Predicted match statistics
Goals
36%
24%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction1.441.532.97safe0.48–2.410.67–2.381.15–4.79safer0.23–2.660.44–2.610.67–5.27
Shots on target
41%
13%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction4.724.929.64safe2.86–6.583.17–6.666.03–13.24safer2.37–7.072.71–7.125.08–14.20
Total shots
47%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction14.0213.9227.95safe10.10–17.9510.36–17.4920.46–35.43safer9.01–19.049.40–18.4518.41–37.49
Shots in box
45%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction9.589.6119.19safe6.63–12.526.93–12.2913.56–24.81safer5.80–13.356.19–13.0312.00–26.38
Blocked shots
44%
14%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction4.264.178.43safe2.38–6.142.52–5.824.89–11.96safer1.83–6.682.03–6.323.86–13.00
Corners
53%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction5.775.0510.82safe3.56–7.983.05–7.056.61–15.04safer2.98–8.562.52–7.595.50–16.14
Possession %
34%
62%
homeawayprediction47.4753.47safe40.68–54.2646.69–60.26safer39.01–55.9345.02–61.93
Passes
34%
65%
homeawaytotalprediction447494941safe379–514428–561807–1075safer361–532410–578771–1110
Pass accuracy %
26%
70%
homeawayprediction71.0675.59safe67.04–75.0971.27–79.91safer65.74–76.3969.96–81.22
Fouls
41%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction10.0810.6320.71safe7.24–12.927.68–13.5714.92–26.49safer6.49–13.676.93–14.3213.42–27.99
Offsides
54%
20%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction2.231.493.73safe1.07–3.390.40–2.591.47–5.98safer0.77–3.700.11–2.880.88–6.57
Yellow cards
30%
23%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction1.401.803.20safe0.35–2.450.67–2.931.02–5.38safer0.08–2.710.38–3.220.46–5.93
Red cards
88%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.070.13safe0.00–0.220.00–0.260.00–0.48safer0.00–0.370.00–0.390.00–0.76
GK saves
44%
17%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction3.102.956.05safe1.66–4.541.40–4.513.06–9.05safer1.28–4.920.97–4.932.25–9.86
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.44 0.48–2.41 0.23–2.66 | 1.53 0.67–2.38 0.44–2.61 | 2.97 1.15–4.79 0.67–5.27 | 36% 24% 40% |
| Shots on target | 4.72 2.86–6.58 2.37–7.07 | 4.92 3.17–6.66 2.71–7.12 | 9.64 6.03–13.24 5.08–14.20 | 41% 13% 46% |
| Total shots | 14.02 10.10–17.95 9.01–19.04 | 13.92 10.36–17.49 9.40–18.45 | 27.95 20.46–35.43 18.41–37.49 | 47% 45% |
| Shots in box | 9.58 6.63–12.52 5.80–13.35 | 9.61 6.93–12.29 6.19–13.03 | 19.19 13.56–24.81 12.00–26.38 | 45% 46% |
| Blocked shots | 4.26 2.38–6.14 1.83–6.68 | 4.17 2.52–5.82 2.03–6.32 | 8.43 4.89–11.96 3.86–13.00 | 44% 14% 42% |
| Corners | 5.77 3.56–7.98 2.98–8.56 | 5.05 3.05–7.05 2.52–7.59 | 10.82 6.61–15.04 5.50–16.14 | 53% 35% |
| Possession % | 47.47 40.68–54.26 39.01–55.93 | 53.47 46.69–60.26 45.02–61.93 | — | 34% 62% |
| Passes | 447 379–514 361–532 | 494 428–561 410–578 | 941 807–1075 771–1110 | 34% 65% |
| Pass accuracy % | 71.06 67.04–75.09 65.74–76.39 | 75.59 71.27–79.91 69.96–81.22 | — | 26% 70% |
| Fouls | 10.08 7.24–12.92 6.49–13.67 | 10.63 7.68–13.57 6.93–14.32 | 20.71 14.92–26.49 13.42–27.99 | 41% 50% |
| Offsides | 2.23 1.07–3.39 0.77–3.70 | 1.49 0.40–2.59 0.11–2.88 | 3.73 1.47–5.98 0.88–6.57 | 54% 20% 25% |
| Yellow cards | 1.40 0.35–2.45 0.08–2.71 | 1.80 0.67–2.93 0.38–3.22 | 3.20 1.02–5.38 0.46–5.93 | 30% 23% 47% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.07 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.39 | 0.13 0.00–0.48 0.00–0.76 | 88% |
| GK saves | 3.10 1.66–4.54 1.28–4.92 | 2.95 1.40–4.51 0.97–4.93 | 6.05 3.06–9.05 2.25–9.86 | 44% 17% 39% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+