Predicted match statistics
Goals
46%
25%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction1.541.162.70safe0.57–2.510.30–2.010.88–4.52safer0.32–2.760.08–2.240.40–5.00
Shots on target
66%
23%
homeawaytotalprediction5.573.809.37safe3.71–7.442.05–5.545.76–12.97safer3.22–7.931.59–6.004.81–13.93
Total shots
83%
homeawaytotalprediction16.3710.8527.22safe12.45–20.297.28–14.4119.73–34.70safer11.35–21.396.32–15.3717.68–36.75
Shots in box
72%
21%
homeawaytotalprediction10.947.9318.87safe8.00–13.885.24–10.6113.24–24.49safer7.17–14.714.51–11.3411.68–26.06
Blocked shots
62%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction4.873.498.36safe2.99–6.751.83–5.144.82–11.89safer2.45–7.301.34–5.633.79–12.93
Corners
72%
18%
homeawaytotalprediction6.303.9510.25safe4.09–8.511.95–5.956.04–14.46safer3.51–9.091.42–6.494.93–15.57
Possession %
88%
homeawayprediction60.5240.06safe53.73–67.3133.27–46.84safer52.06–68.9831.60–48.52
Passes
95%
homeawaytotalprediction551350901safe484–618283–416767–1034safer466–636266–434731–1070
Pass accuracy %
79%
17%
homeawayprediction76.5769.76safe72.54–80.6065.44–74.09safer71.25–81.8964.13–75.40
Fouls
44%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction12.0112.2524.25safe9.17–14.849.30–15.1918.47–30.03safer8.41–15.608.55–15.9416.96–31.54
Offsides
44%
21%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction2.121.924.04safe0.96–3.280.83–3.011.78–6.29safer0.66–3.580.54–3.301.19–6.88
Yellow cards
30%
20%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction1.722.223.94safe0.67–2.771.09–3.351.77–6.12safer0.41–3.040.80–3.641.21–6.68
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.090.15safe0.00–0.230.00–0.270.00–0.50safer0.00–0.380.00–0.410.00–0.78
GK saves
27%
15%
57%
homeawaytotalprediction2.553.516.06safe1.12–3.991.95–5.073.07–9.05safer0.73–4.381.53–5.492.26–9.87
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.54 0.57–2.51 0.32–2.76 | 1.16 0.30–2.01 0.08–2.24 | 2.70 0.88–4.52 0.40–5.00 | 46% 25% 29% |
| Shots on target | 5.57 3.71–7.44 3.22–7.93 | 3.80 2.05–5.54 1.59–6.00 | 9.37 5.76–12.97 4.81–13.93 | 66% 23% |
| Total shots | 16.37 12.45–20.29 11.35–21.39 | 10.85 7.28–14.41 6.32–15.37 | 27.22 19.73–34.70 17.68–36.75 | 83% |
| Shots in box | 10.94 8.00–13.88 7.17–14.71 | 7.93 5.24–10.61 4.51–11.34 | 18.87 13.24–24.49 11.68–26.06 | 72% 21% |
| Blocked shots | 4.87 2.99–6.75 2.45–7.30 | 3.49 1.83–5.14 1.34–5.63 | 8.36 4.82–11.89 3.79–12.93 | 62% 26% |
| Corners | 6.30 4.09–8.51 3.51–9.09 | 3.95 1.95–5.95 1.42–6.49 | 10.25 6.04–14.46 4.93–15.57 | 72% 18% |
| Possession % | 60.52 53.73–67.31 52.06–68.98 | 40.06 33.27–46.84 31.60–48.52 | — | 88% |
| Passes | 551 484–618 466–636 | 350 283–416 266–434 | 901 767–1034 731–1070 | 95% |
| Pass accuracy % | 76.57 72.54–80.60 71.25–81.89 | 69.76 65.44–74.09 64.13–75.40 | — | 79% 17% |
| Fouls | 12.01 9.17–14.84 8.41–15.60 | 12.25 9.30–15.19 8.55–15.94 | 24.25 18.47–30.03 16.96–31.54 | 44% 48% |
| Offsides | 2.12 0.96–3.28 0.66–3.58 | 1.92 0.83–3.01 0.54–3.30 | 4.04 1.78–6.29 1.19–6.88 | 44% 21% 36% |
| Yellow cards | 1.72 0.67–2.77 0.41–3.04 | 2.22 1.09–3.35 0.80–3.64 | 3.94 1.77–6.12 1.21–6.68 | 30% 20% 49% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.09 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.41 | 0.15 0.00–0.50 0.00–0.78 | 86% |
| GK saves | 2.55 1.12–3.99 0.73–4.38 | 3.51 1.95–5.07 1.53–5.49 | 6.06 3.07–9.05 2.26–9.87 | 27% 15% 57% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.