 | 90% |
| Pass accuracy % | 64.42 60.39–68.45 59.09–69.74 | 77.80 73.48–82.13 72.17–83.44 | — | 95% |
| Fouls | 11.09 8.25–13.92 7.49–14.68 | 11.34 8.39–14.28 7.65–15.03 | 22.42 16.64–28.21 15.14–29.71 | 44% 48% |
| Offsides | 1.88 0.72–3.04 0.42–3.34 | 2.12 1.03–3.22 0.74–3.51 | 4.01 1.75–6.26 1.16–6.85 | 35% 21% 44% |
| Yellow cards | 1.81 0.76–2.86 0.49–3.12 | 2.00 0.87–3.13 0.58–3.42 | 3.81 1.63–5.98 1.07–6.54 | 36% 21% 43% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.08 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.40 | 0.15 0.00–0.50 0.00–0.78 | 86% |
| GK saves | 3.23 1.79–4.66 1.40–5.05 | 2.78 1.22–4.33 0.80–4.76 | 6.00 3.01–9.00 2.20–9.81 | 49% 16% 35% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.