Predicted match statistics
Goals
43%
27%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction1.331.082.41safe0.37–2.300.22–1.930.59–4.23safer0.12–2.550.00–2.160.11–4.71
Shots on target
53%
13%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction4.874.129.00safe3.01–6.742.38–5.865.39–12.60safer2.52–7.231.91–6.334.43–13.56
Total shots
72%
22%
homeawaytotalprediction15.3811.8527.23safe11.45–19.308.29–15.4119.74–34.71safer10.36–20.397.33–16.3717.69–36.76
Shots in box
55%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction9.808.7418.54safe6.86–12.746.06–11.4212.92–24.16safer6.03–13.575.32–12.1611.35–25.73
Blocked shots
57%
14%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction4.513.538.03safe2.62–6.391.87–5.184.50–11.57safer2.08–6.931.38–5.673.46–12.60
Corners
54%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction5.925.0510.97safe3.70–8.133.05–7.056.75–15.18safer3.13–8.712.52–7.585.65–16.29
Possession %
59%
36%
homeawayprediction52.5647.55safe45.77–59.3540.77–54.34safer44.10–61.0239.10–56.01
Passes
68%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction480423903safe413–547357–489769–1037safer395–565339–507734–1072
Pass accuracy %
58%
37%
homeawayprediction70.2368.26safe66.20–74.2663.93–72.58safer64.91–75.5562.63–73.89
Fouls
53%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction11.5810.7122.29safe8.75–14.427.76–13.6516.51–28.07safer7.99–15.187.01–14.4015.00–29.58
Offsides
22%
20%
57%
homeawaytotalprediction1.302.173.46safe0.13–2.461.07–3.261.21–5.72safer0.00–2.760.79–3.550.62–6.31
Yellow cards
30%
23%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction1.421.843.26safe0.37–2.470.71–2.971.08–5.43safer0.10–2.730.42–3.260.52–5.99
Red cards
90%
homeawaytotalprediction0.050.060.11safe0.00–0.210.00–0.250.00–0.46safer0.00–0.360.00–0.380.00–0.74
GK saves
33%
16%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction2.673.235.90safe1.24–4.111.67–4.792.91–8.90safer0.85–4.501.25–5.212.10–9.71
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.33 0.37–2.30 0.12–2.55 | 1.08 0.22–1.93 0.00–2.16 | 2.41 0.59–4.23 0.11–4.71 | 43% 27% 30% |
| Shots on target | 4.87 3.01–6.74 2.52–7.23 | 4.12 2.38–5.86 1.91–6.33 | 9.00 5.39–12.60 4.43–13.56 | 53% 13% 34% |
| Total shots | 15.38 11.45–19.30 10.36–20.39 | 11.85 8.29–15.41 7.33–16.37 | 27.23 19.74–34.71 17.69–36.76 | 72% 22% |
| Shots in box | 9.80 6.86–12.74 6.03–13.57 | 8.74 6.06–11.42 5.32–12.16 | 18.54 12.92–24.16 11.35–25.73 | 55% 36% |
| Blocked shots | 4.51 2.62–6.39 2.08–6.93 | 3.53 1.87–5.18 1.38–5.67 | 8.03 4.50–11.57 3.46–12.60 | 57% 14% 30% |
| Corners | 5.92 3.70–8.13 3.13–8.71 | 5.05 3.05–7.05 2.52–7.58 | 10.97 6.75–15.18 5.65–16.29 | 54% 34% |
| Possession % | 52.56 45.77–59.35 44.10–61.02 | 47.55 40.77–54.34 39.10–56.01 | — | 59% 36% |
| Passes | 480 413–547 395–565 | 423 357–489 339–507 | 903 769–1037 734–1072 | 68% 32% |
| Pass accuracy % | 70.23 66.20–74.26 64.91–75.55 | 68.26 63.93–72.58 62.63–73.89 | — | 58% 37% |
| Fouls | 11.58 8.75–14.42 7.99–15.18 | 10.71 7.76–13.65 7.01–14.40 | 22.29 16.51–28.07 15.00–29.58 | 53% 38% |
| Offsides | 1.30 0.13–2.46 0.00–2.76 | 2.17 1.07–3.26 0.79–3.55 | 3.46 1.21–5.72 0.62–6.31 | 22% 20% 57% |
| Yellow cards | 1.42 0.37–2.47 0.10–2.73 | 1.84 0.71–2.97 0.42–3.26 | 3.26 1.08–5.43 0.52–5.99 | 30% 23% 47% |
| Red cards | 0.05 0.00–0.21 0.00–0.36 | 0.06 0.00–0.25 0.00–0.38 | 0.11 0.00–0.46 0.00–0.74 | 90% |
| GK saves | 2.67 1.24–4.11 0.85–4.50 | 3.23 1.67–4.79 1.25–5.21 | 5.90 2.91–8.90 2.10–9.71 | 33% 16% 51% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+