Predicted match statistics
Goals
35%
25%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction1.391.512.91safe0.42–2.360.66–2.371.08–4.73safer0.17–2.610.43–2.600.60–5.21
Shots on target
34%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction4.285.019.29safe2.42–6.143.27–6.755.69–12.90safer1.93–6.632.80–7.224.73–13.85
Total shots
39%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction13.2014.1427.34safe9.27–17.1210.58–17.7019.85–34.83safer8.18–18.219.62–18.6617.80–36.88
Shots in box
41%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction9.249.7118.95safe6.30–12.187.03–12.3913.33–24.57safer5.47–13.016.29–13.1311.76–26.14
Blocked shots
42%
15%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction3.853.877.72safe1.97–5.732.22–5.524.18–11.26safer1.42–6.281.72–6.013.15–12.29
Corners
38%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction4.905.3410.23safe2.68–7.113.34–7.346.02–14.45safer2.11–7.682.80–7.874.91–15.55
Possession %
18%
79%
homeawayprediction42.8457.44safe36.05–49.6350.66–64.23safer34.38–51.3048.98–65.90
Passes
88%
homeawaytotalprediction365507872safe297–432441–574738–1006safer279–450423–591703–1041
Pass accuracy %
92%
homeawayprediction67.3578.61safe63.32–71.3874.28–82.93safer62.03–72.6872.97–84.24
Fouls
45%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction11.8912.0023.89safe9.05–14.729.06–14.9418.10–29.67safer8.29–15.488.31–15.6916.60–31.17
Offsides
37%
20%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction1.952.114.07safe0.79–3.111.02–3.211.81–6.32safer0.49–3.410.73–3.501.22–6.91
Yellow cards
32%
20%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction1.842.244.08safe0.80–2.891.11–3.371.90–6.26safer0.53–3.160.82–3.661.35–6.82
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.080.16safe0.00–0.230.00–0.270.00–0.50safer0.00–0.380.00–0.400.00–0.79
GK saves
48%
16%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction3.272.886.15safe1.83–4.711.32–4.443.16–9.14safer1.45–5.090.90–4.862.34–9.95
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.39 0.42–2.36 0.17–2.61 | 1.51 0.66–2.37 0.43–2.60 | 2.91 1.08–4.73 0.60–5.21 | 35% 25% 40% |
| Shots on target | 4.28 2.42–6.14 1.93–6.63 | 5.01 3.27–6.75 2.80–7.22 | 9.29 5.69–12.90 4.73–13.85 | 34% 53% |
| Total shots | 13.20 9.27–17.12 8.18–18.21 | 14.14 10.58–17.70 9.62–18.66 | 27.34 19.85–34.83 17.80–36.88 | 39% 53% |
| Shots in box | 9.24 6.30–12.18 5.47–13.01 | 9.71 7.03–12.39 6.29–13.13 | 18.95 13.33–24.57 11.76–26.14 | 41% 50% |
| Blocked shots | 3.85 1.97–5.73 1.42–6.28 | 3.87 2.22–5.52 1.72–6.01 | 7.72 4.18–11.26 3.15–12.29 | 42% 15% 43% |
| Corners | 4.90 2.68–7.11 2.11–7.68 | 5.34 3.34–7.34 2.80–7.87 | 10.23 6.02–14.45 4.91–15.55 | 38% 49% |
| Possession % | 42.84 36.05–49.63 34.38–51.30 | 57.44 50.66–64.23 48.98–65.90 | — | 18% 79% |
| Passes | 365 297–432 279–450 | 507 441–574 423–591 | 872 738–1006 703–1041 | 88% |
| Pass accuracy % | 67.35 63.32–71.38 62.03–72.68 | 78.61 74.28–82.93 72.97–84.24 | — | 92% |
| Fouls | 11.89 9.05–14.72 8.29–15.48 | 12.00 9.06–14.94 8.31–15.69 | 23.89 18.10–29.67 16.60–31.17 | 45% 47% |
| Offsides | 1.95 0.79–3.11 0.49–3.41 | 2.11 1.02–3.21 0.73–3.50 | 4.07 1.81–6.32 1.22–6.91 | 37% 20% 43% |
| Yellow cards | 1.84 0.80–2.89 0.53–3.16 | 2.24 1.11–3.37 0.82–3.66 | 4.08 1.90–6.26 1.35–6.82 | 32% 20% 47% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.08 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.40 | 0.16 0.00–0.50 0.00–0.79 | 86% |
| GK saves | 3.27 1.83–4.71 1.45–5.09 | 2.88 1.32–4.44 0.90–4.86 | 6.15 3.16–9.14 2.34–9.95 | 48% 16% 36% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+