Predicted match statistics
Goals
37%
27%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction1.281.262.54safe0.31–2.250.41–2.120.72–4.36safer0.06–2.500.18–2.350.24–4.84
Shots on target
44%
14%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction4.144.038.17safe2.28–6.002.29–5.784.57–11.78safer1.79–6.491.82–6.243.61–12.73
Total shots
63%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction14.0411.8425.88safe10.12–17.978.27–15.4018.39–33.37safer9.03–19.067.31–16.3616.34–35.42
Shots in box
57%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction9.458.1917.65safe6.51–12.405.51–10.8712.03–23.27safer5.68–13.234.78–11.6110.46–24.84
Blocked shots
56%
13%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction4.583.648.22safe2.70–6.461.99–5.294.69–11.76safer2.15–7.001.50–5.793.65–12.79
Corners
50%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction5.645.1510.79safe3.42–7.853.15–7.156.58–15.00safer2.85–8.432.62–7.695.47–16.11
Possession %
44%
51%
homeawayprediction48.8250.39safe42.02–55.6143.60–57.17safer40.36–57.2741.93–58.85
Passes
47%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction426435861safe359–494369–501728–995safer341–512351–519692–1031
Pass accuracy %
25%
71%
homeawayprediction65.9070.66safe61.87–69.9366.33–74.98safer60.58–71.2265.03–76.29
Fouls
34%
58%
homeawaytotalprediction10.4211.9022.32safe7.58–13.268.96–14.8516.54–28.11safer6.83–14.028.21–15.5915.04–29.61
Offsides
58%
20%
22%
homeawaytotalprediction2.201.293.48safe1.04–3.360.19–2.381.23–5.74safer0.74–3.660.00–2.670.64–6.33
Yellow cards
31%
23%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction1.481.843.32safe0.43–2.530.71–2.971.14–5.50safer0.16–2.790.42–3.260.58–6.05
Red cards
89%
homeawaytotalprediction0.050.070.12safe0.00–0.210.00–0.260.00–0.46safer0.00–0.360.00–0.390.00–0.75
GK saves
39%
17%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction2.672.835.50safe1.24–4.111.27–4.382.51–8.49safer0.85–4.500.85–4.811.70–9.30
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.28 0.31–2.25 0.06–2.50 | 1.26 0.41–2.12 0.18–2.35 | 2.54 0.72–4.36 0.24–4.84 | 37% 27% 36% |
| Shots on target | 4.14 2.28–6.00 1.79–6.49 | 4.03 2.29–5.78 1.82–6.24 | 8.17 4.57–11.78 3.61–12.73 | 44% 14% 41% |
| Total shots | 14.04 10.12–17.97 9.03–19.06 | 11.84 8.27–15.40 7.31–16.36 | 25.88 18.39–33.37 16.34–35.42 | 63% 30% |
| Shots in box | 9.45 6.51–12.40 5.68–13.23 | 8.19 5.51–10.87 4.78–11.61 | 17.65 12.03–23.27 10.46–24.84 | 57% 34% |
| Blocked shots | 4.58 2.70–6.46 2.15–7.00 | 3.64 1.99–5.29 1.50–5.79 | 8.22 4.69–11.76 3.65–12.79 | 56% 13% 31% |
| Corners | 5.64 3.42–7.85 2.85–8.43 | 5.15 3.15–7.15 2.62–7.69 | 10.79 6.58–15.00 5.47–16.11 | 50% 38% |
| Possession % | 48.82 42.02–55.61 40.36–57.27 | 50.39 43.60–57.17 41.93–58.85 | — | 44% 51% |
| Passes | 426 359–494 341–512 | 435 369–501 351–519 | 861 728–995 692–1031 | 47% 53% |
| Pass accuracy % | 65.90 61.87–69.93 60.58–71.22 | 70.66 66.33–74.98 65.03–76.29 | — | 25% 71% |
| Fouls | 10.42 7.58–13.26 6.83–14.02 | 11.90 8.96–14.85 8.21–15.59 | 22.32 16.54–28.11 15.04–29.61 | 34% 58% |
| Offsides | 2.20 1.04–3.36 0.74–3.66 | 1.29 0.19–2.38 0.00–2.67 | 3.48 1.23–5.74 0.64–6.33 | 58% 20% 22% |
| Yellow cards | 1.48 0.43–2.53 0.16–2.79 | 1.84 0.71–2.97 0.42–3.26 | 3.32 1.14–5.50 0.58–6.05 | 31% 23% 46% |
| Red cards | 0.05 0.00–0.21 0.00–0.36 | 0.07 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.39 | 0.12 0.00–0.46 0.00–0.75 | 89% |
| GK saves | 2.67 1.24–4.11 0.85–4.50 | 2.83 1.27–4.38 0.85–4.81 | 5.50 2.51–8.49 1.70–9.30 | 39% 17% 44% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.