Predicted match statistics
Goals
49%
24%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction1.701.202.90safe0.73–2.670.35–2.061.08–4.73safer0.48–2.920.12–2.280.60–5.21
Shots on target
58%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction5.554.409.96safe3.69–7.422.66–6.156.35–13.56safer3.20–7.912.20–6.615.40–14.52
Total shots
74%
21%
homeawaytotalprediction17.1113.1130.22safe13.18–21.039.55–16.6722.73–37.70safer12.09–22.128.59–17.6320.68–39.76
Shots in box
64%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction10.398.3718.76safe7.45–13.335.69–11.0513.14–24.39safer6.62–14.164.95–11.7911.57–25.95
Blocked shots
62%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction4.983.548.52safe3.09–6.861.89–5.194.98–12.05safer2.55–7.401.40–5.693.95–13.09
Corners
71%
19%
homeawaytotalprediction6.694.3111.00safe4.47–8.902.31–6.316.79–15.21safer3.90–9.471.78–6.845.68–16.32
Possession %
69%
27%
homeawayprediction54.7945.62safe48.00–61.5838.83–52.40safer46.33–63.2537.16–54.08
Passes
79%
21%
homeawaytotalprediction526431957safe459–594364–497823–1091safer441–612347–515788–1126
Pass accuracy %
51%
44%
homeawayprediction75.5874.91safe71.55–79.6170.59–79.23safer70.26–80.9069.28–80.54
Fouls
46%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction11.0511.0622.11safe8.22–13.898.11–14.0016.33–27.89safer7.46–14.657.36–14.7514.82–29.40
Offsides
27%
21%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction1.512.113.62safe0.35–2.671.02–3.201.36–5.87safer0.05–2.970.73–3.490.78–6.46
Yellow cards
38%
22%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction1.801.873.67safe0.75–2.850.75–3.001.49–5.85safer0.48–3.110.45–3.290.94–6.41
Red cards
88%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.070.13safe0.00–0.220.00–0.250.00–0.47safer0.00–0.370.00–0.390.00–0.76
GK saves
31%
16%
54%
homeawaytotalprediction2.703.446.14safe1.26–4.141.88–5.003.15–9.13safer0.88–4.521.46–5.422.33–9.94
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.70 0.73–2.67 0.48–2.92 | 1.20 0.35–2.06 0.12–2.28 | 2.90 1.08–4.73 0.60–5.21 | 49% 24% 27% |
| Shots on target | 5.55 3.69–7.42 3.20–7.91 | 4.40 2.66–6.15 2.20–6.61 | 9.96 6.35–13.56 5.40–14.52 | 58% 30% |
| Total shots | 17.11 13.18–21.03 12.09–22.12 | 13.11 9.55–16.67 8.59–17.63 | 30.22 22.73–37.70 20.68–39.76 | 74% 21% |
| Shots in box | 10.39 7.45–13.33 6.62–14.16 | 8.37 5.69–11.05 4.95–11.79 | 18.76 13.14–24.39 11.57–25.95 | 64% 28% |
| Blocked shots | 4.98 3.09–6.86 2.55–7.40 | 3.54 1.89–5.19 1.40–5.69 | 8.52 4.98–12.05 3.95–13.09 | 62% 25% |
| Corners | 6.69 4.47–8.90 3.90–9.47 | 4.31 2.31–6.31 1.78–6.84 | 11.00 6.79–15.21 5.68–16.32 | 71% 19% |
| Possession % | 54.79 48.00–61.58 46.33–63.25 | 45.62 38.83–52.40 37.16–54.08 | — | 69% 27% |
| Passes | 526 459–594 441–612 | 431 364–497 347–515 | 957 823–1091 788–1126 | 79% 21% |
| Pass accuracy % | 75.58 71.55–79.61 70.26–80.90 | 74.91 70.59–79.23 69.28–80.54 | — | 51% 44% |
| Fouls | 11.05 8.22–13.89 7.46–14.65 | 11.06 8.11–14.00 7.36–14.75 | 22.11 16.33–27.89 14.82–29.40 | 46% 46% |
| Offsides | 1.51 0.35–2.67 0.05–2.97 | 2.11 1.02–3.20 0.73–3.49 | 3.62 1.36–5.87 0.78–6.46 | 27% 21% 52% |
| Yellow cards | 1.80 0.75–2.85 0.48–3.11 | 1.87 0.75–3.00 0.45–3.29 | 3.67 1.49–5.85 0.94–6.41 | 38% 22% 41% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.07 0.00–0.25 0.00–0.39 | 0.13 0.00–0.47 0.00–0.76 | 88% |
| GK saves | 2.70 1.26–4.14 0.88–4.52 | 3.44 1.88–5.00 1.46–5.42 | 6.14 3.15–9.13 2.33–9.94 | 31% 16% 54% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.